ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 061933

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0133 PM CST Fri Feb 06 2026

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...High Plains...
   Downslope winds and unusually dry conditions are expected Saturday
   afternoon over parts of CO, WY western NE and northwest KS. RH below
   20% and winds gusting to 20-30 mph are likely behind a lee trough
   amid unseasonably dry fuels. This will support Elevated fire-weather
   conditions for a few hours.

   Similar downslope enhanced winds and drying are expected farther
   south into parts of West TX and eastern NM. While winds will be
   somewhat weaker and more southerly, a few gusts to 20-25 mph and RH
   below 20% will still favor Elevated fire-weather conditions.

   ...FL...
   Mid-level subsidence on the back side of the departing eastern US
   trough will allow very dry mid-level air to move into parts of FL.
   While cooler surface temperatures are expected behind a departing
   surface cold front, mixing may allow RH values to fall below 20%
   during the day. Occasional gusts to 10-15 mph could support brief
   locally elevated fire-weather conditions Saturday afternoon across
   the Fl Peninsula. However, cooler surface temperatures and minimal
   overlap with dry fuels should preclude broader fire-weather
   concerns.

   ..Lyons.. 02/06/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0139 AM CST Fri Feb 06 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   Predominantly upper ridging will prevail over the central U.S.
   tomorrow (Saturday). However, an embedded mid-level impulse will
   traverse the ridge over the central Rockies and overspread the
   central Plains by afternoon. Surface lee troughing will encourage
   dry downslope flow over portions of the Colorado/Wyoming border into
   western Nebraska, and northeast New Mexico into the northern Texas
   Panhandle by afternoon peak heating. Over both of these areas, 15+
   mph sustained westerly surface winds should overlap with 25 percent
   RH for at least a few hours. Given the lack of recent precipitation
   over these areas, fuels should be dry enough to support some
   wildfire-spread potential, warranting the introduction of Elevated
   highlights.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 062153

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0353 PM CST Fri Feb 06 2026

   Valid 081200Z - 141200Z

   Active and progressive mid-level flow is expected across the CONUS
   through the extended forecast period. Shortwave troughing will
   progress through the Rockies and Plains this weekend with more
   troughing expected later next week. Fire weather concerns
   should generally increase for portions of the Southern Plains early
   next week as stronger southwest flow affects the region.

   ...Northern Rockies D3-D4...
   Dry and breezy downslope conditions are possible ahead of a northern
   stream shortwave trough across parts of the northern Rockies
   D3/Sunday and D4/Monday. With westerly flow expected to increase
   behind a departing lee low, downslope winds of 15-30 mph are
   possible. Uncertainty exists on how dry surface conditions will be
   given the arrival of western troughing and snow. However, some
   localized fire-weather concerns are possible given ongoing drought
   and increase in low-level winds, especially D4/Monday over parts of
   WY and CO.

   ...Southwest/Southern Plains D4-D7...
   Increasing mid-level flow over the central Rockies is expected much
   of next week as the large-scale pattern moves toward more active
   southern stream flow. A shortwave trough will move across the
   southern Rockies D4/Monday increasing winds across portions of
   eastern NM and west TX. Episodic troughing and stronger flow aloft
   will continue through much of the week and into next weekend with an
   increase in the fire-weather risk given dry fuels and warm
   temperatures.

   While some fire-weather risk appears possible, increasing ensemble
   member spread and uncertainty regarding the northern extent of
   returning Gulf moisture and precipitation into the southern Plains
   precludes the introduction of probabilities at this time.

   ..Lyons.. 02/06/2026