ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 090658

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0158 AM CDT Fri May 09 2025

   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper ridge will shift into the Plains on Saturday, as a compact
   shortwave trough exits the Northeast. Beneath the building ridge, an
   upper low will meander about the Southeastern US as the mid-level
   flow pattern remains blocked. Troughing will slowly deepen over the
   eastern Pacific amplifying the upper-level pattern.

   ...Northern Plains...
   Despite the relatively stagnant upper air pattern strong flow aloft
   will begin to move over the Ridge across the Rockies and into the
   northern US. This will support slow deepening of a lee trough
   Saturday afternoon. Low-level winds will veer to southerly and
   strengthen through the weekend as dry surface conditions develop.
   While widespread critical RH and winds are not expected, a few hours
   of southerly gusts of 15-20 mph and RH below 35% are possible. This
   appears most likely over parts of the Dakotas and western MN. As
   fuels continue to dry, locally elevated fire-weather conditions may
   develop. However, the lack of stronger winds and overlap with the
   driest fuels should prevent more widespread concerns for Saturday.

   ..Lyons.. 05/09/2025

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 082151

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0451 PM CDT Thu May 08 2025

   Valid 101200Z - 161200Z

   An upper-level ridge over the West will begin to shift eastward over
   the central US and Great Lakes this weekend through early next week
   as an upper-level trough moves into the West. Above normal
   temperatures will shift from the northern Intermountain West Day
   3/Saturday to over the northern Plains and Great Lakes Day 4/Sunday
   into early next week. Scattered precipitation will fall across the
   northern half to two-thirds of the West, with mountain snow,
   especially in the northern Rockies. An upper low will slowly migrate
   east-northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley over the Southeast
   through mid-next week. Heavy precipitation is expected from Florida
   and the Deep South through the Carolinas. 

   ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 5/Monday: northern Plains into the Upper
   Midwest...
   Southerly flow will strengthen over the Plains, especially the
   northern Plains into the Upper Midwest this weekend through early
   next week. With above normal temperatures and the dry return flow,
   elevated to critical fire weather conditions are likely Day 4/Sunday
   - Day 5/Monday with a 40% probability introduced. There remains some
   uncertainty regarding when/where the low-level moisture will
   increase across the central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest.
   Fuels guidance indicates receptive fuels, including certain fuels
   entering or already in there spring dip. 

   There is the possibility of isolated dry thunderstorms from the
   Nebraska Panhandle into the western Dakotas Day 4/Sunday - Day
   5/Monday. However, there is too much forecast uncertainty to include
   probabilities at this time. 

   ...Great Basin into the Southwest...
   As the deep upper-level trough moves into the West, dry/windy
   conditions will overspread the Intermountain West, especially from
   the Great Basin through the Southwest. The dry/windy conditions will
   start Day 3/Saturday from the interior Pacific Northwest and
   western/northern Great Basin and shift south/east across the
   Intermountain West through Day 6/Tuesday. Recent precipitation has
   reduced fuel receptiveness across these areas, but portions of the
   Southwest may need to be included in future outlooks, especially if
   probabilities of high-end critical to extremely critical conditions
   increase.

   ..Nauslar.. 05/08/2025