ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 241937

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

   Valid 251200Z - 261200Z

   Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather
   threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico.
   Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this
   afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with
   south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across
   southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday
   were trimmed for this area.

   ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest
   while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes
   tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across
   portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and
   dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern
   New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will
   coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several
   hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. 

   Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the
   Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too
   weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally
   breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any
   localized wildfire-spread potential that exists.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 232158

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

   Valid 251200Z - 011200Z

   A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward
   from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday
   through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the
   trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire
   weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High
   Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing
   dry fuels.

   ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin...
   Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing
   upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to
   generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire
   weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico
   and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to
   develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding
   with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday
   across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70
   percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced.
   Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough
   and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains
   by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial
   distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which
   could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. 

   ...Florida...
   A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold
   front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater
   probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued
   east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an
   Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida
   through the forecast period.

   ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025