ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 120628

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0128 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

   Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Dry and breezy downslope winds are forecast to return to the Central
   and Southern High Plains on Friday as deep boundary layer mixing
   transports strong west-northwesterly flow from aloft to the surface.
   Widespread winds of 15-20 MPH and relative humidity of 10-15% is
   expected to overlap with dry and receptive fuels. Locally critical
   conditions may occur where favored by topography, but uncertainty in
   the magnitude and duration of these stronger winds precludes
   Critical highlights at this time.

   ..Halbert.. 03/12/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 112207

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0507 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

   Valid 131200Z - 191200Z

   Northwest flow aloft will be in place across much of the CONUS on
   Day 3/Friday. Flow becomes more zonal across much of the central
   CONUS for Day 4/Saturday as the first indications of a upper level
   shortwave trough drops through the Pacific Northwest. By Day
   5/Sunday, this trough digs significantly southward over the central
   Plains and reaches the southern Appalachian Mountains by Day
   6/Monday before retreating northward again on Day 7/Tuesday over the
   Eastern Seaboard. The latest forecast guidance continues to dig the
   trough farther south with successive runs, suggesting some
   uncertainty related to the trough's evolution as it moves eastward.
   Meanwhile, an upper level ridge will build over the western CONUS
   while the Great Plains remain between the two features under
   northwest flow. Forecast guidance continues to show the upper level
   high strengthening well above seasonal norms generally centered over
   Arizona Day 8/Wednesday and beyond.

   On Day 3/Friday, downslope flow off the central and southern Rocky
   Mountains will continue. Minimal changes were made to the 40%
   probabilities for this day. Forecast guidance continues to show wind
   and RH values falling within elevated criteria. Over the southern
   and central Appalachians, there remains significant differences in
   forecast guidance as to how dry surface air will become under the
   post-frontal environment not mention preceding rainfall. This will
   be watched with future issuances.

   On Day 4/Saturday, the latest forecast guidance indicates a slightly
   more southerly track associated with the aforementioned deep trough.
   This will allow for stronger winds to impact much of the state of
   New Mexico, thus necessitating a 70% area of critical conditions.
   The limiting factor keeping the outlook area from being drawn
   farther west was the high fuel moistures across extreme western New
   Mexico into Arizona and Utah where wind and RHs are expected to meet
   criteria. However, this event will serve to pre-condition fuels in
   these areas. Farther north through the Front Range, yet another day
   of downslope winds will need to be watched for trends toward a
   potential mountain wave setup.

   On Day 5/Sunday, on the back side of the trough, expect northwest
   flow to provide another day of strong winds associated with
   persistent dry air again over southeastern New Mexico and much of
   west Texas. The 40% area was moved slightly south over this region
   with a 70% area also introduced over extreme southeast New Mexico
   and portions of nearby west Texas.

   Well above normal temperatures and dry conditions will serve to cure
   fuels over the course of several consecutive days across the
   southern half of the western CONUS through the outlook period.
   Regardless of winds, RHs would suggest extended burn periods across
   these areas given receptive fuels.

   ..Stearns/Nauslar.. 03/11/2026