ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 030659

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook CORR 1
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0159 AM CDT Sun May 03 2026

   Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

   CORRECTED FOR MISSPELLED WORD

   ...Synopsis...
   Split mid-level flow will continue over the US Monday as the cut off
   low over the Southwest merges with a strengthening sub tropical jet
   stream. Enhanced westerly flow aloft will move out of the southern
   Rockies and over the Plains deepening a lee cyclone. This will
   promote dry and breezy conditions over parts of the southern Plains
   supporting elevated fire-weather potential.

   ...Southern Plains...
   Dry westerly flow is expected over parts of the southern Plains
   Monday as the southern stream upper trough begins to move into the
   Southwest. The deepening lee low will support strong west/southwest
   surface winds across parts of eastern NM and the TX/OK Panhandles.
   Warm temperatures and dry downslope westerly winds of 15-20 mph and
   15-20 percent RH will overlap a confined region of dry fuels,
   exacerbated by drying from the previous day. This should support
   several hours of elevated fire-weather conditions west of a
   developing dryline.

   ...Northern Plains/Midwest...
   Gusty post-frontal winds are likely Monday across the northern
   Plains and upper Midwest. However, cooler surface temperatures and
   cloud cover suggest weaker mixing and higher RH. Still, some pockets
   of drier air could support brief localized fire-weather concerns in
   pockets of dry fuels given stronger northwest winds.

   ..Lyons.. 05/03/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 022127

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0427 PM CDT Sat May 02 2026

   Valid 041200Z - 101200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper low will move onshore the West Coast on Day 3/Monday, then
   transition to an open wave as it traverses the Southwest on Day
   4/Tuesday. Concurrently, an upper trough will sag into the Midwest
   and Great Lakes region before merging with southern stream troughing
   over the Mid-South on Day 5/Wednesday. This pattern will provide
   additional precipitation to the central Plains and portions of the
   Eastern U.S. through mid-week, dampening broader fire weather
   concerns. An upper ridge is expected to build across the Pacific
   Northwest on Day 5/Wednesday, likely resulting in above normal
   temperatures and dry conditions to prevail through the forecast
   period for much of western CONUS. 

   Fire weather conditions reemerge for portions of the southern Plains
   on Day 3/Monday as a deepening surface low tightens surface pressure
   gradients across eastern NM into the TX Panhandle. Downslope
   westerly winds of 15-20 mph and 15-20 percent RH will overlap a
   confined region of dry fuels, maintaining 40% Critical
   probabilities. Due to recent precipitation, probabilities were
   trimmed to exclude areas that received appreciable rainfall. Dry and
   breezy conditions may persist for parts of the Southern Plains into
   West Texas on Day 4-5/Tuesday-Wednesday as southwesterly flow aloft
   amplifies. However, guidance ambiguity in the placement of the upper
   trough and timing of an approaching cold front precludes the
   introduction of critical probabilities at this time. 

   As the upper trough traverses the Mid-South, increasing
   southwesterly flow and poor moisture return should promote dry and
   breezy conditions across the Mid-Atlantic on Day 4/Tuesday. However,
   critical probabilities have been withheld due to recent appreciable
   rainfall, marginal fuels, and expected moisture return overnight Day
   4/Tuesday into Day 5/Wednesday.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 05/02/2026