Alabaster, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

340
FXUS64 KBMX 251114
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
514 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 511 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025

 - There are high chances (70-80%) for dense fog to develop across
   our southern counties this morning. A Dense Fog Advisory will
   be in effect until 10 AM.

 - Above-normal temperatures are expected into the weekend, with highs
   running 15-20 degrees above average, and lows running 15
   degrees above average.

 - A front is currently forecast to sweep across the region on
   Monday, swinging temperatures back to below normal to start
   next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Thursday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1149 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025

A foggy Christmas morning is in store for many of us. A zone of
coastal fog is visible on night fog satellite imagery, and HREF
probabilities are indicating high chances (70-80%) for the fog to
develop inland during the pre-dawn hours as far north as the
Birmingham metro. A Dense Fog Advisory will be in effect through
10 AM for the southern half of the forecast area, and we will
watch trends to see if any counties need to be added to the north
of the current Advisory area. Otherwise, ridging and associated
high pressure across the region will contribute to an anomalously
warm Christmas Day with highs in the mid to upper 70s expected to
occur each day through Sunday. There will be a mix of sun and
clouds during this time.

Our next chance of rain is set to arrive on Monday as an upper-level
low moves east across Canada and the Northern CONUS, reaching the
Great Lakes region at the beginning of next week. This system has
trended slower, and PoPs are now primarily focused on Monday with
some rain possible in the northwest as early as Sunday night. A
strong cold front will pass through the area and temperatures will
take a sharp turn in the opposite direction with highs and lows
forecast to be well below normal on Tuesday.

86/Martin

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 511 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025

Very dense fog is spreading across the region, with LIFR CIGs and
VIS ongoing at most terminals. This fog should begin to mix out
closer to 25/17z, with terminals slowly rebounding back into VFR
category. Fog may be possible again tonight, but confidence was
not high enough to introduce it at this time.

/44/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A rain-free forecast is expected to continue through the weekend
with persisting drought conditions. However, minRH will remain well
above critical thresholds through the week with southwesterly 20ft
winds around 5 to 8 kts. A cold front will bring increasing rain
chances on Monday in addition to much lower RHs thereafter.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 1255 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025

Record High Temperatures:

December 25:
KBHM: 78/2016
KEET: 79/2016
KANB: 78/2015
KTCL: 80/2016
KMGM: 82/2016

December 26:
KBHM: 76/2021
KEET: 75/2016
KANB: 78/2015
KTCL: 75/2021
KMGM: 82/2015

December 27:
KBHM: 77/2015
KEET: 77/2015
KANB: 76/2015
KTCL: 79/2015
KMGM: 80/2016

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     74  52  73  58 /   0  10  10  10
Anniston    74  53  73  58 /   0   0  10  20
Birmingham  73  55  73  60 /   0   0  10  10
Tuscaloosa  76  55  75  58 /   0   0  10  10
Calera      76  53  74  57 /   0   0  10  10
Auburn      75  54  72  58 /   0   0  10  10
Montgomery  75  54  75  59 /   0   0  10  10
Troy        75  52  74  57 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for the
following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Bullock-Calhoun-
Chambers-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore-Greene-Hale-
Jefferson-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-Marengo-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-
Pike-Randolph-Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-
Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...86/Martin
AVIATION.../44/