ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 011951

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0151 PM CST Sun Feb 01 2026

   Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Central/Southern High Plains...
   Westerly flow aloft over the southern Rockies ahead of an
   approaching mid-level trough, along with lee cyclone development
   across eastern NM and the TX Panhandle will support breezy
   conditions across the central/southern High Plains Monday. Primary
   driver of elevated north/northwest winds from southeastern WY,
   eastern CO and western KS, will be an evolving cold front north of
   the deepening surface low near the TX Panhandle. North/northwest
   winds of 15-20 mph are expected amid relative humidity in the 20-25%
   range across the central High Plains. A drier, downslope
   presentation is expected farther south with RH falling to as low as
   15% across portions of eastern NM and the TX Panhandle coinciding
   with west/southwesterly surface flow approaching 20 mph by
   mid-afternoon. Localized elevated fire weather concerns are likely,
   but marginally dry fuels across the region should mitigate a wider
   fire weather concern.

   ...Florida...
   Forecast remains consistent with lighter northwesterly winds across
   the FL peninsula Monday as high pressure settles into the northern
   Gulf. Very dry conditions will remain with RH falling to around 25%
   in interior locations, but inhibited winds should mitigate a broader
   fire weather threat.

   ..Williams.. 02/01/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1229 AM CST Sun Feb 01 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   After upper-level ridging shifts into parts of the Plains on Sunday,
   a shortwave trough will lead to some breakdown of that ridge as it
   dives southeastward into the central Plains on Monday. At the
   surface, a modest lee trough/cyclone will develop in the central
   high Plains and shift southward. Fire weather risk will broadly
   remain low across a majority of the CONUS.

   ...Central/southern High Plains...
   With the development of the lee trough/cyclone, at least modest
   downslope winds appear possible during the afternoon. Winds will be
   more northerly in the central High Plains. Mid/upper clouds make RH
   reductions uncertain in this area. Farther south, winds in eastern
   New Mexico will more likely be westerly and RH could fall below 20%.
   In both areas, winds will be on the light side with around 15 mph
   expected (locally up to 20 mph). This overall environment will be
   conducive to fuel drying but is not expected to carry more than a
   localized fire weather risk.

   ...Florida...
   RH below 25-30% will again be possible during the afternoon. A more
   relaxed pressure gradient will mean lighter winds than the previous
   two days. Temperatures will be warmer, however. Without stronger
   surface winds, fire weather risk appears low. Localized concerns are
   possible where recent rainfall was not observed.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 012134

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0334 PM CST Sun Feb 01 2026

   Valid 031200Z - 091200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A broad upper-level troughing pattern across the eastern U.S. and
   ridging across the West is likely to persist through much of this
   week. Longer term ensemble guidance suggests a slow deamplification
   and shift eastward of the ridge into the Great Plains early next
   week which could allow more favorable Pacific moisture trajectories
   into the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies by Day 8/Sunday. At
   the surface, another southward advancing cold front and related
   mid-level trough encountering increasing lower-level Gulf moisture
   will support widespread precipitation from eastern TX on Day
   3/Tuesday into much of the Southeast by Day 4 Wednesday, mitigating
   fire weather concerns. Dry conditions and above normal temperatures
   are expected under the ridge for the West and into the High Plains.

   ...Days 4-5/Wednesday-Thursday - Desert Southwest and Southern
   California...
   A developing mid-level low near Baja California, along with an
   emerging sustained east-to-west surface pressure gradient should
   augment stronger easterly winds across the Desert Southwest and
   southern CA by midweek. Persistently low relative humidity
   (including poor overnight recoveries) are likely to persist through
   midweek. Although alignment of dry and breezy conditions are
   probable, a marginally dry fuelscape should allay a more significant
   fire weather concern Wednesday and Thursday.

   ..Williams.. 02/01/2026