ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical 
Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, 
Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions 
warrant.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
NNNN
    

000
AXNT20 KNHC 242302
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Jan 25 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of America Gale Warning: A 1012 mb low pressure located in 
the NW Gulf near 28N95.5W will deepen as it tracks NE into 
Louisiana by early Sun. The associated cold front will move SE 
across the entire basin Sun through Mon evening. Strong reinforcing
arctic high pressure behind the front is expected to produce 
near gale force winds across NW portions of the Gulf Sun and Sun 
night, gale force winds over the offshore waters of Tampico Sun 
night into Mon morning, and gales over the waters offshore 
Veracruz Mon and Mon night. Seas are expected to quickly build 
across the basin starting Sun reaching 16 or 17 ft over the SW 
Gulf late on Mon. Conditions will improve quickly from NW to SE 
Tue through Wed as the front moves SE into the NW Caribbean and 
high pressure builds across the region. Mariners are advised to 
keep up with the latest forecasts.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National 
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough remains inland over Africa. The ITCZ extends
from the coast of Liberia near 05N09W to 01N25W to 02N40W to 
00N50W. Scattered moderate convection is from the equator to 06N
between 15W and 21W. Similar convective activity is near 06N35W. 

GULF OF AMERICA...

A warm front extends from N Florida westward to a 1012 mb low 
pressure located near 28N95.5W. A strong arctic cold front 
extends from the low center southward to inland Texas near 
Brownsville. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are near the low
center and N of the warm front W of 90W. This convective activity
is affecting southern Louisiana. Fresh to strong easterly winds
are N of the front W of 90W based on scatterometer data with seas
of 3 to 5 ft. South of the front W of 90W, moderate to fresh SE 
to S winds with moderate seas are W of 90W while gentle to 
moderate SE winds and slight to moderate seas are E of 90W. 

For the forecast, the low pressure will deepen as it tracks NE 
into Louisiana by early Sun. The associated cold front will move 
SE across the entire basin Sun through Mon evening. Please, see
the Special Features section for more information about these
features.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

The most recent satellite derived wind data indicate moderate to
locally fresh trades across most of the basin, with seas of 3 to
5 ft, except 5 to 7 ft near the coast of Colombia. A surface 
trough is analyzed over eastern Cuba and Jamaica. This trough is 
generating some convective activity over eastern Cuba. Patches of
low level moisture, embedded in the trade wind flow, are moving 
across the area producing isolated to scattered passing showers. 
Large E swell over the Tropical N Atlantic is bringing seas of 6 
to 8 ft across the Atlantic passages of the Lesser Antilles.

For the forecast, broad high pressure over the east central 
Atlantic will maintain mostly fresh trades over the eastern and 
central Caribbean as well as the Tropical N Atlantic waters 
through early next week, while fresh winds offshore of Colombia 
pulse to strong at night through Sun, then to near gale force 
afterward into midweek. Large E swell over the Tropical N Atlantic
will slowly subside into early next week, with seas lingering to
8 ft through early Wed. A cold front will enter the NW Caribbean
late Mon and begin to stall from eastern Cuba to the Gulf of 
Honduras by late Tue into Wed, weakening to a shearline Thu. 
Strong northerly winds will follow the front before briefly 
diminishing to mostly fresh speeds on Wed, and increasing back 
to fresh to strong on Thu as stronger high pressure builds 
southward toward the NW Caribbean.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from near Bermuda westward to inland north 
Florida just N of Cape Canaveral, FL. A surface trough is 
analyzed E of the front and runs from 31N60W to just E of the NW
Bahamas. Some shower activity is associated with trough. The 
cold front, that yesterday crossed the Canary Islands has 
dissipated, but lingering N swell, with seas of 12 to 16 ft  
persists near the Canary Islands. High pressure of 1030 mb 
located W of the Madeira Islands near 31N24W dominates the 
remainder of the forecast region. Under this weather pattern, 
a large area of fresh to strong NE to E winds is noted from 10N 
to 25N E of 30W, including the Cabo Verde Islands, and from 07N 
to 23N between 30W and 50W. Seas of 8 to 10 ft are within these 
winds. Moderate to fresh trades are occurring from 10N to 20N W 
of 50W to the Lesser Antilles. An altimeter pass indicates seas
of 8 to 9 ft just NE of the Leeward Islands. Moderate or weaker 
winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere. A band of transverse 
high clouds associated with very strong southwesterly winds aloft
persist across the tropical Atlantic, extending from NE South 
America all the way to W Africa.

