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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 090658

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0158 AM CDT Sat May 09 2026

   Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Between a large-scale ridge over the West Coast and broad upper
   troughing over the eastern two-thirds of the CONUS, a belt of
   enhanced deep-layer northwesterly flow will overspread a dry
   post-frontal air mass over the northern Plains. Over parts of
   western/central ND, diurnal heating will result in a well-mixed
   boundary layer with 20-30 percent RH amid 15-20 mph sustained
   northwesterly surface winds. This overlap of modestly dry/breezy
   conditions over critically dry/receptive fuels will favor elevated
   fire-weather conditions. The Elevated highlights are generally
   bounded by cooler temperatures/higher RH to the east, expected cloud
   coverage to the west (accompanying a passing shortwave trough), and
   a band of ongoing precipitation across southern ND.

   Farther west, areas of dry/windy conditions are expected across
   parts of the Great Basin into the Southwest. While locally elevated
   conditions will be possible, fuels are generally unsupportive of
   large fires at this time.

   ..Weinman.. 05/09/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 090658

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0158 AM CDT Sat May 09 2026

   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A limited overlap of warm, dry, and breezy conditions atop receptive
   fuels will limit fire-weather concerns on Sunday.

   ..Weinman.. 05/09/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 082154

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0454 PM CDT Fri May 08 2026

   Valid 101200Z - 161200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Larger scale upper-level troughing will likely remain anchored over
   the eastern U.S. at least through the middle of next week. Farther
   west, upper-level ridging and associated warm and dry surface
   conditions will continue well into next week, aiding in drying fuels
   west of the Continental Divide. An embedded short wave at the apex
   of the broader ridge axis and surface trough development across
   portions of northern High Plains should present a fire weather
   concern for portions of the northern High Plains on Day 4/Monday.
   Longer term ensemble guidance suggests a more progressive wave
   pattern emerging for the latter half of next week with ridging
   shifting into the central U.S. while with another upper-level
   entering the Pacific Northwest as early as Day 6/Wednesday,
   potentially bringing breezy and dry conditions to much of the Great
   Basin as well as high based convection to portions of the CO River
   Basin.

   ...Day 4-5/Monday-Tuesday - Northern High Plains into Upper
   Midwest...
   An upper-level short wave and associated surface lee troughing
   across the Dakotas should promote breezy west/northwest winds of up
   to 20 mph to much of eastern MT into western ND on Day 4/Monday.
   Lack of recent significant rainfall has aided in drying fuels across
   the Northern Plains. The dry and breezy conditions along with
   receptive fuels supports introduction of 40% critical probabilities
   into eastern MT and far western ND. The fire weather threat shifts
   eastward into the Upper Midwest for Day 5/Tuesday as a surface low
   deepens and moves into the Great Lakes region. However, preceding
   precipitation may limit impact of dry, post frontal conditions
   across this region.

   ...Day 6/Wednesday - Colorado River Basin and Great Basin...
   Several days of anomalously warm temperatures and low RH will aid in
   drying fuels across the western U.S. before the next upper-trough
   impinges on the Pacific Northwest as early as Day 5/Tuesday.
   Increasing south to southwest flow ahead of the trough should
   support an increasing fire weather threat to portions of the Great
   Basin and Desert Southwest. In addition, mid to upper-level Pacific
   moisture within a supportive upper-level environment could bring
   some high-based showers and thunderstorms to portions of the CO
   River Basin and eastern Great Basin Day 6/Wednesday. However,
   forecast uncertainty remains in timing of the next trough which
   precludes introduction of critical probabilities at this time.

   ..Williams.. 05/08/2026
      




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