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El Mirage, Arizona 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for El Mirage AZ
National Weather Service Forecast for: El Mirage AZ
Issued by: National Weather Service Phoenix, AZ
Updated: 11:32 am MST Jun 2, 2026
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Sunny, with a high near 104. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunny

Tonight

Tonight: Clear, with a low around 74. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light  after midnight.
Clear

Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 107. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunny

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 76. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.
Mostly Clear

Thursday

Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 107. Light and variable wind becoming west southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunny

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 76. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Clear

Friday

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 105. Light and variable wind becoming west southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunny

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Clear, with a low around 74. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Clear and
Breezy then
Clear
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 104. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunny

Hi 104 °F Lo 74 °F Hi 107 °F Lo 76 °F Hi 107 °F Lo 76 °F Hi 105 °F Lo 74 °F Hi 104 °F

 

This Afternoon
 
Sunny, with a high near 104. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
 
Clear, with a low around 74. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light after midnight.
Wednesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 107. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 76. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Thursday
 
Sunny, with a high near 107. Light and variable wind becoming west southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 76. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday
 
Sunny, with a high near 105. Light and variable wind becoming west southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 74. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Saturday
 
Sunny, with a high near 104. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Breezy, with a southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Sunday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 102. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 73. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Monday
 
Sunny, with a high near 103. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for El Mirage AZ.

Weather Forecast Discussion
875
FXUS65 KPSR 021947
AFDPSR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
1247 PM MST Tue Jun 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Slightly above normal temperatures with areas of moderate
  HeatRisk will prevail throughout the week before retreating
  closer to normal over the weekend.

- Other than a slight chance of a thunderstorm in eastern Arizona
  during the middle of the week, dry conditions under mostly
  sunny skies will prevail the next several days.

- Locally breezy conditions will develop late in the week and this
  weekend, particularly across the lower Colorado River valley
  and higher terrain communities.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Today through Thursday/...
Objective analysis at midday today still showed an omega block
across much of the northern tier of the Lower 48, as well as a
weak low circulation off the west coast due west of LA and San
Diego and subtle cyclonic curvature over portions of eastern AZ.
Global guidance shows the omega block will break down over the
next 24-48 hours and the weak coastal low will continue sliding
SSE to central Baja Peninsula. Through this progression the height
field over the local area will not change much from its current
level. H5 heights are currently around 585dam and will increase up
to 586-587dam through the remainder of the week. Heights at this
level are slightly above normal for the beginning of June and
respectively the high temperature forecast the rest of the week is
a few degrees (4-6F) above normal. This means high temperatures
across the lower deserts reaching up to 103-108F, with the hottest
days looking to be Wednesday and Thursday. These above normal
temperatures will result in widespread moderate HeatRisk across
the lower deserts. These temperatures will also be well shy of
daily records which are mostly in the 112-116F range.

Objective analysis also currently shows a tongue of higher
moisture and unstable air across southern NM and into the White
Mountains of AZ. This has already resulted in some midday
convective showers developing in the White Mountains. As things
continue to heat up a few thunderstorms may also develop, but
storms will mostly stay in NM this afternoon. Heading into
tomorrow, a retreating of the dry line further west across NM and
westward-propagating thunderstorm outflows should push more
moisture into eastern AZ. Consequently, isolated thunderstorms
become even more likely near the White Mountains Wednesday and
Thursday afternoon, potentially leaking into far eastern Gila
County. Latest NBM PoPs show virtually no chance for showers or
storms in southern Gila County Wednesday afternoon, but most HREF
and REFS members develop a few showers and storms in parts of
southern Gila County, particularly south and east of US-60. PoPs
were increased slightly, up to 10-15%, to at least reflect a
mention of thunderstorms in the forecast. The main impacts with
any storms will be lightning strikes with little rainfall, capable
of sparking wildfires in dry late spring fuels, and strong gusty
outflow winds. The outflow winds may help generate new convection
in Gila County and progress west-southwest toward lower deserts in
the evening. How Wednesday evolves may dictate shower and storm
chances for Thursday, but confidence is too low to make any
significant PoP adjustments at this time.


&&

.LONG TERM /Friday through Monday/...
Through the weekend, the full suite of ensemble members are in
fair agreement depicting the northern Mexico shortwave slowly
ejecting into the southern plains with some measure of ridging
holding over the Southwest ahead of deeper negative height
anomalies approaching the West coast. The trend among the majority
of ensemble membership is towards a slower progression of this
troughing across the East Pacific resulting in less local
influence of height falls as the southern extent of wave lags the
Southwest before lifting into the Great Basin. As a result, H5
heights may only decrease modestly over the weekend into a
582-585dm range and temperatures only cooling near the seasonal
average. Numerical spread remains quite large during this time
frame reducing forecast confidence with respect to temperatures.
However, this pattern evolution will force an increased low level
pressure gradient with afternoon/evening wind gusts becoming more
pronounced and heightening the potential fire danger. Forecast
confidence deteriorates further during the beginning of next week
tied to the exact evolution of troughing entering the western
Conus, but there are a growing number of ensemble members
suggesting more predominant ridging and warming versus previous
iterations.

&&

.AVIATION...Updated at 1100Z.

South Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT:
No aviation concerns are expected during the TAF period. Winds
will follow diurnal trends with some occasional gusts in the mid
to upper teens during the afternoon hours. Other than some exiting
high clouds this morning and distant high terrain CU later, skies
will be mostly clear through Wednesday morning.

Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH:
No aviation concerns are expected during the next 24 hours.
Outside of some periods of VRB to calm conditions, mainly during
the the remainder of the morning hours, winds will follow familiar
diurnal trends with speeds generally aob 12 kt. Skies will be
mostly clear through Wednesday morning.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
The threat for a few lightning strikes with little rainfall in
southern Gila County Wednesday and Thursday is the main fire
weather hazard this week. With temperatures hovering several
degrees above normal, winds will maintain a diurnal
upslope/nocturnal drainage pattern. However, gusts will increase
markedly towards the end of the week, particularly across the
lower Colorado River valley and mountainous locations of eastern
districts. This will result in periods of an elevated to near
critical fire danger during the afternoon/evening, especially over
the weekend. Minimum afternoon humidity levels will generally
fall in a 5-15% range following a wide ranging poor to fair
overnight recovery of 15-45%.

&&

.PSR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AZ...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Benedict
LONG TERM...18
AVIATION...RW
FIRE WEATHER...18
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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