ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 141851

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0151 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

   Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

   ...Afternoon Update...
   After a brief reprieve, hot, dry and windy conditions return to the
   northern/central Plains on Day 2/Monday. Strong, northwesterly flow
   aloft will overspread the Central States beneath an anchored upper
   low in the southern Ontario/Quebec regions. A southward progressing
   surface low over the Great Lakes will tighten surface pressure
   gradients along the High Plains, promoting northwesterly sustained
   winds of 15-25 mph amid 15-20% RH. Elevated highlights have been
   expanded across southeastern WY and northwestern NE to reflect
   recent guidance, overlapping 95-98th percentile ERCs where receptive
   fuels exist (and the ongoing South Fork Fire in northwestern NE). 

   Despite weaker upper-level support, stronger terrain-driven winds of
   15-20 mph (locally greater in gap-flow areas and higher elevations)
   and 10-15% RH will promote locally elevated fire weather conditions
   across parts of the eastern Great Basin, Four Corners, and Central
   Rockies.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 06/14/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0100 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   Elevated fire-weather conditions are forecast for portions of
   eastern Wyoming into Nebraska on Monday, as a dry and breezy
   post-frontal airmass produces 15-20 MPH winds with 15-20% relative
   humidity across the area. These conditions will overlap with
   generally critical fuels, as ERCs are forecast to be in the
   95th-98th percentile range. There is still some uncertainty in the
   overall coverage and duration of Elevated conditions, so expansion
   may occur in future updates.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 132152

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0452 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

   Valid 151200Z - 211200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Broad upper-level troughing will persist across the northeastern
   CONUS through late next week as an upper low remains anchored over
   the southern Ontario/Quebec regions. An upper-level ridge will
   flatten over the Pacific Northwest on Day 4/Tuesday, eventually
   breaking down and shifting eastward over the central CONUS as a
   trough moves onshore the West Coast by Day 6-7/Thursday-Friday.
   Consequently, dry and breezy conditions with above normal
   temperatures (and resultant dry fuels) will support expansive fire
   concerns through the remainder of the forecast period. While timing
   differences in various NWP guidance currently precludes the
   introduction of critical probabilities past Day 5/Wednesday,
   highlights may be needed across the Interior West and High Plains in
   future outlook cycles as details become better resolved. 

   ...Day 4-5/Tuesday-Wednesday - Parts of the Intermountain West...
   Several days of well above normal surface temperatures will occur
   under the upper ridge through early next week, with record high
   temperatures forecast to be met or exceeded in portions of the
   Pacific Northwest. This anomalous, but short-lived, heat wave is
   expected to further dry dead fuels over much of the western CONUS -
   significantly so over the Pacific Northwest. 

   As the ridge dampens and begins to slide eastward, robust
   northwesterly flow aloft should foster breezy surface winds amid
   pre-existing warm and dry conditions. Thus, 40% Critical
   probabilities have been introduced to eastern Washington and
   southeastern Oregon on Day 4/Tuesday where confidence has increased
   in fire weather conditions overlapping a vast region of cured
   grasses. As robust northwesterly flow aloft overspreads the central
   Rockies and a dry cold front traverses the central Plains,
   heightened fire concerns should reemerge as ERCs approach the
   90-95th percentile. 40% Critical probabilities have been maintained
   across the region on Day 4/Tuesday and Day 5/Wednesday, though
   spatial extent may be adjusted in future outlooks with updated
   guidance and fuel progression.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 06/13/2026