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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
915 AM EDT Tue Mar 18 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 
15, 2025.  During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks 
will be issued as conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NNNN
    

110 
AXNT20 KNHC 031629
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Apr 3 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1626 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Meteo-France Gale Warning: Meteo-France forecasts gale-force S or
SW winds, veering to W or SW in Madeira through 04/03 UTC, the 
Northern Canary Islands from 03/12 UTC through at least 03/21 
UTC, and SW in Agadir from 03/12 UTC through 03/21 UTC. Rough to 
very rough seas will likely accompany these winds. For more 
details, refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on 
their website https://wwwmiws.wmo.int

...MONSOON TROUGH/INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE... 

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic Ocean near 09N14W and 
extends southwestward to 04N19W. The ITCZ extends from 04N19W to 
02S41W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
south of 07N along the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A broad area of low pressure has been analyzed over norther 
Mexico and southeast Texas, and the subtropical ridge extends 
from the western Atlantic through the central Gulf of America. The
pressure gradient between these features is supporting fresh to 
strong S to SE winds west of 85W, with moderate to fresh SE winds 
occurring to the east. Rough seas are found west of 89W while 
moderate seas prevail elsewhere. 

For the forecast, a strong pressure gradient between the Bermuda 
High to low pressure over N Mexico/Texas will continue forcing 
fresh to near gale SE winds across the Gulf through Sat afternoon.
On Sat night, a strong late-season cold front will emerge off of 
the Texas coast. Fresh to near gale N winds and rapidly building 
seas will follow the front over the W Gulf on Sun and Mon with N 
gales possible near Tampico on Sun morning. Looking ahead to Mon 
morning, the cold front will extend from the Florida panhandle to 
the Bay of Campeche with N winds fresh to strong following the 
front and near gale NW winds off of Veracruz.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A 1010 mb low has been analyzed just off the coast of Colombia 
near 10N75W, and ridging extends over the rest of the Caribbean. 
The pressure gradient between these features is supporting fresh 
to strong trades and rough seas in the central and eastern 
Caribbean, with similar winds near the Gulf of Honduras. Winds are
mainly moderate to fresh elsewhere. Away from the aforementioned 
areas, seas of 4 to 7 ft prevail in the northwestern Caribbean. 

For the forecast, a strong pressure gradient from the Bermuda 
High to the Colombian Low will continue to produce fresh to strong
trades across the Caribbean through Sat morning with near gales 
just north of Colombia. From Sat through early next week, the 
Bermuda High weakens leading toward reduced winds. However, strong
trades will still continue north of Colombia, south of Hispaniola
and over the Gulf of Honduras on Sat and Sun. Looking ahead to 
Mon, as the weakened Bermuda High shifts eastward, trades across 
the Caribbean will be reduced to only moderate to fresh.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the section above for details on a Gale Warning in 
effect for the Meteo-France area. 

The Atlantic basin is dominated by 1036 high pressure centered 
north of the area near 42N66W, with the subtropical ridge axis 
extending southward into the subtropical and tropical Atlantic. A 
complex low pressure system has been analyzed between the Canary 
Islands and the Azores. A cold front associated with the complex 
low pressure enters our waters near  31N15W and extends 
southwestward to 30N30W. These features are supporting W to NW 
fresh to gale-force winds north of 27N and east of 20W per latest
observation from satellite derived winds. Associated large seas 
of 8 to 12 ft cover the waters north of 21N between the W coast of
Africa and 35W, with seas of 12 to 16 ft occurring N of 26N 
between 14W and 35W. Fresh to strong NE to E winds and seas of 7 
to 11 ft prevail across much of the basin W of 30W and S of 25N. 
The remainder of the Atlantic is seeing moderate to fresh trades 
and moderate seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, a strong Bermuda High will continue
to force fresh to strong trades south of 25N through Fri night. 
As the Bermuda High weakens on Sat through early next week, fresh 
to strong trades will be restricted to near the SE Bahamas and the
Windward Passage. Beginning Sat night, a large N swell will start
impacting the zones east of 65W and will continue through at 
least Mon. Looking ahead, fresh to locally strong S winds are 
slated to develop off the coast of N Florida on Sun ahead of a 
cold front moving through the SE United States. The cold front is 
forecast to move off of the coast early next week.

