ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 050650

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1250 AM CST Thu Feb 05 2026

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   With the upper-level ridge becoming more expansive across the CONUS,
   fire weather concerns are expected to remain low for most areas on
   account of relatively weak winds. There will be pockets of
   dry/breezy conditions in north/central Florida, but recent and
   expected precipitation should keep any fire weather concerns
   localized at best.

   ..Wendt.. 02/05/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 042157

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0357 PM CST Wed Feb 04 2026

   Valid 061200Z - 121200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   The highly amplified upper ridge over the West will begin to break
   down through the weekend while troughing across the eastern U.S.
   shifts eastward. Troughing becomes established across the West next
   week, providing some opportunities for precipitation and cooler
   temperatures across the region and High Plains. A cut-off low
   meanders eastward through Mexico into the Southern Plains by Day
   6/Monday while surface high pressure pushes farther into the
   Atlantic from the Southeast. This will aid in deeper boundary layer
   moisture return, which should mitigate fire weather concerns across
   the Southeast and FL next week. Stronger westerly flow aloft
   attributed to the breakdown of the upper-level ridge and more
   pronounced lee surface cyclogenesis in the Plains could elevate the
   fire weather threat across the central and southern Plains Days
   6-7/Monday-Tuesday of next week.

   ...Days 3-4/Friday-Saturday - Southeast and Florida...
   Fairly widespread rain showers along a cold front moving through the
   Southeast and FL through Day 2/Thursday should temporarily mitigate
   fire weather concerns across much of the region before dry,
   post-frontal flow commences on Day 3/Friday. However, drier pockets
   of fuels could remain across northern FL, where recent fire activity
   has been observed within a drought stressed fuelscape. Uncertainty
   in the near-term precipitation distribution across Florida precludes
   introducing critical probabilities at this time.

   ...Day 4/Saturday - Southern and Central High Plains...
   A mid-level short wave within broader northwesterly flow aloft is
   expected to reach the Northern Plains by Day 4/Saturday. Subsequent
   lee cyclogenesis across the northern/central Plains should bring
   increasing westerly to northwesterly winds to much of the northern
   High Plains. This region remains mostly snow free, with fuels
   continuing to dry under unseasonably warm temperatures. Although
   breezy winds are expected, RH reductions are uncertain, likely
   remaining above 20% based on latest model guidance. 

   Farther south, lower RH amid warmer temperatures across southeastern
   WY, northeastern CO and far western NE should align with breezy
   winds and dry fuels to bring an enhanced fire weather threat to the
   area Saturday. Marked southwest flow and downslope drying south of
   the evolving surface low/trough could support an additional fire
   weather threat across portions of northeastern NM and the TX
   Panhandle where drier fuels are expected to emerge. 40% critical
   probabilities were added to these areas.

   ..Williams.. 02/04/2026