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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 060740

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0140 AM CST Tue Jan 06 2026

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Weak surface lee troughing beneath zonal flow aloft will support
   relatively quiescent fire weather conditions for most of the central
   CONUS today. The one exception will be over portions of the central
   High Plains, where locally stronger downslope flow is expected as a
   small mid-level impulse overspreads the region during the afternoon.
   15-20 mph sustained westerly surface winds amid 20-25 percent RH
   will overlap with drying fuels for several hours, warranting the
   continuance of Elevated highlights.

   ..Squitieri.. 01/06/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 060754

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0154 AM CST Tue Jan 06 2026

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will eject into the southern Plains tomorrow
   (Wednesday), supporting surface low development over the southern
   High Plains. While moisture return is anticipated over the southern
   Plains, some dry downslope flow is expected across portions of
   western Texas, as well as the central High Plains. In these
   aforementioned areas, sustained westerly winds may briefly exceed 15
   mph. However, guidance varies in terms of how low RH will dip by
   afternoon peak heating, with some guidance showing RH reaching 20
   percent in some spots, with other members showing RH only dipping
   into the 25-30 percent range on a widespread basis. Given dry fuels,
   locally Elevated conditions are possible, but do not seem widespread
   enough to warrant highlights at this time.

   ..Squitieri.. 01/06/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 052132

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0332 PM CST Mon Jan 05 2026

   Valid 071200Z - 131200Z

   Fire weather concerns limited/low confidence through the extended
   period. A quasi-zonal flow pattern will be in place across the
   Plains D3/Wednesday with some lingering Elevated fire weather
   conditions across eastern New Mexico. 

   The next longwave trough will begin to progress out of the western
   US on D4/Thursday, with a surface low developing across the
   Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles into western Kansas. As this occurs,
   southerly flow will increase with moisture advection into the
   western portion of the Southern Plains and into the Mississippi and
   Missouri River Valleys. Guidance has continued to differ on exactly
   how far into the Plains this moisture reaches, but the trend
   continues to be for more widespread wetting rainfall D4/Thursday,
   which may aid in improving status of fuels and mitigating any
   widespread fire weather concerns. As it stands, guidance suggests a
   gradient in precipitation amounts extending from central
   Oklahoma/north-central Texas, with the heaviest amounts eastward. It
   is possible that portions of western Texas remain drier with less
   meaningful precipitation.

   There is some indication that on D5/Friday, strong and dry post
   frontal northwesterly flow will overspread the Plains behind the
   departing low. This may lead to some overlap of windy/dry conditions
   across portions of western and north-central Texas. Confidence is
   low in including any areas at this time with potential precipitation
   unknown on D4/Thursday. Should precipitation totals be light across
   portions of western Texas, an area may need to be included in
   upcoming outlook updates.

   ..Thornton.. 01/05/2026
      




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