|
U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 021643
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1043 AM CST Mon Feb 02 2026
Valid 021700Z - 031200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...17z Update...
Locally elevated conditions remain possible this afternoon across
portions of northeast New Mexico and portions of the southern High
Plains. A few hours of gusty westerly winds may approach 15-20 mph
overlapped with RH below 20 percent. However, area fuels are not
overly dry, limiting the potential for broader fire weather
concerns. See the previous discussion for additional information.
..Elizalde-Garcia/Lyons.. 02/02/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0129 AM CST Mon Feb 02 2026/
...Synopsis...
A surface low will deepen in the central High Plains and shift
southward into the southern High Plains today. A cold front will
move through the regions through the day. Surface winds of 15-20 mph
in the central High Plains will occur behind the front. Farther
south, winds will be weaker outside of a few terrain favored
locations. RH of 20-25% is possible in the central High Plains;
however, mid/upper cloud potential does introduce some uncertainty.
Current fuel data generally suggests that fire weather concerns will
remain localized as the broader fuel environment is not overly
receptive at this time.
|
U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 020730
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0130 AM CST Mon Feb 02 2026
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
With a fairly broad trough from the Rockies to the East Coast,
northwesterly flow aloft will be maintained within the High Plains
region. Another mid-level shortwave trough will move into the
central High Plains. A similar pattern to Monday will occur on
Tuesday. A weak surface low will develop in eastern Colorado and
shift southward. A secondary cold front will again move through the
central/southern High Plains. While dry and breezy conditions are
possible across parts of the central/southern High Plains, a weaker
surface pressure gradient and slightly cooler temperatures should
mitigate most fire weather concerns.
..Wendt.. 02/02/2026
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 012134
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0334 PM CST Sun Feb 01 2026
Valid 031200Z - 091200Z
...Synopsis...
A broad upper-level troughing pattern across the eastern U.S. and
ridging across the West is likely to persist through much of this
week. Longer term ensemble guidance suggests a slow deamplification
and shift eastward of the ridge into the Great Plains early next
week which could allow more favorable Pacific moisture trajectories
into the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies by Day 8/Sunday. At
the surface, another southward advancing cold front and related
mid-level trough encountering increasing lower-level Gulf moisture
will support widespread precipitation from eastern TX on Day
3/Tuesday into much of the Southeast by Day 4 Wednesday, mitigating
fire weather concerns. Dry conditions and above normal temperatures
are expected under the ridge for the West and into the High Plains.
...Days 4-5/Wednesday-Thursday - Desert Southwest and Southern
California...
A developing mid-level low near Baja California, along with an
emerging sustained east-to-west surface pressure gradient should
augment stronger easterly winds across the Desert Southwest and
southern CA by midweek. Persistently low relative humidity
(including poor overnight recoveries) are likely to persist through
midweek. Although alignment of dry and breezy conditions are
probable, a marginally dry fuelscape should allay a more significant
fire weather concern Wednesday and Thursday.
..Williams.. 02/01/2026
|
|