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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 281655

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1055 AM CST Tue Jan 28 2025

   Valid 281700Z - 291200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes are needed to the current D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See
   previous discussion below for more information.

   ..Thornton.. 01/28/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CST Tue Jan 28 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   Fire weather concerns appear limited for today across the country,
   though localized elevated conditions may emerge across parts of the
   central Plains and southwest New Mexico. Early-morning water vapor
   imagery depicts a de-amplifying upper low over western AZ. This
   feature is expected to meander east through the day, resulting in
   modest surface pressure falls across western NM and maintaining
   30-40 knot mid-level winds over the region. While pressure gradient
   winds are expected to be modest (10-15 mph) diurnal heating of a
   very dry low-level air mass (well sampled by the 00 UTC EPZ
   sounding) will support deep mixing and downward momentum transfer of
   the stronger mid-level winds, manifesting as 20-30 mph gusts at the
   surface. With afternoon RH minimums in the teens expected again for
   today, localized elevated fire weather conditions may emerge across
   southwest NM where these stronger gusts are most likely to occur
   based on recent ensemble guidance. Across the Plains, a clipper low
   moving southeastward out of the Canadian Prairies will maintain a
   moderate pressure gradient over the central to northern Plains.
   Winds between 15-20 mph are expected, with some RH reductions into
   the 20-35% range possible as a dry air mass (currently upstream over
   the High Plains) overspreads the region. Confidence in
   sustained/widespread elevated conditions remains limited, and fuels
   remain only modestly dry. These concerns preclude highlights at this
   time, but localized elevated conditions are possible across portions
   of NE and SD.

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 281940 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0140 PM CST Tue Jan 28 2025 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 01/28/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0146 AM CST Tue Jan 28 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to be limited for Wednesday across the country. The upper low currently over western Arizona will shift into the southern Plains through Wednesday evening. Widespread rain chances will overspread the southern Plains and Southwest regions through the day limiting fire weather potential for most areas. One exception is West Texas and south-central NM where rainfall should be limited. While breezy southwest winds are likely, recent guidance suggests the probability of reaching elevated RH thresholds is low. Elsewhere across the country, cool temperatures, weak winds, and/or recent rain/snowfall preclude fire weather concerns.

U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 272147

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0347 PM CST Mon Jan 27 2025

   Valid 291200Z - 041200Z

   Fire weather concerns will remain low in the early part of the
   extended forecast. An upper-low that has remained over the western
   US will eject across the southern Rockies into the Plains
   D3/Wednesday through D4/Thursday, bringing windy conditions but also
   chances for precipitation.

   Towards the weekend, potential for windy/dry conditions will exist
   across portions of the High Plains and Southern Plains as enhanced
   upper-level flow moves across the Rockies. A surface cyclone will
   develop across the southern Plains, with strengthening of a lee
   trough across the High Plains. This pattern will favor periods of
   elevated fire-weather conditions, particularly across southwestern
   and western Texas where freeze cured grasses may support risk for
   fire spread. Elsewhere, marginal fuels and chances for additional
   precipitation should limit the potential for critical conditions.

   ..Thornton.. 01/27/2025

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