$$
KRV
  

      ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sat Nov 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of 
the 2024 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season.  Routine issuance 
of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2025. During 
the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as 
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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000
AXPZ20 KNHC 032112
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Thu Apr 3 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends westward from a 1008 mb low pressure
located over northern Colombia near 10N74W to 06N93W to 06N110W.
The ITCZ continues from 06N110W to 00N130W to 05S140W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection can be found from 02N to 
05N between 78W and 81W, from 00N to 02N between 80W and 84W, 
from 00N to 05N between 92W and 96W, and from 02N to 05N between 
100W and 106W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

High pressure of 1025 mb is located near 28N136W. Its associated
ridge extends southeastward to near the Revillagigedo Islands. 
This pattern is supporting moderate to locally fresh NW to N 
winds west of Baja California. Seas of 8 to 10 ft in NW swell 
dominate the waters N of Cabo San Lazaro. Moderate NW to N winds
and seas of 5 to 7 ft in mixed NW and SW swell are present from 
Cabo San Lucas to near the Revillagigedo Islands. In the Gulf of 
California, gentle to moderate winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft are 
noted. Light and variable winds and moderate seas primarily in SW
swell prevail across the remainder of the Mexican offshore 
waters, including the Gulf of Tehuantepec. 

For the forecast, a ridge will remain in place across the offshore
forecast waters of Baja California supporting moderate to fresh 
NW winds through Sun. In the Gulf of California, gentle to moderate
winds are expected through Sat, then wind will increase to fresh
to locally strong speeds across the central and southern parts 
of the Gulf Sat night through Sun night as the pressure gradient 
tightens between the ridge to the W and a low pressure over Mexico.
Rough seas currently affecting the waters N of Cabo San Lazaro 
will subside to below 8 ft by Fri afternoon, with another set of 
long period NW swell arriving by early next week. Looking ahead, 
a late season gap wind event is expected in the Gulf of Tehuantepec
late Sun night. Gale conditions are possible early next week. 

Climatologically, the first gale-force event of the season occurs
in mid-October, with the final gale-force event occurring in late
March or early April. Occasionally, gale-force events may occur 
as early as September, and as late as May. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Recent scatterometer data provide observations of moderate to
locally fresh E winds across the Papagayo region and downwind to
near 90W while light to gentle winds and seas at 3 to 5 ft are 
evident elsewhere off Central America and Colombia. Farther south,
gentle to moderate E to SE winds with 4 to 6 ft seas in a mixed 
of SW and NW swells prevail between Ecuador and the Galapagos
Islands.

For the forecast, pulsing winds to fresh to strong speeds are expected
in the Papagayo region through Sat night, mainly during nighttime
and early morning hours. Gentle to moderate E to SE and moderate
seas are forecast across the offshore waters of Guatemala and El
Salvador through Sun as the Atlantic ridge extends southwestward
across northern Central America. A mix of SW and NW swells will 
keep moderate seas between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands 
through Fri. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and moderate seas 
will prevail.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA....

High pressure of 1025 mb is located over the NW waters near 28N136W.
Its associated ridge covers most of the waters N of 10N and W of
110W. This pattern is supporting fresh to locally strong trade 
winds and seas of 7 to 9 ft seas in a mixed of NE and NW swell 
from 10N to 20N W of 125W based on scatterometer and altimeter 
data. Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate seas prevail 
elsewhere under the influence of the ridge. 

For the forecast, the high pressure will move NE and N of the
forecast area by Sat as a cold front approaches to 30N140W. The
cold front will move across the NW through MOn while gradually
weakening. This should allow winds to diminish slightly across 
the trade wind belt. High pressure will follow the front with the
ridge axis along 30N by Mon night. A new set of large NW swell 
will reach 30N140W by Sat afternoon, with seas building up to 
around 14 ft near 30N140W by early Sun. This swell event will
continue to propagate across the forecast waters through Mon. 
Seas of 8 ft or greater will cover the waters west of a line 
from Punta Eugenia to 05N140W by Mon evening. 

$$
GR
  

No Storms to Report