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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 070654

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0154 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Broad upper troughing will overspread the north-central to eastern
   CONUS today, supporting the northward return of low-level moisture,
   as well as scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms to much
   of the U.S. east of the Rockies. As such, wildfire spread concerns
   should be limited for much of the central and eastern CONUS. While
   overall dry conditions will prevail across portions of the Southwest
   into the Great Basin, overall fuel receptiveness and strength of the
   surface wind fields appear too marginal for fire weather highlights.
   One area for some wildfire-spread potential is northeast Montana.
   Here, a surface cold front will sweep across the region, with
   widespread 25+ mph sustained northwesterly surface winds likely
   during the afternoon. Since RH may dip to 20 percent with the
   aforementioned strong surface wind field, and given ERCs approaching
   the 80th percentile in spots, Elevated highlights have been
   introduced for far northeastern Montana.

   ..Squitieri.. 06/07/2025
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 070705

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0205 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will deepen across the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley
   region, promoting widespread showers/thunderstorms and/or the
   overspreading of rich low-level moisture across much of the Plains
   to the East Coast tomorrow (Sunday). As such, significant and
   widespread wildfire-spread conditions should be limited across most
   locales east of the Rockies. Similar to Day 1, dry conditions will
   prevail across the Southwest tomorrow, though surface winds appear
   too weak to warrant fire weather highlights. Widespread 20-25 mph
   sustained northwesterly surface winds amid 25 percent RH are likely
   in a post cold-frontal regime over the northern High Plains tomorrow
   (Sunday) afternoon. However, fuels in this region are less
   receptive, and have received relatively more recent rainfall
   compared to far northeast Montana. As such, fire weather highlights
   have been withheld for now.

   ..Squitieri.. 06/07/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 062200

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0500 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025

   Valid 081200Z - 141200Z

   Fire-weather potential over much of the CONUS is low through the
   extend forecast period. Mostly zonal mid-level flow will begin to
   transition to a more amplified state late this weekend and into
   early next week. Subtropical ridging over the western US will
   intensify forcing northwesterly flow aloft over much of the Plains.
   To the east, a broad upper trough will deepen over the eastern US as
   it moves out of Canada. With northwesterly flow aloft and troughing
   over the east, broad southerly flow and moist surface conditions
   will support widespread thunderstorms across much of the Plains,
   Midwest and eastern US. Cool and wet conditions should temper
   fire-weather concerns. Western troughing should redevelop late in
   the extended forecast period potentially allowing dry and windy
   conditions to emerge over the western US.

   ...Northern Plains/Rockies...
   As the northern stream trough begins to deepen and move south out of
   Canada, strong northwesterly flow will overspread the northern
   Rockies and Plains late this weekend and into early next week. A
   cold front moving down the Plains will usher in a drier air mass
   across parts of eastern MT and the western Dakotas D3/Sunday. While
   model guidance varies, consensus shows a few hours of dry and breezy
   conditions with post-frontal downslope flow across the northern High
   Plains. While area fuels are not overly dry, locally elevated
   fire-weather conditions are possible.

   ...Great Basin and Southwest...
   The upper ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward starting
   the middle of next week. This will allow some western US troughing
   to deepen and overspread the drier portions of the Great Basin and
   Southwest into next weekend. While details remain unclear due to
   model variance, increasing flow aloft, coupled with several
   preceding days of dry and warm conditions, may support increasing
   potential for fire-weather conditions. 

   Warm temperatures beneath the upper ridge, coupled with modest
   ascent and mid-level moisture from several weak subtropical
   vorticity maxima forecast to move over the Southwest could support
   isolated dry thunderstorm potential over the Southwest. While again
   details are unclear, the potential for drying fuels and lightning
   could increase over parts of the Southwest toward the end of the
   forecast period.

   ..Lyons.. 06/06/2025
      




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