For the forecast west of 55W, the trough and ridge will shift 
slowly NE through tonight. Fresh to strong S to SW winds will 
develop over the NW forecast waters Sun evening through early Mon 
in advance of a strong Arctic cold front that is expected to move 
offshore northeastern Florida early Mon. Winds to near gale force 
will develop just N of the area early on Mon. The front will reach
from near 31N70W to the NW Bahamas and Straits of Florida Mon 
evening, from near 31N56W to the SE Bahamas and eastern Cuba Tue 
evening, then weaken as it reaches from near 31N51W to 26N60W then
stationary to the SE Bahamas and eastern Cuba Wed afternoon. 
Fresh to strong northerly winds and rough seas are expected W of 
the front Mon afternoon through Tue afternoon, becoming mostly 
fresh NE winds Tue night and Wed within about 180 nm NW of the 
frontal boundary. The frontal boundary will become nearly 
stationary from near 29N55W to 25N66W and to near 20N70W by late 
Thu as another strong cold front moves over the NW forecast 
waters.

$$
GR
  

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2025 Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather 
Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026 for the eastern North Pacific 
and on June 1, 2026 for the central North Pacific. During the 
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as 
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN
    

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 242108
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Sat Jan 24 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: The next gap wind event across
the Tehunatepec region is slated to begin early Mon morning as a
ridge builds across the eastern slopes of the Sierra Madre 
Mountains in Mexico, behind a cold front moving across the Gulf 
of America. Wind are forecast to suddenly increase to 35-40 kt, 
with seas building to 9 to 12 ft by late Mon morning. Looking 
ahead, winds will further increase to minimal storm force by Mon 
night with seas building to 20 to 22 ft. Gusty winds to near 
hurricane force may occur on Mon night. A Storm Warning will 
likely be issued tonight. Large seas generated from this strong 
gap wind event will spread well away from the Tehuantepec area, 
with seas 12 ft or greater reaching as far south as 10N by Tue 
morning. Marine interests transiting across or in the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec early next week should be aware of this upcoming gap 
wind event, and take the necessary action to avoid this hazardous
marine conditions over the affected waters. Winds are forecast 
to diminish below storm force by late Tue morning but strong gale
force winds of 40-45 kt will persist. Gale conditions are then 
forecast to continue through early Wed morning. 

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details
on this event.

Of note: The monthly distribution of Tehuantepec events shows 
that the largest number of gale force events occurs in December.
Storm-force events occur most often in January. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from a 1010 mb low pressure located
over northern Colombia near 10N75W to 07N90W to 06N101W. The 
ITCZ continues from 06N101W to 07N125W to beyond 07N140W. A
surface trough is within the ITCZ and runs from 12N116W to 
06N120W. Scattered moderate convection is noted near the trough 
axis from 09N to 12N between 115W and 120W. Elsewhere convection
is limited. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A surface trough extends over NW Mexico and the southern Gulf of
California. The pressure gradient between a ridge across the 
Baja California offshore waters and this trough supports fresh to
strong NW winds between Cabo San Lucas and Punta Eugenia with
seas of 4 to 6 ft. Mainly fresh NW winds are noted N of Punta 
Eugenia, including the Bay of Sebastian Vizcaino, with moderate
seas. Fresh to strong SW winds are also seen from 22N to 24N 
within about 90 nm E of the trough axis, including the entrance
to the Gulf of California. Light to gentle winds and moderate 
seas in NW swell dominate the remainder of the Mexican offshore 
forecast waters, including the Tehuantepec area.

For the forecast, the aforementioned surface trough will move 
inland Mexico tonight while dissipating. The associated winds  
will diminish to 15 kt by this evening, with the exception of 20
kt westerly winds in the vicinity of Los Cabos. Looking ahead, 
a very strong gap wind event is slated to begin in the Tehuantepec
region Mon morning, with winds rapidly increasing to storm force
by Mon evening. Very rough seas will be associated with these 
wind speeds. Please, see the Special Features section for more 
information on this event.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds are across the Papagayo 
region and downwind to about 88W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft within 
these winds. Moderate N winds with slight to moderate seas 
prevail in the Gulf of Panama. Elsewhere, light to gentle with 
moderate seas in mixed SW and NW swell prevail.

For the forecast, high pressure N of the area will support fresh to 
strong NE to E winds and rough seas in the Papagayo region through 
early Sun morning. Fresh to strong winds in this region will resume
again Mon night into Tue, and reach near gale force speeds by Tue
evening, with seas building to 10 or 11 ft. Moderate to locally 
fresh N winds will continue to pulse in the Gulf of Panama through
Thu night. Elsewhere, winds will be moderate or weaker through 
the middle of the next week. Seas generated by a very strong gap
wind event in the Tehuantepec region will propagate across the 
offshore forecast waters of Guatemala and El Salvador beginning 
Mon evening. The highest seas, in the 12 to 19 ft range in NW 
swell, are expected on Tue. Rough seas may persist through Thu
night.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A ridge extends southward from a 1025 mb high pressure located 
near 34N136W across the northern forecast waters, particularly N
of 15N and W of 110W. The pressure gradient between the ridge 
and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is promoting an 
area of moderate to fresh trades N of the ITCZ to about 17N and 
W of 125W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft within these winds based on 
altimeter data. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker and seas 
are moderate in mixed NE wind wave and long period NW swell. 

For the forecast, high pressure will continue to build southward
across the forecast region on Sun, with a high pressure cell 
developing near 32N136W. The high pressure will move E through
Tue as a cold front approaches the NW corner of the forecast 
waters. The front will reach from 30N135W to 26N140W by Mon 
night, and from 30N133W to 24N140W by Tue morning. Fresh to
strong winds are expected ahead and behind the front by Mon 
night, then winds will diminish 10 to 15 kt on Tue. Rough seas 
are forecast in the wake of the front.

$$
GR
  

No Storms to Report