Ester, Alaska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

706
FXAK69 PAFG 151232
AFDAFG

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
432 AM AKDT Wed Oct 15 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Wednesday is expected to be drier for much of the region than
recently seen. Northeasterly winds increase through the Interior
and winds shift easterly along the West Coast and North Slope.
Additional light precipitation is expected Thursday through
Saturday, mostly rain in the valleys and snow at higher elevation.

&&

.KEY WEATHER MESSAGES...
Central and Eastern Interior...
- Showers continue to diminish Wednesday morning. Skies clear
  somewhat as showers diminish. Isolated areas of fog possible in
  valleys Wednesday morning.

- Breezy northeasterly winds increase Wednesday. Gusts up to 35
  mph possible along Interior summits with gusts up to 25 mph
  possible in valleys unless sheltered from the northeast.

- Southerly gap flow will increase in the Alaska Range Passes
  beginning late Tuesday night and continuing into Thursday.
  Gusts up to 45 mph expected for the Eastern Alaska Range and
  gusts up to 40 mph possible for the Western Alaska Range.

- Another wave of moisture brings chances of rain and snow back to
  the Interior Thursday through Saturday. Mostly rain is expected
  below 1000 feet and mostly snow expected above 2000 feet with
  both possible between these levels. Snow becomes more prevalent
  Friday and Saturday as snow levels fall towards 500 feet.

West Coast and Western Interior...
- Weaker, generally southerly, winds along the West Coast easterly
  early Wednesday morning and will increase on Wednesday. Offshore
  flow expected for most coastal communities. Gusts up to 30 mph
  are possible, but generally speeds will be 25 mph or less. Winds
  shift northeasterly Wednesday night and weaken through Thursday
  morning. Friday sees increased Westerly flow south of the Bering
  Strait with marine gusts up to 30 mph and coastal gusts up to 25
  mph.

- Another wave of light rain moves across the West Coast Wednesday
  before dissipating Wednesday night. Additional light rain
  expected in the Western Interior Thursday spreading to the West
  Coast Friday.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
- Southerly winds will strengthen tonight and continue on
  Wednesday with winds up to 20 mph along the North Slope and with
  gusts up to 35 mph in the Brooks Range. Winds will shift to
  the east on Thursday and will gust to 35 mph along the Eastern
  Arctic Slope.

- Scattered snow showers are possible along the Western North
  Slope and Western Brooks Range Wednesday.

&&

.FORECAST ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION...
At the start of the forecast period early Wednesday morning, a
strong low continues to move east along the Aleutians towards the
Alaska Peninsula. As the low moves east northeasterly flow across
the Interior increases as well as offshore flow along the West
Coast. Winds shift east along the North Slope. Wednesday the low
is still too far away to provide enough moisture for additional
precipitation for most of the region, therefore mostly dry
conditions are expected for the Interior and North Slope. Some
light rain is possible along the West Coast as the remains of the
band that moved through the Interior fades along the Coast through
Wednesday. By Thursday morning, the low will have reached near
Kodiak Island and will be close enough to bring rain and snow back
to the region. A wave of light precipitation is expected to lift
north from the Southern Interior Thursday morning through Friday
and Saturday. Cooler air from further north gets pulled south by
the low allowing snow levels to slowly fall, but mostly rain is
still expected for areas 1000 feet and below. Snow becomes more
prevalent Friday in the Central Interior, but accumulations are
expected to be light. Temperatures slowly fall through the end of
the week.

&&

.EXTENDED FORECAST DAYS 4-7...
Another strong low pressure moves through the pattern Sunday and
Monday and is expected to follow a similar trajectory through the
Southern Bering Sea and into the Gulf of Alaska. There is still
some uncertainty with this system`s exact track and strength. Most
likely the system moves south of the region and results in another
round of northeasterly winds and additional precipitation, more
likely snow than rain. There is however a small chance that this
system moves further north and brings some coastal impacts back
to the West Coast. This `worst case scenario` for the West Coast
would still be significantly weaker than Halong or the coastal
storm before it and impacts from this system would be relatively
minor. The stormy pattern looks to continue into next week, but
the strongest lows are expected to track further south into the
Gulf of Alaska.


Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...
Gale Force easterly winds along the offshore waters of the North
Slope on Friday and Saturday will produce 8 to 10 foot seas in ice
free waters offshore between Demarcation Point and Utqiagvik.


&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AK...None.
PK...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ801-850.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ802.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ804.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ805-815-860.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ816.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ817.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ851.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ852.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ853.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ854.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ861.
&&

$$

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