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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 021631

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook CORR 1
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1031 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026

   Valid 021700Z - 031200Z

   CORRECTED FOR GRAPHIC ERROR

   No changes are needed to the D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous
   discussion below for more information.

   ..Thornton.. 01/02/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   The large-scale pattern will consist of a western ridge and an
   eastern trough on Friday. A short-wave trough will undercut the
   western ridge and traverse the Southern Plains as it moves toward
   the Southeast. As this trough moves east, a surface low will develop
   across eastern Texas on Friday. To the west of this low, westerly
   downslope flow will support gusty surface winds and modest drying.
   This will support elevated fire-weather conditions across portions
   of west and southwest Texas. Here, the greatest potential relative
   humidity values to fall into the 20%s amidst winds in the 10-15 mph
   range with stronger gusts.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 020745

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0145 AM CST Fri Jan 02 2026

   Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   The prevailing large-scale mid-level pattern will remain the same on
   Saturday (as compared to Friday) with a western ridge and eastern
   trough. The short-wave trough that will have moved across the
   Southern Plains on Friday will be absorbed into the eastern US
   longwave trough on Saturday. As this happens, low-level moisture
   will be drawn northward into the Southeast. To the west of this
   trough (across the Southern Plains), relative humidity will once
   again fall into the 20%s across portions of southern and southwest
   Texas, however, with the departure of the mid-level wave, winds
   should be light enough to preclude fire-weather highlights.

   ..Marsh.. 01/02/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 012146

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0346 PM CST Thu Jan 01 2026

   Valid 031200Z - 091200Z

   Low amplitude ridging is expected to develop over the central US
   this weekend, with low amplitude ridging to quasi-zonal flow over
   much of the CONUS early to mid-next week. A jet will like likely
   extend east-northeast from off the southern California coast through
   the Colorado Rockies this weekend into early next week, which will
   increase downslope flow for portions of the southern/central Plains.
   While widespread precipitation is expected for the West Coast, much
   of the central US, especially the Plains, are likely to remain dry
   into mid-next week. Most of the Southeast will also receive little
   to no precipitation after Day 3/Saturday. 

   ...Day 4/Sunday - Day 6/Tuesday: central/southern High Plains...
   Downslope flow will increase across the central High Plains on Day
   4/Sunday as a westerly mid-level jet impinges on the
   central/southern Rockies. Elevated conditions are possible from
   southeast Wyoming into southern Colorado along and just east of the
   eastern slopes of the Rockies. However, current forecast guidance
   indicates misalignment of the strongest winds and lowest RH.
   Additionally, there is uncertainty regarding how far down the
   eastern slopes of the Rockies the stronger winds will extend.
   Despite recent precipitation, fuels remain historically dry for this
   time of year across portions of these areas. 

   On Day 5/Monday, downslope flow and subsequent lee troughing will
   likely result in elevated/locally critical fire weather conditions
   in the Texas Panhandle/vicinity as breezy west-southwest winds
   strengthen amid a dry airmass across portions of the southern High
   Plains. Forecast guidance indicates the possibility of elevated fire
   weather conditions continuing on Day 6/Monday in portions of west
   Texas extending into central/north Texas, but too much forecast
   uncertainty exists to introduce probabilities at this time.

   ..Nauslar.. 01/01/2026
      




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