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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 131628

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1128 AM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

   Valid 131700Z - 141200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF NORTHWESTERN NEVADA...

   The forecast remains on track, and no changes were needed with this
   update. For details, see the previous discussion below.

   ..Weinman.. 06/13/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0212 AM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   A belt of southwesterly flow aloft with an embedded shortwave trough
   will be situated over the northwestern CONUS during the day. This
   will provide the focus for fire weather concerns, with the strong
   flow aloft mixing down due to strong surface heating, producing
   gusts of 25-30 mph across parts of northwestern Nevada. This will
   occur in the presence of 10-15% RH for several hours. Fuels in this
   area are fairly dry, so have maintained the Critical area across
   parts of northwestern Nevada. Similarly, modestly dry fuels along
   with gusty winds and 15-20% RH will result in Elevated fire
   conditions across portions of the Columbia Valley in Washington and
   Oregon.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 131754

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1254 PM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, and only minor
   adjustments were made to the Elevated highlights in northwestern NV
   -- based on the latest high-resolution guidance.

   ..Weinman.. 06/13/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0212 AM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   A modestly strong mid-level jet is expected to be situated over the
   northwestern CONUS during the day on Saturday, and strong surface
   heating in this area is expected to mix down some of that momentum
   from aloft. Given gusts of 20-25 mph expected along with 10-15% RH
   and dry fuels, have introduced an Elevated area in northwest Nevada.
   Additionally, modestly dry fuels across portions of the Columbia
   River Valley in Washington and Oregon along with 15-20% RH along
   with gusts of 20-25 mph warrant the introduction of an Elevated area
   here, as well.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 132058

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0358 PM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

   Valid 151200Z - 211200Z

   A mid/upper-level ridge centered on the southern/central Rockies
   will deamplify as a midlevel trough and related strong flow aloft
   track eastward across the Great Basin and parts of the Southwest and
   southern/central Rockies on Days 4-5/Monday-Tuesday. The strong flow
   aloft will overspread a warm/dry antecedent air mass across these
   regions, promoting elevated to locally critical fire-weather
   conditions each afternoon. Depending on the receptiveness of fuels,
   higher probabilities may eventually be needed across parts of the
   Great Basin on Day 4/Monday and the southern Rockies on Day
   5/Tuesday -- given relatively high confidence in the development of
   critical conditions each day.

   By Days 7-8/Thursday-Friday, a robust midlevel trough/low should
   evolve off the Pacific Northwest Coast. While the exact
   timing/evolution of the trough/low varies among the medium-range
   guidance, current indications are that strong west-southwesterlies
   peripheral to this feature will overspread parts of the Great Basin
   on Day 7/Thursday and/or Day 8/Friday. Therefore, 40-percent
   Critical probabilities have been added for both days, and future
   adjustments will likely be needed.

   ..Weinman.. 06/13/2025
      




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