ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 021917

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0117 PM CST Fri Jan 02 2026

   Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous
   discussion for more information.

   ..Thornton.. 01/02/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   The prevailing large-scale mid-level pattern will remain the same on
   Saturday (as compared to Friday) with a western ridge and eastern
   trough. The short-wave trough that will have moved across the
   Southern Plains on Friday will be absorbed into the eastern US
   longwave trough on Saturday. As this happens, low-level moisture
   will be drawn northward into the Southeast. To the west of this
   trough (across the Southern Plains), relative humidity will once
   again fall into the 20%s across portions of southern and southwest
   Texas, however, with the departure of the mid-level wave, winds
   should be light enough to preclude fire-weather highlights.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 022142

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0342 PM CST Fri Jan 02 2026

   Valid 041200Z - 101200Z

   Mid-level flow aloft will overspread the northern/central Rockies
   with short-waves traversing the crest of the central US ridge
   through the extended period. Eventually the ridge will break down,
   with potential for ejection of a deeper wave across Southwest into
   the Plains by the end of the period. Widespread rainfall will be
   common across the western US/eastern US during this time period,
   with little to no precipitation extending into the central/southern
   High Plains. As such, multiple periods of interest are expected to
   produce fire weather concerns.

   ...D3/Sunday through D4/Monday - Central/Southern High Plains...
   On D3/Sunday, aforementioned westerly flow aloft will increase
   across the northern/central Rockies. As a result of increasing
   westerly gradients and surface low development, an increase in
   downslope flow is expected across portions of the Front Range. There
   remains some disconnect in deterministic model runs in the strongest
   winds with the lowest relative humidity, with the strongest winds
   across Wyoming into Nebraska and the driest conditions across
   eastern Colorado into western Kansas.

   Given the pattern, confidence is increasing that winds across the
   immediate Front Range and downslope favored zones will likely be
   higher than progged with lower relative humidity than in current
   guidance, with sustained westerly flow 15-20 mph gusting 30+ mph. It
   is also likely that through the higher elevations, winds may be even
   stronger. Fuels across portions of northeastern Colorado into
   Wyoming continue to be historically dry (seasonally above average
   and approaching maximum dryness for the time period). As such, a 40
   percent area was introduced along the Front Range and into
   southeastern Wyoming.

   ...D5/Tuesday - Southern/Central Plains...
   Upper-level flow will shift southward D5/Tuesday, with increase in
   downslope flow expected to extend into the Texas/Oklahoma
   Panhandles. Fuels across these regions remain critically dry. A 40
   percent area was maintained with this outlook across eastern New
   Mexico into the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandle and extend into
   southeastern Colorado. Some consideration was given to a small 70
   percent region across the Texas Panhandle. For now, have maintained
   the 40 percent with some disagreement remaining in exactly how low
   relative humidity will be.

   Beyond D5/Tuesday, periods of locally Elevated conditions may occur
   across portions of the Central/Southern Plains as flow aloft remains
   strong. However, surface pressure gradients weaken D6/Wednesday with
   a building surface high. A stronger wave may eject from the
   Southwest on D7/Thursday to D8/Friday. At the same time, a
   stationary front may evolve across the eastern US into the southern
   Plains, bringing several rounds of precipitation. It is likely that
   some area of the central/southern High Plains will see additional
   increased fire weather potential. For now, model spread on features
   remains too high to include areas at this time.

   ..Thornton.. 01/02/2026