ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 311934

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0134 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Florida...
   A very dry, post-frontal air mass being advected into FL will result
   in daytime relative humidity 25-35 percent range by Sunday
   afternoon, with eastern peninsular locations falling to around 20
   percent. Northwest winds of 10-15 mph will gradually subside through
   Sunday afternoon as the deep surface low east of the Carolinas
   accelerates northeastward. Recent light but widespread rainfall
   across central/southern FL, marginally dry fuels and cool
   temperatures primarily in the 40s F should still mitigate
   significant fire weather concerns for Sunday, precluding the need
   for broader Elevated highlights.

   ..Williams.. 01/31/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1140 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   The potent upper-level trough on the East Coast and associated
   surface cyclone offshore will lift northeastward with time on
   Sunday. Surface high pressure and colder air will shift eastward
   into the more of the eastern U.S.

   ...Florida...
   Confidence in reduced RH during the afternoon is higher than on
   Saturday. RH of 25-35% appears possible along the eastern Peninsula.
   As with Saturday, temperatures will remain on the cool side. More
   importantly, winds speeds will be on a downward trend through the
   period. Given this expected environment, fire weather risk is
   expected to remain low.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 312147

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0347 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

   Valid 021200Z - 081200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Broad northwest flow with mid-level troughing is likely to persist
   across the eastern U.S. through late next week. Seasonably cold
   temperatures and additional opportunities for precipitation across
   portions of the Southern Plains and Southeast midweek should keep
   fire weather concerns minimal through much of next week. Ensemble
   model guidance continues to suggest a prolonged upper-level ridging
   pattern across the West, bringing above normal surface temperatures
   and dry conditions to much of the Intermountain West and High Plains
   through next weekend. 

   ...Day 3/Monday - Florida...
   Residual northerly flow and dry conditions across the FL Peninsula 
   should extend into Day 3/Monday. However, a more diffuse pressure
   gradient and resultant lighter north winds is expected as a surface
   high settles into the Gulf. Although low relative humidity and
   warmer temperatures are likely across the peninsula Monday, recent
   rainfall and diminished north winds should limit the fire weather
   threat across the area.

   ...Days 3-6/Monday-Thursday - Central/Northern High Plains...
   Fire weather concerns increase across the central and northern High
   Plains Day 3/Monday. An eastward propagating mid-level wave entering
   the Northern Plains and surface trough development in the lee of the
   central and southern Rockies, should support enhanced downslope
   drying and breezy conditions across the central and northern High
   Plains early next week. Degree of drying and magnitude of RH
   reductions is still uncertain, limiting confidence in introducing
   Critical probabilities at this time. However, unseasonably warm
   temperatures under high amplitude ridging, drying fine fuels,
   particularly across the northern High Plains where snow-free
   conditions exist, could increase wildfire risk in the coming days
   where dry/breezy conditions align.

   ...Days 5-6/Wednesday-Thursday - Desert Southwest and Southern
   California...
   Dry conditions and relatively warm temperatures will continue across
   the Southwest through the middle of next week under a building ridge
   over the West. Model guidance depicts a potential cut-off low
   developing near Baja California by Wednesday. Broad surface high
   pressure sliding southward into the Southern Plains midweek along
   with the favorably positioned mid-level low could support stronger
   easterly winds across the Desert Southwest and enhanced offshore
   flow across southern CA Wednesday and Thursday. However, marginal
   fuels could limit overall impact from dry/breezy conditions limiting
   predictability for the midweek time frame.

   ..Williams.. 01/31/2026