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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 280604

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0104 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

   Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH
   CAROLINA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN
   GREAT PLAINS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Enhanced, zonal mid-level flow across the central/northern Rockies
   will support lee troughing over portions of the High Plains today.
   Farther east, surface high pressure will shift from the Midwest to
   the East Coast in the wake of a mid-level trough moving across the
   Northeast, with a tightened pressure gradient and strong low-level
   jet developing between the surface high and lee troughing. 

   ...Central/northern Great Plains...
   The aforementioned surface pressure gradient and low-level jet
   across the Great Plains will support strong southerly flow of 20-30
   mph across much of the central/northern Great Plains. With dry,
   receptive fuels and RH values forecast to fall to 15-20%, widespread
   critical fire weather conditions are forecast from portions of the
   Oklahoma Panhandle northeastward into portions of southeastern South
   Dakota, southwestern Minnesota, and western Iowa. Strong 850 mb flow
   of 30-40+ kts coupled with boundary layer mixing will promote
   occasional gusts to 35-45 mph. Sustained southerly surface winds of
   15-25 mph and reduced RH values of 20-25% will bring elevated fire
   weather concerns to adjacent areas of the central/northern Great
   Plains and western Corn Belt, except for portions of south-central
   and southeastern Kansas that saw appreciable rainfall Thursday
   evening.

   ...Southeast...
   A dry and breezy post-frontal regime will bring widespread fire
   weather concerns to much of the Southeast today, with sustained
   northeasterly surface winds of 10-15 mph, low RH of 25-35%, and dry,
   antecedent conditions supporting elevated fire weather concerns
   across much of the region. Elevated conditions may be locally
   tempered across portions of NC that saw more appreciable rainfall on
   Friday. Critical conditions are expected across portions of southern
   SC into southern GA and the central Florida Panhandle where a
   corridor of enhanced northeasterly winds of 15-20 mph and RH values
   as low as 20% are forecast.

   ...Central/northern High Plains...
   Modest mid-level flow across the central/northern Rockies will
   support a dry, downslope regime across portions of the central and
   northern High Plains this afternoon. The return of above normal
   temperatures coupled with sustained westerly winds of 20-25 mph amid
   RH values of 10-15% will bring at least a few hours of critical fire
   weather conditions to portions of southeastern Wyoming, especially
   in the lee of the Laramie Mountains. Deep boundary layer mixing and
   the previously mentioned mid-level flow will also support periodic
   gusts of 30-35 mph across this region. Elevated fire weather
   conditions are expected farther west across much of western Wyoming
   and in the lee of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains in southeastern
   Colorado where sustained winds of 15-25 mph are forecast to overlap
   receptive fuels and reduced RH of 15-20%.

   ...Southern Great Basin and Arizona Strip...
   A subtle, mid-level shortwave trough will move northeastward along
   the northwestern periphery of a building ridge. This feature will
   support dry and breezy southwest flow across portions of the
   southern Great Basin and northwestern Arizona. Southwest winds of
   15-25 mph and RH values of 10-15% (locally lower) will bring
   elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon amid increasingly
   dry fuels.

   ..Chalmers.. 03/28/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 280735

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0235 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

   Valid 291200Z - 301200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A persistent upper-level ridge will begin to slide southeastward to
   the far southern Great Plains on D2/Sunday, while enhanced, zonal
   flow persists across the northern Rockies. At the surface, high
   pressure will move offshore of the Mid-Atlantic Coast, bringing
   return flow to much of the southern Plains and Southeast. A cold
   front will begin to push southward across the northern Great Plains
   and Northwest.

   ...Portions of the central/northern High Plains...
   Modest westerly, mid-level flow will persist across portions of the
   central/northern Rockies on D2/Sunday, favoring a dry, downslope
   regime across much of Wyoming. Westerly winds of 15-25 mph are
   expected to overlap low RH values of 10-20%. With receptive fuels in
   place across the region, this will bring elevated fire weather
   concerns to much of southern and central Wyoming into extreme
   northern Colorado and the extreme western Nebraska Panhandle.
   Consideration was given to a localized area of Critical highlights
   across portions of central/southeast Wyoming, but uncertainty
   remains regarding a more widespread overlap of RH less than 15% and
   20+ mph winds at this time. Regardless, localized critical
   conditions appears possible, and trends will be monitored for the
   possibility of a future upgrade.

   Some high-res guidance suggests that locally elevated conditions may
   occur in association with a brief period of stronger surface winds
   (15-20 mph) funneling down the North Platte River Valley farther
   east across western Nebraska. However, most current guidance
   suggests that winds will largely remain less than 15 mph across this
   region. Thus, elevated highlights were withheld at this time despite
   minimum RH values forecast around 10-20%.

