Prescott Valley, Arizona 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

560
FXUS65 KFGZ 141747
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1047 AM MST Wed May 14 2025

.SYNOPSIS...A deep trough will continue to push through the
region today, bringing gusty winds and cooler conditions. A
series of weak short-waves will keep mild temperatures and typical
spring-like breezes through the end of the week. A larger storm
system looks to impact the state by the end of the weekend.

&&

.UPDATE...Today should be the last of the very windy days as the
low sitting off to our north starts to weaken and pull out of the
region. The strongest winds will remain across the eastern parts
of the forecast area, especially towards the NM border where a Red
Flag Warning remains in effect.

Only minor updates needed this morning as the forecast looks to be
on track.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /420 AM MST/...A large area of low pressure currently centered over
eastern Idaho continues to bring cooler temperatures and gusty
southwest winds across the state. These elevated winds aren`t taking
a break tonight, with wind gusts across the White Mountains being
reported between 30-45 mph. This trough will continue to push
eastward today focusing our gusty winds across the eastern portion
of the state. As a result, a Red Flag Warning remains is in effect
for our zones bordering New Mexico between 9 AM MST (10 AM MDT) and
6 PM MST (7 PM MDT) today.

Thursday and Friday...A couple of weak short-waves look to impact
the state for the second half of the week, but impacts will be
minor. Temperatures look to slightly rebound each afternoon, but
should remain below to near normal for this time of year and
winds will revert back to typical spring-like breezes. Dry
conditions are forecast to continue, so although gusty winds are
not a major concern going towards the end of the week, relative
humidities are forecast to remain generally 15% or below. Continue
to be mindful of any open flames/sparks and please properly
dispose of cigarettes.

Over the Weekend...Another deep trough is forecast to push down
from the Pacific Northwest later this weekend. Winds look to
increase ahead of the core of this system, with southwest winds
gusting 35-45 mph possible. Strong southwest winds are expected to
remain in the forecast through Sunday, with gusts reaching 40-50
mph along and north of the Mogollon Rim. There could be additional
fire weather concerns for the southern half of our CWA this
weekend, especially across the White Mountains. Areas along and
north of I-40 could get lucky and receive some precipitation out
of the center of this trough. There`s still time to hash out the
details behind this disturbance, so if this pattern digs further
south, we could see moisture extend closer to the Mogollon Rim and
White Mountains.

Next Week...Lingering moisture across eastern Arizona could be
possible as the previously mentioned deep trough exits the region.
Otherwise, mild weather looks to return.

&&

.AVIATION...Wednesday 14/18Z through Thursday 15/18Z...Expect VFR
conditions. Daytime sfc winds SW-W10-20kts, higher gusts to 35kts
over Apache County. Sct BKN CIGS AOA 8-10kft AGL, mainly north of
the I-40 corridor through 01Z. Winds becoming light after 03Z.

OUTLOOK...Thursday 15/18Z through Saturday 17/18Z...Expect VFR
conditions. Sfc winds SW10-20kts Thursday, increasing to 15-25kts
on Friday. Winds generally light in the overnight periods.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Today and Thursday...A trough of low pressure
moving across Arizona today will continue to bring windy conditions
especially over Apache County. A few sprinkles are possible today
mainly north of I-40. Southwest to west winds 15 to 25 mph with
higher gusts to near 40 mph over Apache County where a Red Flag
Warning will continue until this evening. Southwesterly winds 10 to
20 mph on Thursday.

Friday through Sunday...Warmer and dry Friday, southwest winds 10 to
20 mph continuing. Turning windy and cooler Saturday, with areas of
Critical Fire Weather conditions possible. Even cooler Sunday,
chances for rain showers and snow showers. Southwest winds 15 to 25
mph, with gusts to 35 mph Saturday. Southwest winds 15 to 30 mph,
with gusts from 40 to 45 mph on Sunday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 6 PM MST /7 PM MDT/ this evening for
AZZ111-114-117.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Meola/Konieczny
AVIATION...MAS
FIRE WEATHER...MAS

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff