ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 081920

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0120 PM CST Thu Jan 08 2026

   Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

   The Elevated area was expanded in the Big Bend and into northwest
   Texas, while it was adjusted from Del Rio to Laredo into the western
   Hill Country based on the latest high-resolution forecast guidance.
   West-northwest sustained winds of 15-25 mph and minimum RH of 15-25%
   are likely from the Big Bend into northwest Texas and the western
   Hill Country during the afternoon and early evening. Winds will
   shift to north-northwest as another cold front drops south across
   Texas during the evening and overnight. Locally elevated to elevated
   conditions are expected in the evening across the western Hill
   Country/vicinity and shifting southwards into portions of south
   Texas overnight, mostly focused closer to the Rio Grande.

   Gusty and dry north-northeast winds are expected again across
   southern California, but recent precipitation has left fuel moisture
   above normal and well above critical thresholds.

   ..Nauslar.. 01/08/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0153 AM CST Thu Jan 08 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will gradually traverse the central CONUS today,
   supporting the development of a weak surface low over the Sabine
   River Valley, with a surface cold front sweeping across the southern
   Plains tomorrow (Friday). To the west of the aforementioned low and
   ahead of the surface cold front, dry downslope flow is expected
   across much of western Texas Friday afternoon for at least a few
   hours. 15-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds will overlap with
   15-20 percent RH. Elevated highlights have been added to account for
   these conditions. There are questions regarding how appreciable
   rainfall accumulations will be in west-central Texas, where Elevated
   highlights may need adjustments in future outlooks.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 082150

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0350 PM CST Thu Jan 08 2026

   Valid 101200Z - 161200Z

   The large-scale pattern over the CONUS will be generally
   characterized by ridging over the West and troughing over the
   eastern US this weekend through mid-next week. The upper high will
   likely retreat over the West Coast, with strong north-northwest flow
   aloft developing over the Rockies and Plains and deeper troughing
   over the eastern US early to mid-next week. Little to no
   precipitation is forecast for much of the western/central US during
   the forecast period. 

   ...Texas and southern/central High Plains...
   Dry/breezy post-frontal conditions will develop across portions of
   west/central/south Texas Day 3/Saturday. Lingering dry/breezy
   conditions will be in portions of south Texas on Day 3/Saturday
   morning, with gusty northerly winds also likely in the morning and
   continuing into the afternoon in the western Hill Country/vicinity
   towards the Big Bend and the Rolling Plains. RH will drop in the
   afternoon there will likely be enough overlap of breezy northerly
   winds and low RH for elevated fire weather conditions. There is some
   uncertainty regarding how far west thunderstorms will form on Day
   2/Friday and Day 3/Saturday in central Texas and the duration of
   coincident elevated winds/RH. 

   Elevated fire weather conditions may develop across portions of
   northwest Kansas/vicinity as strong west-northwest winds develop on
   Day 3/Saturday. However, forecast temperatures in the 40s and
   minimum RH of 25-40% currently precludes elevated criteria being
   met. 

   Dry conditions will continue across much of the western half of
   Texas into mid-next week. Breezy winds are likely to return early to
   mid-next week amid dry return flow and pre-frontal regimes. However,
   there remains to much forecast uncertainty to identify areas and
   introduce probabilities at this time.  

   ...Southeast...
   Dry/breezy northwest winds are expected across portions of the
   Southeast, likely stretching from southeast Virginia through the
   Carolinas, Georgia, and into Alabama and north Florida. Preceding
   rainfall may mitigate these conditions, including just hours before
   these post-frontal conditions develop. However, some areas may
   remain dry with portions of the coastal Carolinas into southern
   Georgia and north Florida currently favored. Dry conditions will
   continue across much of Southeast into Day 6/Tuesday.

   ..Nauslar.. 01/08/2026