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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 100658
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1258 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
...Synopsis...
Broad mid-level troughing will intensify as it moves eastward across
the US today and tonight. A cold front will sweep southeastward
through the Plains and southeast States with showers and
thunderstorms ahead of it. Strong high pressure will rapidly build
over the Rockies and western states. A dry post-frontal air mass
will develop in the wake of the front, with the driest portions
expected across parts of the Edwards Plateau and the Rio Grande
Valley. Downslope and gusty northerly winds of 20-25 mph will
overlap with RH values as low as 15-20% this afternoon. While some
rain has fallen over the eastern portions of south-central TX,
overall fuels remain quite dry. This will promote a few hours of
Elevated fire weather conditions in the Rio Grande Valley and
Edwards Plateau this afternoon. Fire weather concerns will quickly
diminish this evening as winds weaken and colder temperatures settle
into region.
..Lyons.. 01/10/2026
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U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 100702
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0102 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
Valid 111200Z - 121200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
Troughing over the eastern US will continue to intensify as it moves
offshore D2/Sunday. Strong west/northwesterly flow aloft will
overspread much of the Mid Atlantic and southeast states through the
day. Considerable rainfall associated with the trough and an
advancing surface cold front will likely mitigate fire weather
concerns from the northern Gulf Coast into the Mid Atlantic.
However, rain will be less common over portions of southern
Georgia, the Coastal Plains of the Carolinas and northern Florida.
As the front moves offshore, dry northerly flow is likely with gusts
of 15-20 mph and RH below 35%. Brief, locally elevated fire-weather
conditions are possible along the immediate coastal plain. However,
fuels here remain only marginally receptive to fire spread in areas
without recent precipitation. Thus, broader fire-weather concerns
appear unlikely.
..Lyons.. 01/10/2026
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 092141
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0341 PM CST Fri Jan 09 2026
Valid 111200Z - 171200Z
...Synopsis...
Dry conditions and gradually warming temperatures will likely
dominate the western U.S. under a relatively stagnant upper-level
ridging pattern across the region. Broad northwest flow and
upper-level troughing across the eastern U.S. will continue to usher
in periods of colder temperatures and some precipitation via frontal
systems through late next week, although the High Plains should
remain largely dry.
...Southern/Central High Plains...
A dry return flow pattern should materialize early next week across
the Southern Plains as surface high pressure settles into the
southeastern U.S. Although dry conditions will persist, surface
winds from the west/southwest should remain muted, limiting a
broader fire weather threat. A more amplified upper-level pattern
should emerge by Day 6/Wednesday accompanied by a broad cold front
across the central U.S. This could present a fire weather concern
for portions of the Southern Plains/TX. Increasing northwest flow
aloft over the central/southern Rockies by Day 7/Thursday and
another potential cold front will promote a favorable downslope wind
set up in the lee of the central/southern Rockies. Some uncertainty
in frontal timing limits predictability at this time with no
critical probabilities introduced.
...Day 3/Sunday - Southeast...
Considerable rainfall associated with an upper-level trough and
surface cold front over the weekend will likely mitigate fire
weather concerns from the northern Gulf Coast into the Mid Atlantic
for early next week. However, portions of southern Georgia, Coastal
Plains of the Carolinas and Florida could evade heavier rainfall.
This region could be exposed to dry, post-frontal flow from the
northwest on Day 3/Sunday although marginal fuels precludes
introduction of critical probabilities at this time.
..Williams.. 01/09/2026
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