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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 201659

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1059 AM CST Tue Jan 20 2026

   Valid 201700Z - 211200Z

   Broad northwesterly flow aloft ahead of an approaching mid-level
   short wave will persist over the Southern Rockies. A deepening 
   surface low currently across the northern High Plains is still
   expected to drop southward into southeastern CO by late afternoon.
   Resultant downslope flow in the lee of the Rockies is supporting
   current RH values below 10 percent across south-central CO. The dry
   conditions and receptive fuels will combine with west winds of 15-20
   mph to bring a elevated fire weather conditions to locations in the
   lee of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains in southern CO through this
   afternoon. A broader east-northwest wind field of 15-20 mph across
   northeastern CO, southwestern NE, and northwest KS along with RH
   reductions in the 15-20 percent range amid receptive fuels will
   support an elevated fire weather threat today. Veering winds
   associated with an advancing cold front will move into northeast CO
   and vicinity by late afternoon, allowing for colder temperatures and
   rising RH within northerly flow to diminish fire weather concerns
   this evening.

   ..Williams.. 01/20/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CST Tue Jan 20 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   A low-amplitude shortwave trough and accompanying speed maximum will
   cross the central Rockies during the afternoon, while an attendant
   surface low tracks south-southeastward along the northern/central
   High Plains. Related downslope flow will yield 10-15 percent RH
   across much of the central High Plains, where around 20 mph
   sustained northwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts) are
   expected. These dry/windy conditions will favor elevated to locally
   critical fire-weather conditions over northeastern CO, southwestern
   NE, and northwest KS. A separate corridor of elevated fire-weather
   conditions is expected in the lee of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains
   in southern CO, with locally critical conditions possible within the
   gap flow areas. Between these two corridors, recent snowfall should
   limit fire-weather concerns. 

   Elsewhere, modestly breezy northeasterly surface winds are expected
   amid a dry antecedent air mass across parts of the western and
   central FL Peninsula, where locally elevated fire-weather conditions
   are possible.

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 201948 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0148 PM CST Tue Jan 20 2026 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Central High Plains... Broad northwesterly flow over the southern Rockies and lee surface trough development across the central High Plains is expected Wednesday. This will support localized dry and breezy downslope westerly winds along the foothills and adjacent high plains of CO Front Range and Sangre De Cristo Mountains into north-central NM. Elevated fire weather conditions are likely to be limited to favored terrain gaps where sustained winds of around 15 mph with higher gusts align with RH in the 15-20% range and receptive fuels. Farther north, another cold front moves into the Central Plains Wednesday, bringing gusty northwest winds of 15-20 mph to far northeastern CO and western NE. Increasing cloud cover, cooler temperatures and RH reductions between 20-25% should limit overall fire weather threat. Nonetheless, the breezy winds along with fuels that remain quite receptive could bring a localized and brief elevated fire weather threat to southeast WY, far northeastern CO and southwestern NE Wednesday. ..Williams.. 01/20/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CST Tue Jan 20 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire-weather concerns are minimal on Wednesday, as a cold air mass begins to infiltrate the central U.S.

U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 202153

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0353 PM CST Tue Jan 20 2026

   Valid 221200Z - 281200Z

   Fire weather concerns are likely to remain minimal through early
   next week across most of the contiguous U.S. An arctic air mass will
   begin filtering into the northern U.S. on Day 3/Thursday, reaching
   the Gulf and Atlantic Coast by Day 4/Friday, while an upper-level
   trough facilitates bringing increasing East Pacific and Gulf
   moisture into the Southwest and Southern Plains. A broad swath of
   mixed precipitation, including significant snow accumulations, will
   encompass much of the southern U.S. Day 4/Friday through Day
   8/Tuesday mitigating fire weather concerns, particularly across the
   southern High Plains where fuels remain dry. The FL Peninsula and
   portions of the central Plains are likely to receive minimal
   precipitation, aiding in keeping fuels on the drier side through the
   weekend.

   ..Williams.. 01/20/2026

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