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Tropical Atlantic & Pacific Basin Outlooks & Discussions

Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic - Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical
Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season,
Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions
warrant.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
NNNN
Tropical Weather Discussion
Atlantic - Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico
000
AXNT20 KNHC 062327
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Mar 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the 
Atlantic high pressure and the Colombian low will support fresh 
to near gale-force trades across the central and eastern 
Caribbean through Mon. Winds offshore of Colombia will pulse to 
gale-force during the overnight hours through Sat night. Seas of 
8 to 12 ft are expected with the strongest winds.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml 

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Sierra
Leone near 08N13W, then extends southwestward to 04N20W. The ITCZ
continues from 04N20W to 03N35W to the coast of Brazil near 00S50W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted south of 04N between 17W 
and 37W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge from the Atlantic extends westward across Florida into
the Gulf region supporting moderate to fresh E to SE winds with 
moderate seas across most of the Gulf waters, including the 
Straits of Florida. Slight seas are noted offshore Florida. A 
surface trough is analyzed just W of the Yucatan Peninsula. A few
showers and thunderstorms are near SE Louisiana. Similar 
convective activity is noted over northern Florida and just W of
Tampa Bay.

For the forecast, a broad surface ridge extending southwestward 
from the Bermuda High will settle in the Gulf through midweek 
next week. The pressure gradient between the ridge and low 
pressure over Mexico will support mainly moderate to fresh E to 
SE winds basin-wide, pulsing to between fresh and strong near 
the northern Yucatan and the western Gulf in the evenings. Seas 
will be slight to moderate through Wed. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA... 

Please see Special Features section above regarding a Gale Warning 
in the south-central Caribbean. 

The most recent scatterometer data provide observations of fresh
to strong winds across the east and central Caribbean, with the 
strongest winds of 25 to 30 kt in the vicinity of Cabo Beata,
Dominican Republic. Seas are in the 8 to 11 ft range within these
wind speeds. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds are noted in 
the lee of central Cuba, and also from 14N to 17N between 78W and
82W. These winds are the result of the pressure gradient between
a 1029 mb high pressure located in the vicinity of Bermuda and 
the Colombian/Panamanian low. A diffluent pattern aloft is helping
to induce convection over parts of Cuba, Jamaica and the NW Caribbean,
particularly S of 18N and W of 83W, including NE Honduras. 

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
and the Colombian low will support fresh to near gale-force trades
across the central and eastern Caribbean through Tue. Winds offshore
of northwestern Colombia will pulse to gale-force during the overnight
hours through Sat night. Fresh to strong NE to E winds will pulse
in the Windward Passage and Gulf of Honduras through Sun night, then
moderate to fresh thereafter. Large easterly trade-wind swell from
the tropical North Atlantic will keep rough seas near the Lesser
Antilles through Tue.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN... 

A ridge dominates the Atlantic forecast region, with a 1031 mb 
high pressure located E of the Azores, and a 1029 mb high pressure
situated in the vicinity of Bermuda. Under the influence of this
ridge, fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas are observed N of
25N and E of 20W, including the Canary Islands, with the strongest
winds of 25 to 30 kt between islands. Similar wind speeds are
seen per scatterometer data offshore Mauritania and Western Sahara
with seas of 6 to 8 ft. Fresh to locally strong trades are blowing
S of 25N and E of 70W along the southern periphery of the ridge.
Seas are 6 to 9 ft within these winds. Gentle to moderate winds 
and moderate seas are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh easterly winds 
will prevail south of 25N through Tue night, reaching strong
speeds north of Hispaniola into the Windward passage at times. 
Rough seas will prevail within these winds and east of the 
central and southeast Bahamas through Tue. Moderate or weaker 
winds can be expected elsewhere across the region. 

$$
GR
  
Tropical Weather Outlook
Eastern Pacific
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the
2025 Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather
Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026 for the eastern North Pacific
and on June 1, 2026 for the central North Pacific. During the
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN
Tropical Weather Discussion
Eastern Pacific
000
AXPZ20 KNHC 062332
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Fri Mar 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 10N84W to 03N95W to 01N110W. The 
ITCZ continues from 01N110W to 04N130W to beyond 04N140W. A
second surface trough is analyzed from a 1008 mb low pressure 
located over northern Colombia near 10N74W to 01N87W. Scattered 
moderate convection is noted from 00N to 07N E of 90W to the
coast of Colombia, and from 04N to 10N between 118W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Strong high pressure of 1037 mb located well NW of the area near
37N137W extends a ridge southeastward toward Baja California Sur
and the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between 
this ridge and a meandering surface trough over the Gulf of 
California/NW Mexico is producing gentle to moderate NW to N 
winds offshore the Baja California waters. Seas are 4 to 7 ft 
within these winds, except 7 to 10 ft in NW swell across the 
outer offshore waters N of Cabo San Lazaro. Moderate to fresh NW 
winds are over the north and central Gulf of California with
gentle to moderate winds elsewhere, including the entrance to the
Gulf. Slight to moderate seas prevail. Elsewhere over the Mexican
offshore waters, including the Gulf of Tehuantepec, light winds 
and moderate seas, primarily in SW swell, are noted. 

For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the offshore
forecast waters of Baja California tonight supporting gentle to
moderate NW to N winds. A broad area of low pressure is expected
to form just offshore Baja California Norte on Sat, then shift 
slowly eastward into early next week while dissipating. The
tightening pressure gradient between the low center and the 
ridge to the W will promote fresh to locally strong NW to N winds
and building seas to around 8 ft across the outer forecast waters
N of Punta Eugenia on Sun. Gentle winds and moderate seas, in SW
swell, are expected in the Gulf of Tehuantepec through the forecast
period.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong NE to E winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are noted 
across the Gulf of Papagayo and downwind to about 88W. In the 
Gulf of Panama and downstream to about 04N, gentle to locally 
moderate northerly winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft prevail. Elsewhere,
winds are light to gentle with slight to moderate seas in SW 
swell. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong winds are expected in the 
Papagayo region nightly through Tue as high pressure remains N 
of the region. Gentle to locally moderate N winds are forecast in
the Gulf of Panama. Mainly light to gentle winds will prevail 
elsewhere through early next week. Looking ahead, significant 
cross-equatorial SW swell is expected to reach the offshore 
waters between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands early next week,
building seas to around 8 ft, except in the lee of the Galapagos
Islands.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Strong high pressure of 1037 mb centered NW of the region near 
37N137W extends a ridge across most of the forecast waters N of 
15N and W of 110W. Under the influence of this system, recent  
scatterometer data show fresh to strong N to NE winds N of 09N and W 
of 125W. Seas of 8 to 12 ft are within these winds based on 
altimeter data. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker. Seas 
through the remainder of the open waters are 4 to 7 ft in mixed 
swell.

For the forecast, the strong high pressure will continue to dominate 
the waters N of 15N and 120W through tonight, supporting fresh to
strong N to NE winds and rough seas. Looking ahead, a low pressure
is forecast to develop and linger near Baja California Norte on 
Sat, then drift slowly eastward into early next week while
dissipating. During this same period, the high pressure will 
slowly move westward and weaken. As a result, marine conditions 
are expected to improve as the pressure gradient relaxes across 
the forecast waters Sun through Mon. However, an area of fresh to
strong NE winds and rough seas will persist over the NW corner of
the forecast region through early Mon.

$$
GR
  
Tropical Weather Discussion
Central Pacific

No Storms to Report




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