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Rogers, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Rogers AR
National Weather Service Forecast for: Rogers AR
Issued by: National Weather Service Tulsa, OK
Updated: 6:50 am CDT May 23, 2025
 
Today

Today: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a slight chance of showers between 10am and 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Mostly sunny, then becoming cloudy during the afternoon, with a high near 72. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Chance
T-storms
Tonight

Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms.  Low around 60. Southeast wind around 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
T-storms

Saturday

Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1pm.  High near 74. Southeast wind around 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
T-storms

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms.  Low around 62. East wind around 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.
T-storms

Sunday

Sunday: Showers and thunderstorms.  High near 73. Southeast wind around 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.
T-storms

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Showers and thunderstorms.  Low around 59. East wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.
T-storms

Memorial
Day
Memorial Day: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. East wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.
T-storms
Likely

Monday
Night
Monday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. East wind 5 to 10 mph.
Chance
T-storms

Tuesday

Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming northwest in the morning.
Chance
T-storms

Hi 72 °F Lo 60 °F Hi 74 °F Lo 62 °F Hi 73 °F Lo 59 °F Hi 68 °F Lo 58 °F Hi 72 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
Flood Watch
 

Today
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a slight chance of showers between 10am and 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, then becoming cloudy during the afternoon, with a high near 72. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
 
Showers and thunderstorms. Low around 60. Southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Saturday
 
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1pm. High near 74. Southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday Night
 
Showers and thunderstorms. Low around 62. East wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday
 
Showers and thunderstorms. High near 73. Southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday Night
 
Showers and thunderstorms. Low around 59. East wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Memorial Day
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. East wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. East wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming northwest in the morning.
Tuesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Thursday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. East wind around 5 mph.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Rogers AR.

Weather Forecast Discussion
526
FXUS64 KMEG 231147
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
647 AM CDT Fri May 23 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 634 AM CDT Fri May 23 2025

- Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms expected by Friday
  night and continuing into next week, with some strong to severe
  thunderstorms and heavy rainfall.

- Rainfall totals could exceed 4 inches Friday night through
  Tuesday night.

- Mild temperatures will continue through the remainder of the
  week and into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 220 AM CDT Fri May 23 2025

Mainly dry conditions across the Midsouth today will come to an
end tonight. Predominately northwest flow will remain in place
through the weekend. Multiple weak shortwave troughs will result
in several rounds of showers and thunderstorms tonight through
Sunday. A warm front will lift north across the region Saturday
night enhancing the threat of strong to severe thunderstorms. The
Storm Prediction Center includes portions of the Midsouth in a
marginal(1/5) risk for severe thunderstorms in their 1, 2 and 3
day outlooks. Dewpoints in the upper 60 to lower 70s, precipitable
water values approaching 1.9 inches and convergence along the
warm front will all be factors enhancing our severe thunderstorm
risk. On the other hand, CAPE and forcing are expected to be weak,
acting as limiting factors on the severe thunderstorm potential.

A ridge will build over Texas and Oklahoma Monday resulting in
more zonal flow across the Midsouth. A pronounced shortwave should
approach the middle Mississippi River Valley midday Monday. Closer
to the surface a 35-40kt LLJ will keep thunderstorm activity
active early next week. Rainfall totals could exceed 4 inches
Friday night through Tuesday night. WPC included portions of the
Midsouth in a marginal(1/3) to slight(2/3) risk for excessive
rainfall. Due to the fact that this rain is over a several day
period, a flood watch is not anticipated at this time.

Guidance suggests a drier pattern should return to the Midsouth
Tuesday night.  Temperatures over the next 7 days will remain
mild, featuring highs mostly in the 70s and lows in the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 645 AM CDT Fri May 23 2025

VFR conditions will prevail over the airspace through much of the
period. An MCS will begin moving into the Mid-South late this
evening. Thunderstorm chances will increase at JBR/MEM as this
system moves in. Timing and intensity of said thunderstorms
remains uncertain, therefore, PROB30s were added for such.
Otherwise, showers will impact terminals through much of tomorrow.
As shower coverage increases, ceiling will slowly lower to MVFR by
the end of the TAF period. Northeast winds will remain largely sub
10 kts over the next 30 hours.

AEH

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS
AVIATION...AEH
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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