Daphne, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

084
FXUS64 KMOB 042346
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
646 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 641 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026

  - Heat indices will be mostly in the 100 to 105 range this
    weekend then trend to higher values of 100-108 for Tuesday
    through Friday.

  - Rain chances increase on Sunday with rain likely over much of
    the area on Monday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 641 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026

Isolated showers and storms continue across the area for the next
couple hours. After sunset, storms will gradually weaken and
dissipate. Overall forecast remains on track. MM/25

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026

Latest water vapor imagery shows zonal flow aloft across much of
the CONUS, with a weak shortwave over the Upper and Mid
Mississippi Valley. At the surface, high pressure remains over the
southeast, with weak surface flow over the local area. An
abundance of moisture continues to filter in over the area, which
is helping to aid in very isolated convection over our interior
areas. The lack of forcing is keeping this activity short lived,
but a quick shower/storm remains possible this afternoon.

Rain chances will really increase late tonight and into Sunday, as
the aforementioned shortwave amplifies and digs into the Lower
Mississippi Valley. This will shift the Subtropical Ridge further
east and provide some forcing for any storms that can develop.
We`ll likely see early showers/storms developing along outflow
boundaries still lingering from today`s activity. Showers/storms
will increase in coverage during the afternoon, becoming more
numerous as the trough slowly moves east. By Monday, the trough
will shift through the Ohio and TN Valleys, pushing a weak surface
boundary to the east and south. Not anticipating much organization
with this activity, but with ample instability, any storm that can
maintain a healthy updraft will be capable of producing brief wind
gusts and perhaps some small hail. Rain chances decrease as we
head into the evening, as we lose our daytime heating and the
trough continues its eastward progression. The boundary may stall
along the coast on Tuesday, leaving the potential for scattered to
numerous storms right along the coast, but uncertainty is high on
when/where this boundary will stall.

The remainder of the forecast period will generally be hot and
dry. Ridging builds back in from the southeast, bringing enough
subsidence to reduce rain chances. Isolated to scattered storms
are possible each afternoon, aided by daytime heating. Otherwise,
temperatures will be right around seasonal norms, with highs
climbing into the lower to mid 90s and overnight lows dropping
into the lower to mid 70s. /73

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026

VFR flight category prevails across the region outside of some
isolated showers and storms in the area early this evening. MVFR
visibility may settle in at times for a few hours mid to late
evening into the early overnight primarily in the vicinity of
larger cities owing to smoke from the 4th of July fireworks
celebrations and the decoupled boundary layer. Winds calm for most
locations this evening, returning to a southerly to southwesterly
wind around 5 knots Sunday morning. MM/25

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. /73

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      75  92  75  91 /  10  60  20  80
Pensacola   79  93  79  92 /   0  30  30  60
Destin      80  92  80  90 /   0  10  30  40
Evergreen   74  93  72  91 /  10  60  10  70
Waynesboro  75  93  73  91 /  30  70  30  70
Camden      75  91  73  89 /  20  50  20  70
Crestview   75  94  74  92 /   0  40  10  70

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$