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Tropical Atlantic & Pacific Basin Outlooks & Discussions

Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic - Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical
Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season,
Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions
warrant.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
NNNN
Tropical Weather Discussion
Atlantic - Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico
000
AXNT20 KNHC 141018
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Feb 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1000 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Atlantic Gale Waring:  
Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for their Agadir and
Tarfaya Marine Zones starting 14/12 UTC. For more details, please
refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their 
website: 
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/metarea2.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W to 04N19W. 
The ITCZ continues from that point to 02S44W. Scattered moderate 
convection is noted along the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weakening stationary front meanders northwestward from southern 
Florida to beyond New Orleans, Louisiana. Latest observations 
along with composite satellite imagery reveal patchy dense fog is 
present near northern Yucatan Peninsula, Naples Florida and along 
the Texas/Louisiana coast. Moderate to fresh NE to SE winds and 
seas of 3 to 5 ft are seen across the western Gulf, including the 
Bay of Campeche. Gentle to moderate NNE to E winds and 1 to 3 ft 
seas prevail for the central and eastern Gulf.

For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will support light to gentle
winds across much of the Gulf, with the exception of moderate
winds across the western Gulf. Southerly return flow will
increase to fresh to strong speeds today ahead of a cold front 
that will enter the Gulf waters this weekend. Strong S to SW winds
and rough seas are expected in the N-central and NE Gulf with 
this frontal system on Sun. The front is forecast to move SE of 
the area by Mon. High pres will build in the wake of the front.

...CARIBBEAN SEA... 

A broad surface trough is generating scattered showers near
Hispaniola. Otherwise, a modest trade-wind regime persists across
much of the Caribbean Sea. Fresh to strong NE winds and 6 to 7 ft
seas are evident off northwestern Colombia. Moderate to fresh NE 
to E winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft dominate the southeastern and 
rest of the south-central basin, including the ABC Islands. 
Moderate with fresh NE winds and seas at 3 to 5 ft are noted at 
the lee of Cuba and Windward Passage. Mostly gentle NE to E winds 
and 2 to 5 ft seas prevail the rest of the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, pulsing strong NE winds will prevail near the coast
of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate to rough seas
are expected with these winds. Strong winds will develop over
the Windward Passage and S of Dominican Republic this weekend as
a high pressure center passes N of the area and tightens the
pressure gradient. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail through early next week. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends southwestward from the north-central Atlantic
across 31N54W to 25N72W, then continues westward as a stationary
front to beyond the central Bahamas. Scattered showers are present
near and up to 100 nm northwest of the front. Farther east, 
convergent southerly winds are generating scattered moderate 
convection N of 22N between 47W and 61W. Near and north of the 
Mona Passage, a surface trough is causing scattered showers and 
isolated thunderstorms. 

For the western Atlantic north of 20N between 55W and the 
Florida/southern Georgia coast, gentle to moderate SW to NW to NE
winds with 5 to 7 ft seas are evident. To the east, moderate to 
fresh E to SSE winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft dominate north of 27N
between 44W and 63W. For the tropical Atlantic from the Equator 
to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, gentle to moderate NE 
to ESE winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will 
shift eastward with high pressure building in the wake of the 
front. S winds will strengthen offshore north and central Florida 
on Sun in advance of another cold front that will move off the SE 
U.S. coast on Mon. Fresh to strong NE winds and building seas are 
expected in the wake of the front.

$$
ERA
  
Tropical Weather Outlook
Eastern Pacific
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the
2025 Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather
Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026 for the eastern North Pacific
and on June 1, 2026 for the central North Pacific. During the
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN
Tropical Weather Discussion
Eastern Pacific
000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140906
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sat Feb 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Significant Very Rough NW Swell: Rough seas in NW swell over the
waters N of 08N and W of 119W will get reinforced behind a cold 
front starting tonight with seas building to very rough SE of 
30N140W. By Sun evening, very rough seas will cover the waters N 
of 24N and W of 130W, up to 17 ft near 30N139W. By Mon evening,
very rough seas will be W of a line from 30N120W to 18N140W,
diminishing slightly and briefly Tue evening before very rough
seas get reinforce from the N. Please refer to the latest NWS 
High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough extends from 07N85W to 01N92W. The ITCZ extends from
01N92W to 02S110W to 05N135W to beyond 03N140W. Scattered 
moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 07N 
between 85W and 93W, and from 03N to 08N between 134W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to fresh N gap winds are in the Gulf of Tehuantepec per
recent ASCAT scatterometer data. Winds are moderate or weaker 
elsewhere under weak ridging, except locally moderate to fresh 
offshore Baja California per the same ASCAT data. Seas are 
locally rough in NW swell offshore Baja California Norte, and 
moderate elsewhere, except slight in the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh N winds will pulse in the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec early this morning before diminishing. Fresh
to strong northerly winds are forecast there Sun night through 
Tue morning before diminishing. Moderate to fresh winds will 
pulse on either side of Baja California Sur to near Cabo 
Corrientes through the weekend, then again starting Tue. A cold 
front will approach Baja California Norte early next week with 
fresh to strong winds ahead of it in the northern Gulf of 
California and west of the northern peninsula through early Tue, 
then will diminish as the front moves through while weakening. A 
reinforcing surge may bring fresh to strong winds N of 30N Wed. 
Rough NW swell off Baja California Norte will linger through 
early Sun. Larger NW swell will spread across the waters W of 
110W through early next week toward mid-week, with very rough 
seas N of Punta Eugenia.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong northeast to east winds along with seas to around
8 ft are in the Gulf of Papagayo region. Moderate to fresh north
to northeast winds are in the the Gulf of Panama and near the 
Azuero Peninsula. Moderate or weaker winds, and mainly 3 to 5 ft
seas in a mix of swells are elsewhere.

For the forecast, fresh to strong NE-E gap winds and rough seas 
will persist across the Gulf of Papagayo region through early 
Sun, then pulsing to moderate to fresh into early next week. 
Fresh to strong winds may return there by early Tue. Moderate to
fresh N-NE winds will pulse in the Gulf of Panama at times. 
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas 
will change little through the next several days.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
Significant Very Rough NW Swell forecast for the NW waters.

A dissipating trough extends from 24N122W to 20N125W while high 
pressure is elsewhere across the waters N of the ITCZ. Moderate
to locally fresh trades are noted from roughly 05N to 24N 
between 110W and 140W, with mainly moderate or weaker winds 
elsewhere. Rough seas in old NW swell covers the waters mainly N 
of 10N and W of 120W, with moderate seas elsewhere.

For the forecast, other than the Significant Very Rough NW Swell
forecast for the NW waters, an associated cold front will
approach 30N140W later this morning, reaching from 30N129W to 
22N140W by early Sun with fresh to strong winds behind it, then 
from 30N120W to 18N140W early Mon, and from near Punta Eugenia to
15N130W by early Tue with winds N of 20N behind it diminishing 
as the front weakens. High pressure will build in the wake of the
front and the belt of moderate to fresh trades N of the ITCZ 
will increase to at least fresh to strong early next week. Rough
to very rough seas will accompany the increasing trades.

$$
Lewitsky
  
Tropical Weather Discussion
Central Pacific

No Storms to Report




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