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El Mirage, Arizona 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for El Mirage AZ
National Weather Service Forecast for: El Mirage AZ
Issued by: National Weather Service Phoenix, AZ
Updated: 3:37 pm MST May 6, 2026
 
Tonight

Tonight: Clear, with a low around 62. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Clear
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 96. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunny
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 64. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable  in the evening.
Clear
Friday

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 101. Light and variable wind becoming west southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunny
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Clear, with a low around 69. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.
Clear
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 103. Light and variable wind becoming west southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunny
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Clear, with a low around 70. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.
Clear
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 105. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Clear, with a low around 72. West wind around 5 mph becoming north after midnight.
Clear
Lo 62 °F Hi 96 °F Lo 64 °F Hi 101 °F Lo 69 °F Hi 103 °F Lo 70 °F Hi 105 °F Lo 72 °F

 

Tonight
 
Clear, with a low around 62. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Thursday
 
Sunny, with a high near 96. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 64. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Friday
 
Sunny, with a high near 101. Light and variable wind becoming west southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 69. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Saturday
 
Sunny, with a high near 103. Light and variable wind becoming west southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 70. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 105. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 72. West wind around 5 mph becoming north after midnight.
Monday
 
Sunny, with a high near 108. Calm wind becoming east southeast around 5 mph in the morning.
Monday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 74. West wind around 5 mph becoming north after midnight.
Tuesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 106. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Wednesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 103. Light and variable wind becoming south southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for El Mirage AZ.

Weather Forecast Discussion
063
FXUS65 KPSR 062305
AFDPSR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
405 PM MST Wed May 6 2026

.UPDATE...Updated Aviation Discussion

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A pronounced warming and drying trend will occur over the next
  several days pushing temperatures above normal starting
  Thursday.

- Hot temperatures will develop over the region by the weekend
  with lower desert highs topping 100 degrees as early as Friday
  before peaking between 105 and 110 degrees early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A SW-NE oriented shortwave trough is apparent in midlevel water
vapor imagery and 500 mb RAP analysis, stretching from just off
the Northern Baja at its base up through the Four Corners/Northern
NM. Global guidance has been in good agreement on the evolution
of this trough, with the bulk of the energy progressing eastward
and joining longwave troughing over Central/Northeastern CONUS,
while a relatively strong vorticity center closes off near the
base, forming a cutoff low over the Northern Baja or Gulf of
California. This cutoff low will then meander eastward over Sonora
through Thursday, staying well south of the area and having
little sensible weather impact.

The main story through the end of the work week will be the
building influence of a ridge edging eastward over the West Coast
and positive midlevel height anomalies entering the area from the
west/northwest, which will help rapidly warm thermal profiles
across the region. NAEFS mean 850 mb temperatures that as of early
this morning were near the 10th percentile of climatology for
this time of year (approximately 10C) will quickly warm as
shortwave energy departs and the cutoff south of the area weakens
and progresses east of Sonora late Thursday. In fact, ensemble
mean 850 mb temperatures approach the 85th-90th percentile of
climatology (21C-23C), especially over the western CWA, by
Thursday afternoon. This will support lower desert highs warming
above normal by Thursday, in the upper 90s across the Lower CO
River Valley and southeast California to around 91F-96F across the
Greater Phoenix Area.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A noticeable shift in the weather pattern late this week and lasting
through at least the first part of next week will lead to any
weather systems tracking across southern Canada into the North-
central and Northeastern U.S. Upper level ridging will also slowly
take over across much of the Western U.S. and eventually into the
Southern Plains by early next week. The first ridge that will move
into our region late this week is expected to weaken somewhat, but
another even stronger ridge is favored to build in from the west
over the weekend and last through at least the first part of next
week. H5 heights are seen rising to between 582-585dm this weekend
before likely peaking between 588-591dm next Monday. Forecast
uncertainty increases a bit going into the middle of next week as
there are some discrepancies with a weak cut-off low that may
develop west of Baja. However, for now this feature may end up being
too weak to have much influence over our region later next week.

Forecast temperatures continue to rise over the weekend into early
next week with highs easily topping 100 degrees by Saturday and
potentially even reaching or topping 105 degrees as early as Sunday.
Widespread Moderate HeatRisk is expected over the weekend as
afternoon temperatures climb to above 100 degrees. The hottest
temperatures should fall on Monday and/or Tuesday with the latest
NBM indicating some western lower deserts reaching 110 degrees to
105-107 degrees in the Phoenix area. This very well could result in
Major HeatRisk across portions of the area for Monday and Tuesday,
so Extreme Heat Watches/Warnings may eventually be needed. Skies are
likely to stay fairly clear through at least Monday, but some higher
clouds may finally make their way into the region by next Tuesday or
Wednesday depending on what happens with the potential cut-off upper
level low. Models do mostly favor the ridge breaking down during the
latter half of next week likely leading to a cooling trend. Despite
this, above normal temperatures should persist as highs look to stay
close to 100 degrees late next week.

&&

.AVIATION...Updated at 2305Z.

South Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT:
No major aviation concerns will exist during the TAF period. Winds
will favor light and diurnal trends under mostly clear skies.
Depending on smoke generation from a wildfire well west of the
metro, slantwise visibility may become an issue around sunset,
but confidence and chance of impacts are low.

Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH:
No aviation weather concerns are expected during the next 24
hours. Outside of periods of VRB to calm conditions, winds will
favor a W`rly component at KIPL, while KBLH sees a switch from
the SW to the N/NNE by Thursday morning.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A rapid warming trend over the next several days will push readings
to above normal by Thursday and to well above normal starting this
weekend. Humidities will also quickly lower with MinRHs dropping
to around 10% starting Thursday. However, despite the drier and
warmer conditions, winds will be fairly light with only periodic
upslope gusts in the mid teens through Thursday. Breeziness should
pick up more Friday into the weekend with gusts to around 20 mph
expected. Although conditions for critical fire weather will not
be met, single digit MinRHs, well above normal temperatures, and
afternoon upslope breezes may produce some areas of elevated fire
danger this weekend into early next week.

&&

.PSR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AZ...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Whittock
LONG TERM...Kuhlman
AVIATION...18/RW
FIRE WEATHER...Whittock/Kuhlman
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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