U.S. Alerts
El Dorado Weather Logo
U.S. Radar Loop Conditions Map

U.S. Color Satellite North America Color Infrared Animated Satellite Loop

Interactive Wx Map Live U.S. Google Map Radar Thumbnail Image

US Precipitation 1 day, 24 hour precipitation map

US Temperatures US Conditions Map

US Climate Data US Conditions Map

Northern Alaska Smokey Air Forecast
AQI & Smoke Map | Burn Area Map | Fire Advisories | Fire Danager Map

U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 251613

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1013 AM CST Wed Feb 25 2026

   Valid 251700Z - 261200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND
   SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WESTERN TEXAS...

   ...Morning Update...
   No changes were made to the previous forecast. Ample high cloud
   cover is visible on satellite imagery across eastern NM and west TX,
   likely to persist through the afternoon. Westerly wind gusts of
   25-35 mph have already been observed this morning in southeastern NM
   with RH values hovering at and below 20%. Increasing sustained
   downslope winds of 20-30 mph and RH below 20% atop a dry fuelscape
   will support Critical fire weather conditions this afternoon for
   this area. In the CO Front Range, cross-terrain surface pressure
   gradients beneath an incoming 40-60 kt 700 mb jet will support gusty
   downslope winds through the Central High Plains. In
   central-southeastern CO, RH of 20-25% will be slightly displaced
   from the strongest sustained surface winds to the north, though
   local terrain-driven wind tunneling may generate isolated areas of
   higher winds, so locally critical fire weather conditions may be
   possible given receptive fuels. See the previous discussion for more
   information.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia/Thornton.. 02/25/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0135 AM CST Wed Feb 25 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   ...Central/southern High Plains...
   Moderately strong northwesterly mid-level flow will persist across
   the central and southern Rockies today with lee troughing in place
   across much of the central and southern High Plains. The cross
   terrain surface pressure gradient will support dry, downslope winds
   of 20-30 mph across portions of east-central and southeast New
   Mexico this afternoon. A plume of mid-level moisture will nose into
   the area through the day, fostering some high-level cloud cover and
   a modest increase in surface dewpoints. Given this, guidance is not
   overly confident in RH dropping below 15% for more than a brief
   period. However, the increased winds overlapping a dry fuelscape
   will still support a period of Critical fire weather conditions
   during the afternoon. 

   RH values of around 20% with surface winds of 15-20 mph are expected
   elsewhere across the central/southern High Plains, but locally
   higher winds are possible within terrain-favored locations.

   ...Edwards Plateau into South-Central Texas...
   A modest surface low will gradually progress southeastward across
   portions of central Texas today. Winds of 15-20 mph will be possible
   to the south and west of this feature. Coupled with expected RH
   values of 15-20%, this will support Elevated fire weather conditions
   this afternoon.

   ...Northeastern Colorado into southwestern Nebraska and northwestern
   Kansas...
   Strong northwesterly flow across the central Rockies will align with
   a favorable cross-terrain surface pressure gradient to support a
   strong downslope wind event across portions of the central High
   Plains. Sustained surface winds of 20-30 mph are expected along with
   the potential for gusts up to 45-55 mph. While RH values are
   forecast to remain marginal (20-25%), the strong downslope winds
   will overlap with receptive fuels to support Elevated fire weather
   conditions this afternoon.

   Locally elevated fire weather conditions are possible farther north
   into portions of southeastern Wyoming and the Nebraska Panhandle;
   however, such conditions are expected to be brief given anticipated
   RH increases behind an advancing surface cold front.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 250835

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0235 AM CST Wed Feb 25 2026

   Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   ...Portions South-Central Texas...
   A modest surface low pressure center will shift southward across
   central and southern Texas on Thursday, with a weak, dry cold front
   bringing dry and breezy northerly surface winds to portions of
   south-central Texas. Warm/dry conditions on Wednesday will aid in
   the drying of finer fuels, thus sustained winds of 15-20 mph
   overlapping RH values of 15-20% are expected to support Elevated
   fire weather conditions Thursday afternoon.

   ...Portions of the Central and Southern High Plains...
   Strengthening high pressure across the Wyoming Basin and
   northwestern Colorado will support a strong cross-terrain pressure
   gradient across the central Rockies underneath modest northwesterly
   mid-level flow. This will favor strong downslope winds of 15-25 mph
   (locally higher in terrain-favored areas) and RH values of 15-20%
   downstream of the Laramie Mountains and Central Rockies. With
   receptive fuels in place across the region, Elevated fire weather
   highlights have been added for portions of the central and southern
   High Plains.

   ..Chalmers/Wendt.. 02/25/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 242144

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0344 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026

   Valid 261200Z - 041200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Mid-level flow will remain amplified over CONUS through nearly all
   of the extended forecast period before an upper-level pattern change
   early next week. The current pattern will prevail through Day
   6/Sunday, aiding in continued Elevated fire weather conditions in
   the Central and Southern Plains. Day 7/Monday - Day 8/Tuesday, a
   transition to southwesterly flow aloft in the Southwest and Southern
   Plains will evolve as a closed low develops off the western US
   coast. Surface troughing and enhanced southerly surface flow may
   bring modest Gulf moisture to the Plains region, limiting broader
   fire weather concerns in the extended forecast period.

   ...Day 3/Thursday - South Central Texas...
   As the surface low continues to shift south towards the Texas Gulf
   Coast, a weak dry cold front will push into South Central Texas
   through the afternoon bringing dry and breezy northerly surface
   winds of 15-20 mph. With daytime RH values of 15-20%, and above
   normal surface temperatures across the area on Day 2/Wednesday,
   finer fuels will likely have dried out leading to potential
   receptiveness to fire. 40% Critical probabilities have been
   maintained. 

   Beneath strong mid-level flow, tight surface pressure gradients
   across central Wyoming may support strong downslope winds and low RH
   in the lee of the Laramie Range into far western Nebraska on Day
   3/Thursday and Day 4/Friday. However, with the potential for light
   precipitation across the area on Day 2/Wednesday, and model
   uncertainties in overlap of stronger winds and low RH, fire weather
   highlights have been withheld for now. 

   On Day 5/Saturday, mid-level flow slowly shifts zonal as surface
   troughing pushes cooler air into the Central US while southerly flow
   along the TX Gulf Coast advects moisture northward into the Southern
   Plains. Some model spread exists past Day 6/Sunday in the extent of
   surface moisture return, though given the agreement in the overall
   resulting pattern, fire weather concerns appear fairly minimal and
   localized through the extended forecast period.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia/Barnes.. 02/24/2026
      




Contact Us Contact Us Thumbnail | Mobile Mobile Phone Thumbnail
Private Policy | Terms & Conds | Consent Preferences | Cookie Policy
Never base any life decisions on weather information from this site or anywhere over the Internet.
Site is dedicated to our Lord & Savior Jesus Christ | Random Quotes of Jesus

Copyright © 2026 El Dorado Weather, Inc. | Site Designed By:  Webmaster Danny