U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 060550 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CDT Sun Oct 06 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A large upper-level trough over the Northeast will continue to amplify through the day, while a large upper-level ridge builds into the northern Rockies and northern Great Plains. A mid-level short-wave trough will sweep across parts of the Midwest into the central Great Plains throughout the day. At the surface, warm/dry conditions will develop across the southern/central High Plains during the afternoon, as post-frontal return flow develops in advance of the aforementioned short wave. This may produce locally elevated fire-weather conditions for parts of the central High Plains, but such conditions appear too localized to introduce an elevated area at this time. ..Karstens.. 10/06/2024
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 052054 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 PM CDT Sat Oct 05 2024 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z A very dry airmass will remain entrenched across much of the central and western United States this week. This airmass will allow rapid temperature rises during the afternoon resulting in relative humidity falling into the 20-30 percent range (and locally lower) most afternoons. The lack of any large-scale synoptic troughs moving through the mid-level flow will preclude any critical fire weather probabilities at this time. By late this week, into next weekend, guidance suggests a cold front will move across the Plains. An increase in surface wind speeds will almost certainly accompany the frontal passage (both pre- and post-frontal). Thus, as the timing of this synoptic wave/surface front, becomes more clear, at least elevated fire-weather highlights will be needed. Additionally, surface winds may increase by next weekend across inland Southern California into the Great Basin. However, confidence in timing/strength of this trough remains low. ..Marsh.. 10/05/2024
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