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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 060553

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1253 AM CDT Wed May 06 2026

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Mid-level split flow consolidates into a broader southwesterly 70-80
   knot jet over the Ozarks into the OH River Valley today ahead of an
   elongated upper trough stretching from the Upper Midwest to the
   Desert Southwest. At the surface, an advancing cold front extends
   southwestward from the Northeast into the Southern Plains. A
   deepening lee surface trough across eastern NM will promote dry,
   downslope westerly winds across portions of the southern NM and west
   TX under reinforcing southwesterly flow aloft.

   ...Southern New Mexico into West Texas...
   Southwesterly flow aloft and low-level westerly winds (south of an
   evolving lee surface low) will affect much of southern NM and West
   TX today. Enhanced downslope drying yielding minimum RH of 10-15%
   along with west winds of 15-25 mph are expected during peak boundary
   layer mixing today. However, marginal fuels will inhibit overall
   wildfire spread potential due to recent rainfall, although pockets
   of dry fuels could support localized elevated fire weather concerns
   particularly across the Cap Rock area.

   ..Williams.. 05/06/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 060554

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1254 AM CDT Wed May 06 2026

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-level trough and associated mid-level speed max will shift
   into eastern CONUS Thursday. A cold front and attendant band of
   showers and thunderstorms will overspread much of the Southeast and
   Piedmont regions. Increasing westerly low-level flow south of the
   frontal boundary will bring fire weather concerns to portions of
   eastern FL Thursday. A building upper ridge across the western U.S.
   will promote warming temperatures and dry conditions for the region.


   ...Florida Peninsula...
   Enhanced westerly surface winds of 10-15 mph are expected across the
   FL Peninsula as a cold front approaches the FL/GA border Thursday.
   Inland temperatures in the low to mid 90s F will evolve within a
   dry, well mixed boundary layer by early Thursday afternoon. The warm
   temperatures, increasing westerly flow amid relative humidity in the
   25-35% range and drying fuels, will support an elevated fire weather
   concern for portions of the eastern FL Peninsula where Elevated
   Highlights have been introduced.

   ..Williams.. 05/06/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 052134

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0434 PM CDT Tue May 05 2026

   Valid 071200Z - 131200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Upper troughing will extend along the eastern U.S. and persist
   through early next week as an upper-level low over eastern Canada
   remains anchored. This pattern will encourage unsettled weather and
   repeated chances for precipitation across portions of the Southeast
   to the Mid-Atlantic. Broader fire weather concerns may temporarily
   be dampened for much of the eastern U.S. through the duration of the
   forecast period, given a widespread transition to green up and
   expected appreciable precipitation. An upper ridge will prevail
   across the western U.S., resulting in above normal temperatures and
   dry conditions to continue for much of the Intermountain West
   through the forecast period. 

   On Day 3/Thursday, a cold front will extend from the Carolinas to
   Gulf Coast with increasing southwesterly flow ahead of the front. A
   deep, dry airmass and 10-15 mph westerly winds atop a drying FL
   Peninsula fuelscape will enhance fire weather concerns. 40% Critical
   probabilities have been introduced to account for this threat. On
   Day 4/Friday, a dry and breezy post frontal environment will
   overspread the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. West-northwesterly
   winds of 5-15 mph and marginal RH precludes the introduction of
   critical probabilities at this time. However, an exceptionally dry
   fuelscape (90-95th percentile ERCs) susceptible to increased fire
   spread in terrain-favored areas may promote localized fire weather
   concerns. 

   Beneath an upper ridge and northwesterly flow aloft, above normal
   temperatures and a dry airmass will remain over much of the western
   CONUS. Farther east, periodic breeziness and marginally dry
   conditions are expected to continue over the northern Plains and
   Upper Midwest through the weekend. Localized fire weather concerns
   may emerge where stronger winds overlap dry fuels.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 05/05/2026
      




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