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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 050726

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0126 AM CST Mon Jan 05 2026

   Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...

   ...Synopsis...
   Large-scale upper ridging will prevail across the central U.S., with
   an embedded mid-level impulse poised to impinge on the southern
   Rockies today. Gradual surface low deepening will commence across
   the central Plains during the afternoon, encouraging both westerly
   isallobaric and downslope surface flow along portions of the central
   and southern High Plains, where Elevated highlights are in place.
   Here, fuels continue to cure given the absence of rain, and
   widespread 15+ mph sustained westerly surface winds and 15-25
   percent RH should overspread these fuels for several hours this
   afternoon. Guidance consensus also depicts a corridor of locally
   stronger flow (i.e. 20 mph winds amid 15 percent RH) across portions
   of the Texas Panhandle, where Critical highlights have been
   maintained.

   ..Squitieri.. 01/05/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 050742

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0142 AM CST Mon Jan 05 2026

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Weak surface lee troughing is expected across the High Plains
   tomorrow (Tuesday) beneath zonal westerly flow aloft. While dry
   surface air (i.e. 20-25 percent RH) will overspread the central and
   southern High Plains, westerly surface winds should be generally too
   weak to support widespread wildfire-spread potential over most
   locales. One exception may be portions of western Nebraska and
   immediate adjacent areas. Here the latest guidance depicts 15-20 mph
   sustained westerly surface winds overlapping the 20-25 percent RH
   for several hours Tuesday afternoon, warranting Elevated highlights.

   ..Squitieri.. 01/05/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 042142

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0342 PM CST Sun Jan 04 2026

   Valid 061200Z - 121200Z

   Fire weather concerns limited/low confidence through the extended
   period. Quasi-zonal flow pattern will be in place across the Plains
   on D3/Tuesday and D4/Wednesday. Though flow aloft will remain
   strong, at the surface gradients will relax as a surface high builds
   in. A few pockets of dry/breezy conditions will remain possible
   across portions of the central High Plains. Overall, no widespread
   fire weather concerns are noted. 

   The next longwave trough will begin to progress out of the western
   US on D5/Thursday. A surface low is progged to develop across the
   Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles into western Kansas. As this occurs,
   southerly flow will increase with moisture advection into the
   western portion of the Southern Plains and into the Mississippi and
   Missouri River Valleys. Guidance differs on exactly how far into the
   Plains this moisture reaches, and as such, how much precipitation
   will occur with the developing low. The trend over the last 36-48
   hours is wetter for D5/Thursday which may aid in improving status of
   fuels and mitigating any widespread fire weather concerns. 

   There is some indication that on D6/Friday, strong and dry post
   frontal northwesterly flow will overspread the Plains behind the
   departing low. This may lead to some overlap of windy/dry conditions
   across portions of western and north-central Texas. Confidence is
   low in including any areas at this time with potential precipitation
   unknown on D5/Thursday.

   ..Thornton.. 01/04/2026
      




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