ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 150622

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1222 AM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

   Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A shortwave ridge over the central CONUS will move eastward through
   the day on Monday as a trough digs into the western CONUS and the
   associated jet max overspreads the central and southern Rockies. In
   response, lee troughing will develop over southeastern Colorado,
   which is expected to promote dry and breezy conditions amid strong
   vertical mixing across portions of the southern High Plains. Here,
   winds may be near 20-25 mph and RH near 10-15% in the presence of
   dry fuels. Therefore, an Elevated area has been introduced across
   portions of northeastern New Mexico, the Texas and Oklahoma
   Panhandles, and adjacent areas of far southeastern Colorado and
   southwestern Kansas.

   ..Supinie.. 02/15/2026

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 142156

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0356 PM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

   Valid 161200Z - 221200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A persistent and strong mid-level flow pattern emerges over the
   southern U.S. early next week as upper-level troughing evolves
   across the West. Subsequent lee trough development across the Plains
   with deeper Gulf moisture confined to the southeastern U.S. will aid
   in keeping dry and breezy conditions across portions of the central
   and Southern Plains next week. More pronounced mid-level short waves
   and attendant jet cores within the broad west/southwesterly flow
   aloft could bring more significant fire weather threats to the
   central and southern Plains, particularly on Day 4/Tuesday and Day
   6/Thursday. 

   ...Day 3-6/Monday-Thursday - Central and Southern Plains...
   Increasing southwesterly winds in response to a deepening lee trough
   across the central High Plains under moderate westerly flow aloft
   should bring dry and breezy conditions to eastern NM and the TX
   Panhandle on Day 3/Monday where 40% critical probabilities remain. A
   robust 100 kt+ mid-level jet max ahead of a pronounced short wave
   trough, along with rapidly strengthening lee trough across the
   northern High Plains will promote enhanced fire weather concerns
   across much of the central and southern Plains on Day 4/Tuesday.
   Some uncertainty in RH reductions exists across the high Plains
   adjacent to the Southern Rockies as mid and upper-level subtropical
   moisture moves into the Southwest, but overall fire weather threat
   remains high. Critical fire weather conditions remain most likely
   across the TX Panhandle/vicinity and northeastern CO and the NE
   Panhandle on Tuesday where a 70% critical probability area has been
   introduced. Broad westerly flow aloft and associated downslope
   drying and mixing will persist across the Southern Plains on Day
   5/Wednesday. Another mid-level short wave and jet max moves into the
   Southwest Thursday accompanied by deepening surface low pressure
   across the Central Plains. Favorable downslope trajectories will
   support dry and breezy conditions across the Southern Plains on Day
   5/Thursday but wind magnitude uncertainty limits introduction of a
   70% critical probability area at this time.

   ...Day 7-8/Friday-Saturday - Southern Plains...
   Longer term ensemble guidance indicates a transition to northwest
   flow aloft as a more progressive wave pattern emerges across CONUS
   late next week, inviting a colder air mass into the Southern U.S.
   for the weekend. Dry, post frontal flow could support continued fire
   weather concerns for portions of the southern Plains on Day
   7/Friday, but timing uncertainty limits predictability of fire
   weather impacts late next week.

   ..Williams.. 02/14/2026