   ...Southern Great Basin...
   Dry and breezy flow is forecast across portions of the southern
   Great Basin Sunday afternoon ahead of a weak, mid-level shortwave
   trough. Elevated fire weather conditions are expected where
   southwesterly winds of 15-20 mph, very low RH of 15-20%, and
   abnormally dry fuels align. 

   ...Northeastern New Mexico...
   While mid-level flow is forecast to remain rather weak across much
   of the southern Rockies, a corridor of marginally enhanced westerly
   flow aloft is forecast to support dry, downslope winds across
   portions of northeastern New Mexico. Sustained westerly winds of
   15-20 mph are forecast to overlap very low RH of 10-15% for at least
   a few hours Sunday afternoon. With receptive fuels in place across
   the region, this will bring elevated fire weather concerns to
   portions of northeastern New Mexico.

   ...Southern Arizona into southwestern New Mexico...
   Weak southwesterly flow aloft along the northwestern periphery of an
   upper-level ridge is forecast to yield increasing mid/upper level
   Pacific moisture, with PWATs forecast to range from 0.5-0.8" by
   Sunday afternoon. While better moisture appears to be delayed until
   later Sunday night and into Monday, latest guidance depicts the
   development of weak instability (~50-150 J/kg MUCAPE) across
   portions of southern Arizona/southwestern New Mexico late Sunday
   afternoon. Precipitation totals are forecast to be light, with deep,
   dry boundary layers and LCLs around 3 km AGL. This should support at
   least some potential for isolated dry thunder atop dry, receptive
   fuels.

   ..Chalmers.. 03/28/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 272156

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0456 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026

   Valid 291200Z - 041200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level ridge begins to slide eastward into the central U.S.
   early next week while a mid-level trough moves into the Pacific
   Northwest. A split jet flow emerges across the western U.S. by Day
   5/Tuesday with more a more pronounced and progressive wave pattern
   persisting across the northern CONUS through late next week. The
   modest westerly flow aloft under the ridge and lee surface troughing
   across the northern High Plains will support a fire weather threat
   across WY into the NE Panhandle on Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday as strong
   west winds align with dry fuels, above normal temperatures and low
   relative humidity. Farther south, mid to upper-level Pacific
   moisture ahead of an approaching upper trough and daytime
   instability over higher terrain may support some thunderstorm
   development and ignition potential across portions of AZ and NM on
   Day 3-4/Sunday-Monday. Fire weather concerns shift eastward into the
   Southern Plains on Day 5/Monday with the arrival of a more
   pronounced short wave embedded within the weaker, southern jet
   stream. Fire weather concerns should wane for the latter part of
   next week across the West as another trough enters the Northwest
   bringing cooler temperatures and precipitation to portions of
   Intermountain West.

   ...Day 3-4/Sunday-Monday...
   ...Wyoming/Central High Plains and Southern Great Basin...
   Dry and breezy conditions under deep layer westerly flow amid
   abnormally warm temperatures, low RH and dry fuels should support a
   fire weather threat across southern WY into the central High Plains
   on Day 3/Sunday, where a 40% critical probability area remains. 40%
   probabilities were also added to portions of the southern Great
   Basin across far southeastern NV, southwestern UT and northwestern
   AZ ahead of an embedded weak mid-level short wave where stronger
   southwest winds, low RH and abnormally dry fuels align. 

   ...Arizona and New Mexico...
   The threat of dry thunderstorms has diminished particularly on
   Sunday across southwestern NM and southeastern AZ based on latest
   model guidance consensus, with injection of mid/upper Pacific
   moisture within broader southwest flow delayed until Sunday night
   into Monday. A more favorable thunderstorm environment evolves for
   Monday across the Southwest, with a few lightning ignitions
   possible, mainly across the higher terrain and higher fuel
   landscapes of eastern AZ and western NM. Fuels are unusually dry
   within a virtually snow free landscape that could be receptive to
   ignitions.

   ...Day 5/Tuesday - Southern Plains...
   Increasing west-southwesterly flow within the southern, subtropical
   jet arrives into the Southwest and Southern Plains by Day 5/Tuesday
   as a cold front trails southwestward into the region from a strong
   surface across the Great Lakes. This will support a dry downslope
   regime behind a dry line across portions of eastern NM and the TX
   Panhandle. Breezy west winds, low RH and dry fuels supports at least
   an elevated fire weather threat to the area, with an eventual wind
   shift from a southward advancing cold front that could have further
   impacts on existing or new wildfires. Thus 40% critical
   probabilities remain for portions of the Southern Plains.

   ..Williams.. 03/27/2026
      




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