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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 310711

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0211 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026

   Valid 311200Z - 011200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will impinge on the southern Rockies today,
   supporting surface low development along the TX Panhandle/OK border.
   Dry downslope flow will occur along the southern High Plains,
   resulting 15 mph sustained westerly surface winds amid 15 percent
   RH, warranting Elevated highlights. Isolated high-based
   thunderstorms may also develop ahead of a frontal boundary atop a
   dry boundary layer and receptive fuels. Given the potential for
   lightning induced ignitions with these storms, as well as the
   potential for ignition exacerbation from erratic thunderstorm wind
   gusts, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been added.

   ..Squitieri.. 03/31/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 310713

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0213 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will eject into the Plains states tomorrow
   (Wednesday), resulting in rapid surface low development across the
   central Plains. Strong gradient flow will support widespread 20-25
   mph sustained westerly surface winds west of a dryline. While
   Critical highlights were considered, widespread cloudiness will
   dampen boundary-layer mixing to a degree, with RH expected to stay
   above Critical thresholds (i.e. 20-25 percent RH). Given the
   presence of dry fuels and stronger winds, Elevated highlights have
   been introduced.

   ..Squitieri.. 03/31/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 302052

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0352 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026

   Valid 011200Z - 071200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will progress from the western U.S. into the
   Great Plains by D4/Thursday, with a more amplified trough entering 
   the central CONUS by the weekend. The active trough pattern will
   bring cooler temperatures, much needed rain, and higher elevation
   snow to much of the western U.S. with precipitation expanding
   eastward east of the Continental Divide through the remainder of the
   week. This should reduce fire weather concerns overall, with
   exceptions across the central and southern High Plains where
   precipitation will be limited to where pockets of dry/receptive
   fuels are likely to remain. Intensification of a lee-surface low
   will occur across CO/KS on Day 5/Friday before moving northeast to
   the Great Lakes region D6/Saturday. An upper ridge builds back
   across the western U.S. thereafter, bringing back warm and dry
   weather towards the end of the forecast period. 

   ...Day 3-5/Wednesday-Friday - Southern High Plains and far West
   Texas...
   Broad southwesterly flow enters southeastern NM and western TX on
   D3/Wednesday as a mid-level trough and associated jet eject into the
   Southern Plains. Deeper boundary layer moisture and associated
   rainfall should remain to the east of the southern High Plains,
   allowing dry and receptive fuels to persist. Strong westerly
   mid-level winds and lee surface troughing will continue to support
   dry, downslope favored flow across the southern High Plains for both
   D4/Thursday and D5/Friday. 40% critical probabilities have been
   maintained for much of eastern NM and western TX, though the
   inclusion of 70% critical probabilities in future outlooks may be
   needed amid the strong mid-level flow and receptive fuels.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia/Williams.. 03/30/2026
      




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