ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 080723

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0123 AM CST Sun Feb 08 2026

   Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH
   PLAINS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will overspread the Great Lakes as another upper
   trough impinges on the California coastline tomorrow (Monday). The
   progression of the northern U.S. trough will encourage surface low
   development over the central Plains Monday afternoon, with dry
   downslope flow over portions of the High Plains. Widespread Elevated
   conditions are expected across parts of the central High Plains into
   Nebraska immediately behind a surface cold front accompanying the
   aforementioned surface low. 15-20 mph sustained west-northwesterly
   surface winds will overlap with 20-25 percent RH atop dry fuels for
   at least a few hours.

   Farther south across the southern High Plains, dry downslope flow
   will be stronger compared to points farther north. By afternoon peak
   heating, southwesterly surface winds may sustain over 25 mph amid
   10-15 percent RH, warranting Critical highlights given dry fuels.

   ..Squitieri.. 02/08/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 072158

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0358 PM CST Sat Feb 07 2026

   Valid 091200Z - 151200Z

   Mid-level flow over the CONUS is forecast to intensify and shift
   southward as upper troughing over the East weakens. As stronger
   zonal flow aloft becomes established, several shortwave
   perturbations will move over the Rockies and into the Plains next
   week. Periods of stronger westerly flow will likely support more
   active fire-weather conditions in the High Plains early next week.
   general amplification of the pattern should continue into next
   weekend, likely with an increase dry conditions and fire danger over
   the central and Southwestern US.

   ...High Plains...
   Several perturbations within the increasingly zonal flow regime will
   pass over the Rockies next week. A southern stream trough moving out
   of northern Mexico will allow for modest lee cyclogenesis D3/Monday
   over parts of NM and southern CO. Dry and breezy downslope
   conditions are possible south of the low with RH below 20% expected
   across portions of eastern NM and west TX D3/Monday. This will
   likely support a few hours of elevated fire-weather potential
   despite fuels that are only modestly receptive to fire spread.

   Farther north into parts of the central High Plains, a stronger
   upper trough will move over the northern Rockies also supporting
   strong downslope winds. A surface cold front will also move south
   bolstering surface winds over parts of CO/WY and NE. Downslope winds
   of 20-30 mph are possible. However, uncertainty exists on how dry
   surface conditions will be given the cooler temperatures and cloud
   cover associated with the front. Still, unusually dry fuels and a
   few hours of strong winds and lower RH should support elevated
   fire-weather conditions D3/Monday.

   Episodic troughing will continue over the Rockies and Plains next
   week with the overall pattern gradually amplifying into next
   weekend. Ensemble spread increases by mid week but does hint at
   strong troughing and increasing fire-weather potential into week two
   across the Plains and Southwest. For now confidence in dry/windy
   conditions and the return of Gulf Moisture/precip precludes any
   additional probabilities.

   ..Lyons.. 02/07/2026