Daggett, California 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

932
FXUS65 KVEF 242336
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
436 PM PDT Sat May 24 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Today`s weather features cooler than average
temperatures, breezy southwesterly winds, and thunderstorms in the
southern Great Basin and Inyo County. Some storms may produce gusty
outflow winds. Above normal temperatures return next week as high
pressure builds over the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Through Sunday.

A shortwave continues to track east across southern Nevada today and
tonight. Breezy southwesterly winds persist across the Mojave Desert
and temperatures should top out a few degrees below average due to
cloud cover and falling heights aloft. Cloud cover appears to be
more persistent than models indicated, but should clear through the
afternoon. However, the main forecast concern is shower and
thunderstorm development in the southern Great Basin and eastern
Sierra region this afternoon and evening as the cold core of the
shortwave moves through. Cumulus development has already been
observed in areas of clearing high clouds in Esmeralda and Nye
counties. Forecast soundings show dry air up to around 12kft or
higher. Storm bases at this height mean that most rainfall should
evaporate before it hits the ground. The HREF only gives a 20
percent probability of 1 hour precipitation totals greater than 0.01
inch. Instead, the greater impact from these storms will be wind.
Along with high bases on soundings, mesoanalysis shows 1000 J/kg
DCAPE in the southern Great Basin and Inyo County later today. High
resolution models suggest outflow gusts of 40 mph possible under the
strongest cells today. Activity should taper off later in the
evening as surface heating ends.

On Sunday, the shortwave is quickly replaced by a narrow ridge
wedged between the shortwave moving east and a trough moving into
the Pacific Coast. Rising heights aloft mean high temperatures
should be a few degrees warmer tomorrow compared to today. Winds
will overall be lighter during the day, but westerly winds start to
pick up tomorrow evening in the western Mojave Desert. The strongest
gusts should stick to high terrain with lower elevation gusts around
30 mph.

.LONG TERM...Monday through Saturday.

Another shortwave will follow on the heels of this weekend`s system,
moving through the region early next week. The most noticable impact
from this system will be breezy, sub-advisory southwesterly winds
picking up on Monday as the system approaches the area. This system
will also slow down our warming trend for a day or two before
ridging reestablishes itself over the area and our warming trend
resumes. A cut-off low will approach the coast of California during
the latter half of the week, attempting to undercut the high
amplitude ridge over the western US, resulting in a pseudo rex block
looking pattern. Exact details remain blurry due to uncertainty
regarding the exact position of the cut-off low and ridge. However,
even with this uncertainty, there is high confidence (75 to 90%
chance) in above normal temperatures through the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 00Z Forecast Package...Gusty
southwesterly  winds will persist through sunset, with gusts then
expected to diminish ahead of winds becoming light overnight.
Winds will settle out of the east by late Sunday morning, then
veer to the southwest through the afternoon. VFR conditions
prevail, with passing mid-level clouds through the period.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 00Z Forecast Package...Intermittently gusty
southwesterly  to southerly winds will continue through this
evening. Per radar and satellite trends, isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms will persist early in the period across
northern Inyo County and the southern Great Basin, with the most
likely impact expected to be erratic gusty winds associated with
outflow boundaries. Any storms that develop are expected to weaken
and dissipate through the evening. Otherwise, winds will diminish
areawide late this evening and overnight, with sustained speeds
then expected to remain around 10KT or less through the end of the
period. VFR conditions will continue.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Meltzer
LONG TERM...Stessman
AVIATION...Phillipson

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