Fairhope, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

128
FXUS64 KMOB 141844
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
144 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 142 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026


 - A MODERATE risk of rip currents will continue the first half of
   the week for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches,
   becoming a HIGH risk on Wednesday.

 - Coverage of showers and thunderstorms increases significantly
   for Monday into midweek bringing the potential for heavy
   rainfall and localized flash flooding.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 142 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

A much wetter pattern sets up for the first half of the new work
week as an upper trough trough digs across the eastern states and
sends a weak front southward into the region by tomorrow morning.
The front will stall across southern Mississippi and Alabama
Monday afternoon into Tuesday before moving back north by midweek.
Deep layer moisture values will rapidly increase on Monday and
continue into midweek with PWATs approaching 2.2 to 2.4 inches.
The combination of the approaching boundary, moisture levels and a
series of impulses moving through the westerly flow at the base
of the trough, will set the stage for a wet start to the week.
Periods of heavy rainfall are possible through midweek with
widespread total rainfall amounts ranging from 2 to 4 inches,
locally as high as 5 to 8 inches. Instances of flash flooding will
occur where banding and prolonged training of thunderstorms with
high precipitation rates occur near the stalled boundary. A Slight
Risk of excessive rainfall continues for interior portions of the
area on Monday and the entire area on Tuesday.

Temperatures will not be nearly as hot with the increased cloud
cover and rain. Highs Monday will be mainly in the 80s and highs
Tuesday in the middle 70s to middle 80s. Temperatures warm back up
by the end of the week. /13

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the evening and
into the early morning hours. Isolated to scattered showers and
storms are expected to develop across portions of the Florida
Panhandle and into south central Alabama this afternoon. Expect
brief reductions in visibilities and ceilings in some of the
heavier activity. After briefly drying out this evening, rain
chances quickly increase from west to east overnight tonight and
into Monday morning. Visibilities and ceilings should decrease to
MVFR, possibly lower, as rain coverage increases throughout the
morning. Westerly to southwesterly winds of around 5-10 knots will
continue through the period. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 142 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      78  88  74  82 /  20  80  60  90
Pensacola   80  90  77  85 /  10  80  50  80
Destin      80  89  77  85 /  10  60  40  80
Evergreen   75  86  71  80 /  40  90  80 100
Waynesboro  74  82  70  78 /  60 100  80 100
Camden      73  81  69  77 /  40  90  80 100
Crestview   77  89  72  82 /  10  90  60  90

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$