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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 211651

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1051 AM CST Wed Jan 21 2026

   Valid 211700Z - 221200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   No changes were needed to the Day 1 Outlook. Enhanced northwesterly
   flow aloft and associated lee surface troughing in the central High
   Plains will support breezy west-northwest winds across southeast WY,
   southwest NE, and northeast CO, but limited RH reductions to around
   20 percent, cooler temperatures and cloud cover should mitigate a
   broader fire weather threat today. Farther south, brief and
   localized elevated fire weather conditions promoted by dry,
   downslope flow are still expected in favored terrain along the CO
   Front Range and Sangre De Cristo Mountains. Although relative
   humidity in the single digits will be present, a more expansive
   alignment of west winds of 15-20 mph and receptive fuels should
   remain limited.

   ..Williams.. 01/21/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0148 AM CST Wed Jan 21 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   A northwesterly jet streak will overspread the northern/central
   Plains today, while a related cold front moves across the region.
   Along/immediately ahead of the front, breezy/gusty northwesterly
   surface winds and around 25 percent RH may yield locally elevated
   fire-weather conditions across parts of southeast WY, southwest NE,
   and northeast CO. However, the overall risk should be spatially and
   temporally limited by the southward-moving cold front.

   Farther south, enhanced northwesterly flow aloft and related lee
   troughing over the central High Plains will also lead to locally
   dry/breezy conditions in the immediate lee of the Front Range and
   Sangre de Cristo Mountains in CO and northern NM.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 211954

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0154 PM CST Wed Jan 21 2026

   Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   An intensely cold air mass accompanied by expanding cloud cover and
   light precipitation will move into the northern/central plains and
   Upper Midwest Thursday limiting fire weather concerns. Locally
   breezy downslope winds and drying will continue to impact locations
   in immediate leeward locations and foothills of the Rockies across
   southern CO and NM, although cloud cover and marginally dry fuels
   will limit a larger fire weather threat.

   ..Williams.. 01/21/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0148 AM CST Wed Jan 21 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   An arctic air mass will begin to infiltrate the northern and central
   Plains on Thursday, limiting the fire-weather risk across much of
   the CONUS. The only exception will be in the lee of the southern
   Rockies in NM, where westerly/downslope flow and lee troughing will
   favor locally dry/breezy conditions during the afternoon.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 212116

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0316 PM CST Wed Jan 21 2026

   Valid 231200Z - 291200Z

   A pronounced arctic air mass will filter into much of CONUS late
   week while a large scale upper-level trough deepens across the
   western U.S. on Day 3/Friday, translating eastward over the weekend
   and reaching the East Coast early next week. The trough will
   facilitate overrunning of East Pacific and Gulf moisture over the
   shallower cold air mass to bring a broad, mixed precipitation event
   across the Southwest and southern Plains beginning on Days
   3-4/Friday-Saturday. Development of a surface trough/low across the
   Deep South and subsequent eastward advancement of the upper-level
   trough should support additional widespread precipitation across the
   Southeast, Mid Atlantic and Northeast for Day 5-6/Sunday-Monday.
   This will considerably reduce fire weather concerns  across the
   majority of the eastern U.S. through the middle of next week. Longer
   term ensemble guidance does suggest a return to seasonably warmer
   and drier conditions across the central High Plains as early as Day
   6/Monday, along with the potential for breezy downslope winds under
   a broad northwest flow aloft regime. However, uncertainty in spatial
   distribution of precedent precipitation across the region through
   this weekend reduces predictability of the fire weather threat for
   this region in the longer term.

   ..Williams.. 01/21/2026
      




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