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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 070756

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0156 AM CST Wed Jan 07 2026

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will eject into the southern Plains today,
   resulting in surface lee troughing and associated downslope across
   the High Plains during the afternoon hours. RH should dip to or just
   below 20 percent by afternoon peak heating, from western Texas to
   the Nebraska Panhandle. Pockets of occasional 15 mph sustained
   west-southwesterly surface winds may overlap with the aforementioned
   RH across parts of the Texas and Nebraska Panhandles, promoting
   locally Elevated conditions. Otherwise, surface conditions should
   remain generally below Elevated criteria over much of the southern
   High Plains.

   ..Squitieri.. 01/07/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 070809

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0209 AM CST Wed Jan 07 2026

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Broad cyclonic flow will overspread the central CONUS tomorrow
   (Thursday), with an embedded mid-level trough impinging on the
   central/southern Plains as the mid-level trough (discussed in the
   Day 1 Outlook) approaches the Great Lakes. A surface low will
   quickly deepen while traversing the Mississippi Valley, resulting in
   strong westerly isallobaric surface flow across the southern High
   Plains. While 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds should
   become common, RH may only dip to 25 percent. Furthermore, several
   areas across portions of the Plains may experience appreciable
   rainfall accumulations early Thursday morning, which may dampen
   fuels. Given uncertainties in fuel receptiveness to wildfire spread
   and potentially higher RH, fire weather highlights have been
   withheld this outlook.

   ..Squitieri.. 01/07/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 062142

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0342 PM CST Tue Jan 06 2026

   Valid 081200Z - 141200Z

   A longwave trough will begin to progress out of the western US on
   D3/Thursday, with a surface low developing across the Oklahoma/Texas
   Panhandles into western Kansas. As this occurs, southerly flow will
   increase with moisture advection into the western portion of the
   Southern Plains and into the Mississippi and Missouri River Valleys.
   Widespread rain/thunderstorm activity can be expected across some
   portions of the central/eastern Southern Plains into the
   Mississippi/Missouri River Valley. Less precipitation is likely
   across portions of western Texas into western Oklahoma, where fire
   concerns are possible D4/Friday and 5/Saturday.

   ...(D4/Friday - D5/Saturday) Southwestern/West-Central Texas...
   Model guidance has been consistent in forecasting a steep gradient
   in precipitation amounts extending from central
   Oklahoma/north-central Texas, with the heaviest amounts eastward.
   Confidence is increasing that portions of western Texas into western
   Oklahoma will receive little to no precipitation. Latest fuels
   guidance suggests grass loading is high with freeze cured grasses
   present and ERCs around the 80th percentile. Strong and dry post
   frontal northwesterly flow will overspread the Plains behind the
   departing low. Overlap of relative humidity reductions to 15-20
   percent are expected to overlap sustained northwesterly flow around
   20 mph. A 40 percent area was included at this time given some
   uncertainty still in where the gradient of higher precipitation will
   be.  Should precipitation totals exceed or not meet expectation,
   some reduction or expansion of this area may be needed in upcoming
   outlooks.

   Lingering Elevated to Critical conditions may be possible again
   across portions of southwestern Texas into far southwestern Oklahoma
   on D5/Saturday. For now confidence is too low to include any areas
   at this time.

   ..Thornton/Elizalde-garcia.. 01/06/2026
      




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