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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 300540
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1240 AM CDT Thu Oct 30 2025
Valid 301200Z - 311200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
As the Ohio Valley upper low moves into the Northeast today, the
surface low will follow a similar track. Winds across most of the
CONUS will weaken. Where wind remains stronger, cooler temperatures
and recent precipitation will preclude concerns. Areas of the Great
Basin/Southwest will remain dry, but weak winds and unreceptive
fuels will similar mitigate fire weather concerns.
..Wendt.. 10/30/2025
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U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 300541
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1241 AM CDT Thu Oct 30 2025
Valid 311200Z - 011200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
Another upper trough will develop in the Upper Midwest on Friday
with the trough axis eventually extending into the central/southern
Plains. A modest surface low will deepen in West Texas with a
similarly modest surface high moving into the central Plains. Dry
return flow near the surface low in Texas as well as downslope winds
in New Mexico are expected, but winds will be too weak for fire
weather risk.
..Wendt.. 10/30/2025
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 292145
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0445 PM CDT Wed Oct 29 2025
Valid 311200Z - 061200Z
...Synopsis...
Broad surface high pressure following a surface low and associated
precipitation exiting New England on Day 3/Friday, should settle
into the eastern U.S. over the weekend. Additionally, an upper-level
trough digging into the Southern Plains and Southeast through the
weekend but limited accompanying surface wind response should
mitigate a larger fire weather threat. Ridging across the western
U.S. still continue to support dry and warm conditions across much
of Intermountain West and Southwest desert regions. A more
progressive upper-level wave pattern and increasing westerly flow
across the Rockies could support a dry downslope wind regime,
potentially impacting the High Plains with stronger winds by mid to
late week.
...Days 3-5/Friday-Sunday...
Precipitation associated with a surface low and attendant cold front
should be fairly widespread from the Ohio River Valley, Mid-Atlantic
and New England from the Day 2-3/Thursday-Friday period, mitigating
fire weather threat across the region for the weekend. However,
portions of Southeast and Gulf Coast evade a wider rain event.
Remaining patchy dry fuels within dry, post-frontal flow could
present an elevated fire risk for some locations but winds are
expected to remain fairly light, mitigating a larger fire weather
threat.
...Days 6-8/Tuesday-Wednesday...
A more progressive upper wave pattern develops by the middle of next
week. This could introduce a fire weather concern primarily across
the High Plains as enhanced mid-level flow and potential downslope
winds and drying develop. Predictability remains low enough in
timing of lee trough/cold front evolution and subsequent fire
weather impacts to preclude introduction of critical probabilities
at this time.
..Williams.. 10/29/2025
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