Hot Springs, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

534
FXUS64 KLZK 121731
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1231 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1232 AM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

-Daily rain chances will persist through late week, providing
 localized relief from short term rainfall deficits.

-Near normal temperatures will be seen through Wed/Thu before
 increasing to well above normal values for the weekend into next
 week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1232 AM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

H500 trough making slow progress eastward across the middle of the
country will continue to influence local conditions through at
least Thursday. This feature will keep mid-level ridging in place across
the SE and SW US at bay. As the trough continues to move east it
will provide an increase in precip development across the state,
especially during the afternoon/evening hours. Additionally, like
what has been observed overnight, some precip may persist through
the overnight hours as lingering/remnant boundaries aid in precip
longevity.

With the overall flow remaining meager and PW values in
the 1.50-2.00 inch range or higher, some locally heavy downpours
can be expected. Coverage overall should remain limited, which
will do little to improve shortfall rainfall deficits. But, some
areas will receive locally beneficial rainfall.

By late week into the weekend, the mid-level trough will be well
east of the region. In its wake, H500 ridging will become
reestablished across much of the central/southern US. This will
allow temperatures to climb and rain chances to decrease across
Arkansas and surrounding areas.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

Latest CAM guidance suggests widely scattered TSRA will affect the
forecast area through 02z. VFR conditions will prevail after 02z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     95  72  92  71 /  40  30  40  20
Camden AR         95  72  94  72 /  30  10  30  20
Harrison AR       90  69  88  68 /  50  20  30  10
Hot Springs AR    96  73  93  72 /  30  20  40  20
Little Rock   AR  95  74  93  74 /  30  10  40  10
Monticello AR     96  74  96  74 /  30  20  40  20
Mount Ida AR      95  71  92  71 /  40  20  30  10
Mountain Home AR  92  69  89  68 /  50  20  30  10
Newport AR        95  73  92  72 /  20  20  30  20
Pine Bluff AR     95  73  94  73 /  20  10  30  20
Russellville AR   96  73  94  73 /  30  20  30  10
Searcy AR         95  72  93  72 /  30  20  40  20
Stuttgart AR      95  74  93  74 /  20  20  30  20

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....75
AVIATION...55