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Homer, Alaska 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Homer AK
National Weather Service Forecast for: Homer AK
Issued by: National Weather Service Anchorage, AK
Updated: 3:21 pm AKDT May 16, 2025
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: A chance of rain.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Southwest wind around 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Chance Rain

Tonight

Tonight: A chance of rain before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers after 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance Rain

Saturday

Saturday: A slight chance of showers before 10am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
Showers then
Mostly Cloudy
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A chance of showers after 1am.  Cloudy, with a low around 41. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly Cloudy
then Chance
Showers
Sunday

Sunday: A chance of rain before 1pm, then showers likely after 1pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: A chance of showers before 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Chance
Showers
Monday

Monday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54.
Mostly Cloudy

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Partly Cloudy

Tuesday

Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 54.
Partly Sunny

Hi 51 °F Lo 39 °F Hi 52 °F Lo 41 °F Hi 52 °F Lo 40 °F Hi 54 °F Lo 41 °F Hi 54 °F

 

This Afternoon
 
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tonight
 
A chance of rain before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
 
A slight chance of showers before 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday Night
 
A chance of showers after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 41. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
 
A chance of rain before 1pm, then showers likely after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
 
A chance of showers before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
 
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54.
Monday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Tuesday
 
Partly sunny, with a high near 54.
Tuesday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Wednesday
 
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53.
Wednesday Night
 
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Thursday
 
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Homer AK.

Weather Forecast Discussion
489
FXAK68 PAFC 161311
AFDAFC

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
511 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Southcentral is squeezed between the remnants of a frontal
boundary and a weak upper level wave in the Interior just north of
the Alaska Range. This is keeping the moisture from the old front
over the region with just enough lift for rain in some locations.
The Kenai Peninsula has had some light rain showers tracking
across it most of the night and these are expected to taper off
through the day, though probably not disappear completely. That
upper level wave by the Alaska Range may bring some rain into the
northern Susitna Valley this morning and to the northern Copper
River Basin this afternoon into the overnight hours. This is a
weak feature and many of the models are not expecting any rain
with it. However, the setup is reasonable for some precipitation
to develop along it.

As we head into the weekend, the pattern does not change much.
Weak flow aloft and residual moisture will keep the clouds around
and whether due to some afternoon heating or forcing from an upper
level wave, there will be some showers that develop at times.
Nothing is well-organized, so it is difficult to call it anything
much more than scattered showers with seasonal temperatures.

&&


.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS
(Days 1 through 3)...

A relatively quiet forecast is in store for the western domain
for the short term. As of this morning, a ~1000 mb decaying
surface low is situated offshore to the west of Goodnews Bay and
Togiak, which is bringing showers to the area. The low also has a
broad trough axis situated almost east to west across the Bering
Sea, which has brought some showers and fog to the Pribilofs.
Guidance shows that the trough does not move much today, leaving
showers, low stratus, and patchy fog for the Bering, including the
Pribilofs. Due to the lack of upper level support and baroclinic
zone, the surface low will continue to weaken and remain quasi-
stationary through today and dissipate by Saturday.

On Saturday, a weakening frontal low pressure system quickly
moves across the Western Aleutians, giving the area a short window
of rain and gusty winds. Some of the model guidance depicts a
stout low level inversion with saturated lower levels as
precipitation comes to an end and winds relax Saturday evening,
indicating that areas of fog could also develop for the region. By
Sunday morning, what is left of the low and trough axis dives to
the southeast into the North Pacific.

-AM


&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Monday through Thursday)...

A broad upper level trough with multiple centers moving through
the pattern continues its hold on the Alaska Weather picture. The
main portion of the low centers over the Bering. A weaker trough
extending from a Arctic low moves across the Bering into the
Central Mainland, but does not contribute to larger scale weather
features. A number of shortwaves ripple across the Aleutians and
Alaska Peninsula into the Gulf of Alaska through the forecast
period. The GFS and ECMWF maintain decent agreement throughout the
large scale but yields uncertainty to the transient details.

Sporadic showers are expected across most of Interior Alaska
through the week. A well developed surface low brings areas of
moderate rain into the Western Aleutians and Bering beginning
Monday. The low center crowds the Aleutians as it moves into the
AKPEN through Thursday. Gusty winds move over the Western and
Central Aleutians with the low`s passage, diminishing late
Wednesday as the low moves to the South of Kodiak Island. A second
North Pacific low moves moderate to heavy rain into the Western
Aleutians and Bering for Thursday.

- Kutz


&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Light
and variable winds this morning will strengthen slightly as they
turn southwesterly during the afternoon hours. Wind speeds will
decrease again as flow shifts southeasterly overnight.

&&


$$
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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