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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 061610

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1010 AM CST Fri Nov 06 2026

   Valid 061700Z - 071200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   The previous forecast remains on track with no changes necessary. A
   mid-level low will sit over the Great Lakes with another trough
   digging south through the Desert Southwest, contributing to offshore
   flow over far southern CA. Recent widespread rainfall and below
   normal temperatures are leading to minimal fire weather conditions
   today. However, the aforementioned weak-to-moderate Santa Anas today
   will cure fuels over coastal portions of far southern CA in
   preparation for additional wind on Day 2/Saturday.

   ..Stearns.. 11/06/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1149 PM CST Thu Nov 05 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   A minimal fire-weather threat is forecast for today owing to a lack
   of receptive fuels and relatively calm meteorological conditions. An
   exception is the onset of a period of dry and windy conditions with
   offshore Santa Ana winds in Southern California this weekend, but
   conditions should remain below Elevated criteria for today.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 061839

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1239 PM CST Fri Nov 06 2026

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   Very minor adjustments were made to the existing Day 2/Saturday
   Elevated wind/RH drawn area in agreement with the latest forecast
   guidance. With an upper-level low positioned over northern Mexico,
   offshore flow remains on track to impact portions of southern CA as
   previously described. Dry and breezy to gusty easterly/northeasterly
   winds today and again on Day 2/Saturday will further cure fuels,
   making them available to burn. Locally critical conditions remain
   possible where favored by terrain.

   ..Stearns.. 11/06/2026

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1150 PM CST Thu Nov 05 2026/

   ...Synopsis...
   Elevated fire-weather conditions are forecast across a localized
   area of Southern California tomorrow. Portions of the San Gabriel,
   Santa Monica, and Santa Susana mountains, along with the San Gabriel
   Valley, are forecast to experience a weak to moderate Santa Ana wind
   event from late morning into early afternoon Saturday. Sustained
   northeasterly off-shore winds of around 20 MPH (gusting to 30-40
   MPH) are expected with relative humidity of 15-20%. Current fuels
   guidance has ERCs reaching the 90th seasonal percentile for the
   region, driven primarily by critically-low 10-hour and 100-hour dead
   fuel moisture. Locally Critical conditions are possible where local
   terrain favors, and Critical highlights may be introduced if newer
   forecast guidance indicates drier or windier conditions than
   currently expected.


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 062138

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0338 PM CST Fri Nov 06 2026

   Valid 081200Z - 141200Z

   The upper-level pattern starts on Day 3/Sunday with a ridge axis
   centered over the western Great Plains and a trough over the Great
   Lakes and the Northeast. The existing cutoff low over northern
   Mexico will stall and weaken slightly through at least the middle of
   next week. By Day 6/Wednesday, the ridge over the western US will
   amplify even further, contributing to above-normal temperatures
   across much of the CONUS. Daytime high temperatures could exceed
   normal by up to 15-20 degrees over portions of the Northwest through
   the northern High Plains on both Day 6/Wednesday and Day 7/Thursday.
   A significant trough from the Gulf of Alaska will move toward the
   Pacific Northwest by Day 8/Saturday, leading to the breakdown of the
   upper-level ridge over the West. However, given the cool
   temperatures and accumulating precipitation preceding the ridge's
   formation, fuels across much of the CONUS will not be receptive to
   large fire activity. Southern coastal CA and portions of the
   Appalachian Mountains will remain drier than normal, but the overall
   threat for significant wildfires remains low.

   ..Stearns.. 11/06/2026
      




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