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El Mirage, Arizona 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for El Mirage AZ
National Weather Service Forecast for: El Mirage AZ
Issued by: National Weather Service Phoenix, AZ
Updated: 3:46 am MST May 12, 2026
 
Overnight

Overnight: Clear, with a low around 74. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Clear
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 106. Calm wind becoming south southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunny
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Increasing clouds, with a low around 72. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Increasing
Clouds
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 100. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Decreasing
Clouds
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 68. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable  in the evening.
Clear
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 99. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunny
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 69. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Clear
Friday

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 100. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunny
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Clear, with a low around 68. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  after midnight.
Clear
Lo 74 °F Hi 106 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 100 °F Lo 68 °F Hi 99 °F Lo 69 °F Hi 100 °F Lo 68 °F

Extreme Heat Warning
Air Quality Alert
 

Overnight
 
Clear, with a low around 74. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 106. Calm wind becoming south southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
 
Increasing clouds, with a low around 72. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Wednesday
 
Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 100. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 68. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Thursday
 
Sunny, with a high near 99. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 69. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Friday
 
Sunny, with a high near 100. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 68. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Saturday
 
Sunny, with a high near 100. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 67. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light west after midnight.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 98. Light south wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 66. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light west northwest after midnight.
Monday
 
Sunny, with a high near 98. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the morning.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for El Mirage AZ.

Weather Forecast Discussion
921
FXUS65 KPSR 120930
AFDPSR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
230 AM MST Tue May 12 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- An Extreme Heat Warning remains in effect for the Phoenix Metro
  area through early this evening with temperatures topping out
  between 105 to 107 degrees.

- Breezy conditions are anticipated along the Lower Colorado River
  valley today and Wednesday and over the AZ high terrain on
  Wednesday.

- A more noticeable cooling trend starting Wednesday will drop
  high temperatures into the upper 90s to around 100 degrees,
  lasting through the upcoming weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A strong upper level ridge with near climatological record H5
heights is positioned across the Desert Southwest. Additionally, a
weak shortwave trough is also located over central Baja.
Southeasterly flow in between the two systems did result in some
scattered convection across northern Mexico yesterday along with
some remnant moisture from the convection making its way
northwestward into southern Arizona. This moisture may result in
some morning mid level clouds, but overall today will again be
sunny to mostly sunny for most locations.

As the weak shortwave continues to move northward into southern
California later today, height falls across the western deserts
will bring some slight relief from yesterday`s near 110 degree
highs as readings mostly top out between 102-106 degrees. The
ridge will remain more dominant across Arizona resulting in highs
of 105-107 degrees in the Phoenix area where an Extreme Heat
Warning remains in effect. The southeasterly flow continuing
across the area through the rest of today may allow for some
widely isolated convective showers across southeast Arizona and
likely some clouds into the south-central Arizona lower deserts by
this evening. Southerly breezy to locally windy conditions will
also affect portions of southeast California and southwest Arizona
this afternoon with gusts as high as 25-30 mph in some locations.

By Wednesday morning the weak shortwave is forecast to have moved
into central California and western Nevada as another stronger
Pacific wave moves eastward across the Pacific Northwest. Both
systems will combine into a larger trough with a trailing trough
axis eventually making its way into our region by Thursday. At
the same time, it will completely displace the ridge to the east
of our region allowing for modest height falls and cooling
temperatures. Forecast highs for Wednesday drop into the upper 90s
to just over 100 degrees across the lower deserts.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The weather pattern later this week is expected shift to a more
zonal westerly dry flow pattern, but with some influence from
passing troughs to our north. The drying flow will result in clear
to mostly clear skies for Thursday-Saturday with temperatures
remaining quite stable averaging 5-7 degrees above normal.
Ensembles are currently favoring a larger Pacific trough moving
through the Pacific Northwest this weekend bringing lower heights
as far south as the Southwestern U.S. NBM/WPC temperature
guidance suggests daytime highs falling back more into the upper
90s by around Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...Updated at 0550Z.

South Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT:
Occasionally gusty SSW-W winds Tuesday afternoon/evening will be
primary weather issue through the TAF period. Winds will
eventually settle out of familiar E`rly drainage directions
tonight (already established at KSDL, KDVT). By 18-20Z Tuesday,
confidence is moderate to good that SSW-SW winds will become
favored across the terminals, with occasional gusts to around 15
kts during the rest of the afternoon. During the evening,
confidence is currently high enough to include TEMPO stronger SW-W
gusts, with Hi-Res guidance showing a signal similar to a gulf
surge. However, virga to the south/southeast of the Phoenix
airspace could conceivably cause some erratic wind behavior and
gusts from a more southerly direction around the same time, with a
higher likelihood of that impact at KIWA.

Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH:
Periods of gusty winds varying between SSE-SSW at KBLH and between
SE and W at KIPL will be the primary aviation concern through the
next 24 hours. A period of VRB winds late this evening into the
overnight hours will precede a shift out of the S at KBLH and SE
at KIPL between 08-11Z Tuesday. Speeds will increase through the
morning hours, with gusts likely developing by the afternoon to
around 20 kts at KIPL and 25 kts at KBLH.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Hot, dry, and locally breezy to windy conditions will result in
elevated fire weather potential this afternoon across the Lower CO
River Valley. Wind gusts of 20-30 mph along with RHs 7-10% are
expected across the Lower CO River Valley. Elsewhere today, winds
will be lighter but with afternoon gusts of 15-20 mph possible.
Wednesday will bring another round of breezy winds over southeast
California and the Arizona high terrain with elevated fire weather
conditions again a possibility. Temperatures today will be 10-15
degrees above normal dropping to 5-8 degrees above normal starting
Wednesday. Winds will diminish starting Thursday, but very dry
conditions will continue to prevail.

&&

.PSR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AZ...Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM MST Tuesday for AZZ537-540-
     542>544-546-548-550-551.

CA...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kuhlman
LONG TERM...Kuhlman
AVIATION...Whittock
FIRE WEATHER...Kuhlman
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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