Mountain Home, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

580
FXUS64 KLZK 180509 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1109 PM CST Fri Jan 17 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 240 PM CST Fri Jan 17 2025

Clouds contd to incrs acrs the Natural State this aftn, ahead of a
SWT that wl bring rain chcs to most areas tngt into early Sat as it
passes acrs AR. Breezy south and southwest winds were noted this
aftn, which helped to offset the cloud cover some in regard to
temps. Mid aftn readings were in the 50s statewide.

The aforementioned storm system wl also bring a CDFNT thru the state
later tngt and Sat mrng. Winds wl shift to the north and northwest,
allowing much colder air to usher into AR. Based on current timing
trends, most areas wl see their respective high temp reached early
in the day on Sat, then either bcm steady or slowly fall as the day
progresses. It still looks like all of the rain wl be east of the FA
before the sub-freezing airmass arrives.

A weak upper impulse wl pass acrs north AR Saturday evening,
bringing a chc of snow flurries. No snow accumulation or impacts are
anticipated at this time. Wind chill values by early Sun mrng are
fcst to drop into the single digits acrs much of northern and
western AR, with teens common elsewhere.

Wl cont to monitor for the potential issuance of any Cold Weather
Advisories later this weekend. After starting the day in the teens
and 20s, highs Sunday aftn wl struggle to climb back into the 20s
and 30s. Bottom line, prepare for much colder and blustery conds in
the coming days.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 240 PM CST Fri Jan 17 2025

To begin the period, surface high pressure across the region will
promote calm and dry conditions early in the period with unsettled
weather moving in Monday night into Tuesday and Wednesday night
through Thursday. The first system will pose a risk to mainly
southern Arkansas with the second system likely bringing precip to
southern and central parts of the state. The chance for wintry
precip will be possible for both systems.

Well below average temperatures will be ushered into the state late
Sunday, lasting into early next week. These temperatures will be
dangerous and we are likely to see a few days in a row where most
locations across the CWA will stay below freezing.

The question with the two systems impacting the state later next
week is not a matter if the cold air will be in place...it is more
of a question on how much moisture will be associated with the
systems and for the first system, whether or not moisture will make
it far enough north. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty
regarding the potential for snow versus rain. As of this forecast
package, southern Arkansas could see a dusting of snow Monday night
into Tuesday morning.

As mentioned above, temperatures are forecast to be well-below
average early in the period. High temperatures are expected to be in
the lower 20s to mid 30s Monday through Tuesday afternoons. High
temperatures are expected to get back into the mid 30s to lower 40s
by Wednesday and Thursday afternoons. Overnight low temperatures are
expected to be in the single digits to teens. Wind chill values will
likely be much lower with some places apparent temperatures falling
below zero...especially across northern locations.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1104 PM CST Fri Jan 17 2025

Persistent MVFR and lower cigs will continue through the morning
hours before conditions improve. Some occasional -RA will be
possible as well. Winds are variable across the state at this
time, but a strong cold front will move through from NW to SE
through the morning hours. This will lead to increasing N/NW winds
of 10-15 kts with higher gusts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     38  42  20  28 /  70   0   0   0
Camden AR         46  52  24  37 /  10   0   0   0
Harrison AR       30  34  14  23 /  40   0  10   0
Hot Springs AR    42  47  22  33 /  10   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  42  46  23  32 /  20   0   0   0
Monticello AR     51  55  27  36 /  20  10   0   0
Mount Ida AR      40  46  19  32 /  10   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  32  36  16  24 /  70   0  10   0
Newport AR        40  44  22  29 /  70   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     47  50  25  34 /  20  10   0   0
Russellville AR   39  44  21  31 /  10   0   0   0
Searcy AR         41  45  22  31 /  50   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      45  48  26  32 /  40  10   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....73
AVIATION...67