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   FNUS21 KWNS 091631

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1031 AM CST Mon Feb 09 2026

   Valid 091700Z - 101200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FOR PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHEASTERN
   WYOMING INTO FAR WESTERN NEBRASKA...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FOR PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN
   NEW MEXICO INTO THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES...EXTREME
   NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA,FAR SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS...

   ...Southern High Plains...
   Several hours of widespread elevated and critical fire weather
   conditions are expected across the Southern High Plains this
   afternoon. Current guidance is still on track for strong
   west-southwesterly winds of 20-25 mph gusting to 40 mph in some
   areas and RH decreasing to 10-15 percent atop a dry fuelscape. An
   expansion of the Elevated area was added along the southern
   foothills of Colorado to include a corridor of strong winds and low
   RH overlapping potentially receptive fuels. 

   ...Central High Plains...
   Increased mid-level cloud cover and passage of a cold front across
   eastern Wyoming and northern Nebraska this afternoon may inhibit
   deeper mixing and limit the temporal extent of more critical fire
   weather conditions. However, a few hours of dry and breezy
   conditions atop dry fuels should still support fire weather concerns
   today. The Elevated and Critical areas are unchanged, see the
   previous discussion for more information.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia/Lyons.. 02/09/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0115 AM CST Mon Feb 09 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   Broad upper ridging will overspread the central and eastern CONUS
   today, with a pronounced mid-level impulse poised to crest the ridge
   over the central Plains. An elongated surface low will form over the
   central Plains, with dry northwesterly flow overspreading parts of
   the central Plains within a post-cold frontal regime, and dry
   downslope flow occurring ahead of a surface trough over the southern
   High Plains. Over both areas, the dry and windy surface conditions
   will foster wildfire-spread potential.

   ...Central High Plains...
   Guidance differs somewhat regarding how dry the surface airmass will
   become by afternoon peak heating behind the cold front over the
   central High Plains. Nonetheless, RH may dip as low as 15-20 percent
   amid 20-25 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds, atop drying
   fuels. Even if RH does not reach Critical thresholds, the stronger
   post-cold frontal winds atop dry fuels should compensate to support
   wildfire spread.

   ...Southern High Plains...
   By afternoon peak heating, dry downslope flow, in combination with a
   very deep and dry boundary layer, will support RH dipping into the
   10-15 percent range as sustained west-southwesterly surface winds
   exceed 20 mph for several hours. The current guidance consensus
   still depicts the best corridor for Critical conditions over
   northeastern New Mexico into the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles and
   immediate surrounding areas. Given guidance consistency in such
   conditions and continued drying fuels, Critical highlights have been
   maintained.