Prichard, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

896
FXUS64 KMOB 061154
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
654 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 654 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Mostly VFR conditions will persist through the day; however, some
MVFR ceilings have developed this morning across the western
Florida Panhandle. These ceilings should rise this afternoon. An
isolated shower or two cannot be ruled out across the Florida
Panhandle and immediate coastline late this afternoon. Winds will
continue to be around 10 mph out of the east-northeast throughout
the forecast. BB/03

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 443 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024/

..New NEAR TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Monday)
Issued at 441 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Mostly cloudy conditions will continue today but most areas
should remain dry as a very subtle upper shortwave moves across
the eastern US. At the surface, a weak boundary continues to
slowly push further and further offshore. Continued overrunning of
the front is expected through the weekend; however, with the
front being so far south and drier air filtering in from the
northwest rain chances will likely be confined offshore. A
isolated to scattered shower cannot be ruled out along I-10 or
south but overall most of the area should remain dry. Really it`ll
just be cloudy across the area from the overrunning. By Monday,
the upper shortwave will depart to the east leading to the final
push of drier air into the area and clearing out skies. Given a
tightening pressure gradient along our marine waters, seas will
increase throughout the week leading to a HIGH rip current risk by
Monday night. Temperatures will remain mild given the clouds
cover with highs in the mid 80s across the northwester where
clouds will be thinner and low 80s across the Florida Panhandle.
Temperatures then increase on Monday as clouds clear allowing for
more mid to upper 80s across the entire area. BB/03

LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 441 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Much of this forecast period will be characterized as post-frontal
with no rain in sight this week nor this upcoming weekend and rather
pleasant, fall temperatures (especially late in the week). The cold
front will have passed through the area and be well to our south
over the Gulf as we roll into Tuesday morning. Drier air will
continue to filter into the region in the wake of the front,
especially as the local area remains on the northern and eventually
the northwestern side of Milton. Milton is forecast to be a
hurricane in the southern Gulf (well south of our local area) by
Tuesday morning and a MAJOR HURRICANE by Tuesday evening. Milton
poses no threat to our local area and the only impacts we will
receive locally are along the beaches and out over our Gulf waters.
Surf will continue to build through the day on Tuesday with breakers
of 4-7 feet on Wednesday. The risk of rip currents remains HIGH on
Tuesday as swell from Milton reaches our beaches. Conditions along
the coast will improve late Wednesday into Thursday.

In the wake of the front and hurricane, high temperatures will only
top out in the low 80s to upper 70s area-wide Tuesday through
Sunday. Lows will bottom out in the 50s across inland communities
with low 60s at the beaches in this pattern. 07/mb

MARINE...
Issued at 441 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Moderate to occasionally strong east-northeasterly winds will
continue through Sunday. Seas will increase to around 4 to 7 feet
offshore by Monday and a small craft advisory has been issued
Monday. Additional small craft advisories will likely be needed as
Tropical Storm Milton moves east across the southern Gulf by
midweek leading to a significant increase in winds and seas. BB/03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      85  67  89  63  85  63  85  61 /  20  10   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   83  70  87  67  85  68  83  63 /  30  10   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      82  71  87  70  86  70  81  64 /  40  10   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   83  63  89  57  85  60  84  55 /  20   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  86  63  89  57  82  58  84  57 /  10   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      83  62  87  56  82  59  83  56 /  10   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   81  65  89  60  86  62  82  57 /  40  10   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk from Monday morning through Wednesday
     evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk from Monday morning through Wednesday
     evening for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM CDT Monday
     for GMZ670-675.

&&

$$

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