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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 251636
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1036 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 251700Z - 261200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes to the Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook with minimal fire
weather concerns across CONUS. A dry, post frontal air mass has
infiltrated into much of the Desert Southwest, resulting in relative
humidity falling into the 10-15 percent range this afternoon across
the lower CO River Basin. However, a weakening surface pressure
gradient and reduced northerly winds through the day along with
marginal fuel dryness precludes introduction of highlights.
..Williams.. 01/25/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1136 PM CST Sat Jan 24 2026/
...Synopsis...
Fire weather concerns will be mitigated by recent widespread
precipitation and cold conditions across the CONUS. The pattern will
continue to favor a broad trough across the Central US with an
arctic air mass across much of the central/eastern CONUS. Widespread
precipitation will continue from the central US into the southeast
and eastern US today with a large improvement in status of fuels
across the Southern Plains.
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U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 251940
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0140 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 261200Z - 271200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
No changes to the Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook. Antecedent rainfall
and residual snowpack along with cold temperatures as surface high
pressure moves into the Southern Plains will mitigate fire weather
concerns across much of CONUS Monday. Drier, post-frontal
north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph along with RH dropping to 30-35%
concentrated across the central FL Panhandle could yield a brief but
localized fire weather threat Monday afternoon and evening, although
cooler temperatures behind the front and at least some light
preceding rainfall should limit broader fire weather concerns.
..Williams.. 01/25/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1137 PM CST Sat Jan 24 2026/
...Synopsis...
Fire weather concerns will be low on D2/Monday across the CONUS.
Heights will steadily rise across the central US with continued
widespread precipitation into the northeastern US. Overall, recent
precipitation and continued cold temperatures will continue to
mitigate any potential fire risk.
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 252147
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0347 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 271200Z - 021200Z
...Synopsis...
A prevailing upper-level troughing pattern is expected to encompass
the eastern U.S. through the weekend. Surface high pressure across
the east and residual snowpack should keep cold temperatures and
relatively light winds in place through early next week. Upper-level
ridging across the western U.S. should support temperatures above
seasonal normals and mostly dry conditions across much of the
region, with the exception of the Pacific Northwest where
southwesterly flow brings a persistent influx of Pacific moisture
and precipitation through the week.
...Day 3/Tuesday - Florida...
A dry, post-frontal air mass should be in place across the FL
Peninsula on Day 3/Tuesday. Some precipitation associated with the
initial frontal passage on Day 2/Monday could briefly mitigate fire
weather concerns but probabilities of a wetting rainfall remain low
across central FL. The breezy north winds and dry conditions should
align with dry and drought stressed fuels to increase fire weather
concerns. A 40 percent critical probability area was introduced
where minimal rainfall is expected across the central/southwest
coastal portions of the FL Peninsula. Lingering dry conditions are
expected across FL through the week as surface high pressure
meanders across the Southeast with another potential dry cold front
by the weekend.
...Central High Plains...
Northwesterly flow aloft and lee surface troughing east of the
Rockies should support a relatively drier and warmer downslope
regime across the central High Plains at times through the weekend.
Fire weather concerns could increase closer to Day 7/Saturday as an
embedded mid-level short wave within increasing northwesterly flow
aloft reaches the southern Rockies, although uncertainty remains
high in timing of this next feature.
..Williams.. 01/25/2026
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