Casas Adobes, Arizona 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

884
FXUS65 KTWC 220944
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
244 AM MST Sat Feb 22 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Dry and unseasonably warm weather with high
temperatures well above normal will continue for southeast
Arizona through next work week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A dry shortwave is currently passing overhead this
morning bringing passing high cirrus clouds. This shortwave will
bring the temperatures a few degrees cooler than yesterday, but
will still be 3 to 6 degrees above normal.

After the shortwave passes, high pressure begins to build over
California and slowly drift eastward. This ridging will bring up
the temperatures 9 to 16 degrees above normal through Friday.
Currently the NBM has a 25% probability of reaching 90 degrees
Wednesday through friday. Winds generally remain light apart from
the occasional afternoon gusts.

Models are still hinting at a potential pattern shift next
weekend, but only time will tell how this will shake out for
Southeastern Arizona.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 23/12Z.
FEW-BKN cirrus clouds AOA 20k ft AGL will continue thru 22/14Z,
then becoming SKC thru the end of the period. Sfc winds W/NW 8-12
kts with gusts up to 20 kts thru 23/03Z, otherwise SFC winds
remain under 12 kts and follow normal diurnal trends. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions for the next 7 days with lower
elevation min RH`s generally 10-15 percent this afternoon, then
lowering to 5-10 percent from Saturday onward. For the mountains,
min RH 10-15 percent through Saturday, then decreasing to around 10
percent. Surface winds will be light outside of occasional
afternoon gusts, remaining under 20 mph. Temperatures will be
5-10 degrees above normal through Saturday, then increase to 10-16
degrees above normal next week.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Tetrault

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