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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 270645

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0145 AM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

   Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH
   PLAINS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected this
   afternoon across the southern High Plains. Early-morning surface
   observations show that a very dry air mass resides over the
   Southwest and southern High Plains with dewpoints in the 15-25 F
   range for most locations. This air mass resulted in RH minimums
   generally near 10% yesterday, and with no moisture recovery expected
   over the next 24-48 hours, similar RH values are anticipated this
   afternoon. 

   Gradient winds will generally increase to 15-20 mph across the
   region through late morning and early afternoon before gradually
   abating by early evening as a surface cyclone drifts towards the MS
   Valley/Midwest region. Critical conditions appear most likely
   roughly along the I-40 corridor and downwind of the Sacramento
   Mountains. Here, residual belts of 20-30 mph low-level flow within
   the boundary layer will help support sustained winds closer to 20
   mph with gusts up to 30-35 mph. Given dry conditions over preceding
   days and recent new fire activity, fuels will support some degree of
   fire spread.

   ..Moore.. 04/27/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 270646

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0146 AM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

   Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND
   WESTERN TEXAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Critical fire weather conditions will continue into Tuesday across
   parts of eastern NM and western TX. Early-morning water-vapor
   imagery depicts a low-amplitude upper wave over central CA. This
   feature will quickly progress eastward into the Southwest over the
   next 48 hours, which will result in surface pressure falls and
   increasing westerly gradient winds across the southern High Plains
   Tuesday afternoon. 

   Latest forecast consensus is that wind speeds will generally
   increase into the 15-20 mph range for most of the region. Given an
   antecedent dry air mass and several preceding days of dry/windy
   conditions, fuels will remain stressed through Tuesday and should
   support some degree of fire spread. Additionally, increasing
   downslope flow will maintain dry conditions with RH minimums in the
   10-20% range likely. Critical fire weather conditions appear most
   probable in the lee of the more prominent southern Rockies mountain
   ranges where terrain enhancement of flow under the upper jet will
   promote sustained winds closer to 20-25 mph.

   ..Moore.. 04/27/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 262117

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0417 PM CDT Sun Apr 26 2026

   Valid 281200Z - 041200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level wave and associated robust jet core will eject into the
   southern and central Plains on Day 3/Tuesday. A resultant lee
   surface tough evolves across the southern High Plains. The
   deep-layer westerly flow will support dry and breezy conditions
   across much of NM into western TX Tuesday. A broad upper-level
   trough emerges across the eastern U.S. Days 4-5/Wednesday-Thursday
   while a surface trough and cold front promote wetting rains for much
   of the Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic, Northeast and portions of the
   Southeast, reducing fire weather concerns. Farther west, an
   upper-level trough, a stalled frontal boundary at the surface and
   sufficient atmospheric moisture should promote widespread wetting
   rains across portions of the central and southern High Plains
   beginning Day 5/Thursday, lasting through Day 6/Friday. Some
   locations across the southern and central High Plains have not
   observed significant rainfall in the last 4 months where fuels
   remain very dry and green up continues to be delayed.

   ...Day 3/Tuesday - Southern Plains...
   A 50-60 knot mid-level jet at the base of a progressive upper-level
   wave pushing into the central Plains will reinforce dry and breezy
   westerly flow across much of NM and southern High Plains on Day
   3/Tuesday, where a broad 40% critical probability area remains. A
   drier air mass ushered in by Tuesday should support very low RH
   during the day, likely 10% or below, across southeastern NM,
   stretching into west TX. Poor RH recoveries tonight and Day 2/Monday
   night leading up to Tuesday, should further precondition the
   fuelscape to wildfire spread. 70% critical probabilities have been
   introduced where forecast confidence is higher in overlap of low RH
   and downslope enhanced west winds of 15-25 mph across southeastern
   NM into west TX.

   ..Williams.. 04/26/2026
      




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