|
Tropical Atlantic & Pacific Basin Outlooks & Discussions
Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic - Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical
Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season,
Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions
warrant.
$$
Forecaster Bucci
NNNN
|
Tropical Weather Discussion
Atlantic - Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico
000
AXNT20 KNHC 262113
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Mar 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic gale warning: A strong cold front will move into the
waters offshore of northeast Florida by Sat morning, and reach
from 31N60W to SE Florida by Sun morning before dissipating on
Mon. Strong winds, with frequent gusts to gale force, and rough to
very rough seas will follow the front through early Sun.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 07.5N12.5W and
continues southwestward to 0.5S29W. The ITCZ extends from 0.5S29W
to 01S45W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03S to 03N
between 15W and 35W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure prevails across the basin, anchored by a 1023 mb
high centered over Georgia. Light winds are over the NE Gulf, with
gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Seas are in the 1-2 ft range
over the NE Gulf, and 2-4 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist over the
northeast Gulf through late Fri. A trough over the Bay of Campeche
will support moderate to fresh winds off the northern and western
coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula, mainly at night, through early
next week. The next cold front will move into the northern Gulf
early Sat morning, reach the southeast Gulf by Sun morning, and
move southeast of the basin late on Sun. Fresh to strong NE to E
winds and rough seas are expected in the wake of the front over
the eastern Gulf Sat night through early Mon. The pressure
gradient will remain strong enough to sustain fresh to strong east
winds across the southeast Gulf and the Straits of Florida
through the middle of the next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure north of the basin
and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade
winds and moderate seas in the south- central Caribbean.
Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas
prevail across much of the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure north of the area combined with
the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate to rough seas offshore Colombia through early next week.
Looking ahead, high pressure will follow a strong cold front
moving through the western Atlantic this weekend, supporting fresh
to strong NE winds and building seas in the lee side of Cuba, the
Windward Passage, and just south of Hispaniola from Sat night
through the early part of next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A dissipating stationary front extends from 31N60W to 29N75W. A
surface trough extends from 31N46.5W to 21N56W. A few showers and
thunderstorms are noted near these features. For the remainder of
the basin, a weak pressure gradient is leading to moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas, except for moderate to locally
fresh winds east of the Lesser Antilles. In the far eastern
Atlantic, moderate to fresh N-NE winds and rough seas are noted
over the waters north of 25N and east of 27W.
For the forecast west of 55W aside from the gale warning, a ridge
will dominate the forecast waters through late Fri supporting
gentle to moderate easterly winds and moderate seas. A strong
cold front will move into the waters offshore of northeast Florida
by Sat morning, and reach from 31N60W to SE Florida by Sun
morning before dissipating on Mon. Strong high pressure will
build in the wake of the front, with fresh to strong NE to E
winds and rough to very rough seas across most of the forecast
region likely through Tue.
$$
AL
|
Tropical Weather Outlook
Eastern Pacific
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the
2025 Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather
Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026 for the eastern North Pacific
and on June 1, 2026 for the central North Pacific. During the
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN
|
Tropical Weather Discussion
Eastern Pacific
000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270213
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Fri Mar 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0100 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Fresh to near gale force N to NE gap winds in the Gulf of
Tehuantepec will pulse through Mon night, except for gale-force
northerly winds forecast to develop Sat through Sun morning.
Seas will become rough to very rough during the period of gale-
force winds, peaking around 15 ft by early Sun. Please read the
latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane
Center at website - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml
for more details.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A surface trough extends from 07.5N77.5W to 05N88W. The ITCZ
extends from 05N88W to 03.5N100W to 06N120W to beyond 05N140W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 06N between
87W and 101W, from 05N to 07N between 110W and 115.5W, and from
04N to 07N between 128W and 136W. Similar convection is noted
from 10.5N to 12N between 110W and 113W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Fresh to near-gale force winds, and seas of 4-7 ft prevail in
the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Moderate to locally fresh NW-N winds
and seas of 4-7 ft are over the waters off Baja California
Norte. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight to moderate
seas are noted.
For the forecast aside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec, light to
gentle winds will prevail over much of the offshore waters
through Tue night, pulsing to moderate to fresh near Baja
California Norte through Sat, and near Cabo San Lucas Sat night.
Northwest swell will bring rough seas north of Punta Eugenia
through Fri before subsiding.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Fresh NE-E winds prevail over the Papagayo region, extending
westward to near 88W. In the Gulf of Panama, moderate to locally
fresh N winds are noted. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds will develop in the
Gulf of Papagayo region late tonight then will pulse through Tue
night reaching to 92W at times, with moderate to locally rough
seas. Moderate to fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Panama
with moderate seas through Tue night. Rough seas will build well
offshore western Guatemala by early Sun through Sun night due to
a developing Gulf of Tehuantepec gale-force gap wind event.
Gentle breezes and slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere
through the forecast period.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
A 1004 mb gale-force low pressure area is W of the area near
26N145.5W. Outer associated fresh to strong E-SE winds are near
the waters at 30N140W. Related seas of 7-9 ft are W of a line
from near 30N120W to 26N140W. Moderate convection is N of 24N
from 140W westward. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas
are found over the remainder of the discussion waters.
For the forecast, fresh to locally strong mainly SE winds will
prevail near 30N140W into Fri evening until the gale-force low
W-NW of the area lifts and weakens. Associated rough swells over
the far NW and N-central waters will linger through Fri night
before subsiding. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will
prevail over the open waters. Moderate seas will prevail
otherwise into early Sun across the open waters. Rough seas from
a developing gale-force gap wind event in the Gulf of
Tehuantepec will spread SW and impact the waters roughly N of 07N
and E of 105W Sun through Mon. Looking ahead, rough seas in
southerly swell may impact the waters S of the Equator mid-week.
$$
Lewitsky
|
Tropical Weather Discussion
Central Pacific
|
|
|
