ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 140609

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1209 AM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

   Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Mid-level shortwave ridging is expected to be over the southern
   Rockies during the day on Sunday with a weak jet max near the apex
   of the ridge over northern Colorado and southern Wyoming. This
   should result in dry, breezy conditions across parts of the central
   and northern High Plains and downslope flow along the Front Range in
   Colorado. RH near 15-20% is expected along in the presence of winds
   near 15-20 mph with localized higher winds possible near the
   mountainous terrain. These factors along with dry fuels in the area
   prompted the addition of an Elevated area across portions of the
   central and northern High Plains. Precipitation is expected across
   parts of northwestern Kansas and eastern Colorado, with the much of
   the wetting rains expected to remain south of the Elevated risk
   area. However, if more or less rain falls than expected, adjustments
   may be needed in this area.

   ..Supinie.. 02/14/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 132202

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0402 PM CST Fri Feb 13 2026

   Valid 151200Z - 211200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A persistent upper-level troughing regime is likely to evolve across
   the western U.S., with several short wave features ejecting into the
   Plains through next week. Enhanced and broad mid-level flow over the
   southern U.S. along with subsequent lee cyclogenesis events are
   expected to a bring multi-day fire weather threat to portions of the
   central and southern Plains through at least Day 7/Thursday. 

   ...Day 3/Sunday - Central Plains and Colorado Front Range...
   Increasing mid-level winds over the Southern Rockies ahead of a
   broad trough approaching the West Coast, along with surface trough
   development across the Northern Plains should favor dry, downslope
   flow across the CO Front Range. The dry and breezy conditions will
   likely align with dry fuels to support an increasing fire weather
   threat for the Front Range where 40% critical probabilities have
   been introduced. Enhanced fire weather concerns remain farther
   northeast across western NE and adjacent areas where a broader
   west-southwest wind field associated with the surface trough/low
   aligns with dry conditions and fuels.

   ...Day 4/Monday - Eastern NM and the TX Panhandle...
   A negatively tilted upper-level trough heads into the West Coast on
   Day 4/Monday. Increasing mid-level flow on the nose of a pronounced
   mid-level jet along with continued lee troughing should promote dry
   and breezy conditions across portions of eastern NM and the TX
   Panhandle on Monday. The dry, downslope-favored flow from the
   west-southwest along with minimal preceding rainfall and abundant
   dry fuels necessitated introduction of a 40% critical probability
   area for eastern NM and the TX Panhandle vicinity.

   ...Day 5-7/Tuesday-Thursday - Southern and Central Plains...
   Forecast confidence is increasing for a more expansive fire weather
   threat for the southern and central Plains for Day 5/Tuesday.
   Pronounced surface cyclogenesis across the central Plains along with
   an impinging 90-100 knot jet core at the base of a mid-level trough
   will likely produce a broad fire weather concern from southeastern
   WY, eastern CO and particularly across the southern Plains. A 70%
   critical probability area has been introduced into far eastern NM
   and the northwest TX Panhandle where alignment of deep-layer
   southwesterly flow (including critical low relative humidity),
   dry/receptive fuels and absence of recent precipitation is most
   likely. A dry, downslope regime should remain over the southern High
   Plains on Day 6/Wednesday imparting additional fire weather threats
   to eastern NM and the TX Panhandle area. A similar synoptic setup as
   Day 5/Tuesday likely emerges for Day 7/Thursday, where another
   mid-level short wave and attendant jet max enters the Southern
   Plains. An emergent deepening cyclone across the Central Plains
   should yield expanding dry, southwest flow across the Southern
   Plains where 40% critical probabilities have been introduced.

   ..Williams.. 02/13/2026