ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN
    

000
AXNT20 KNHC 030418
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Nov 3 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0417 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis along 76W south of 21N, moving 
westward at around 10-15 kt. No significant convection is 
depicted at this time in association with this wave. 

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... 

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues 
southwestward to near 07N23.5W. The ITCZ then is analyzed from 
07N23.5W to near 02N49W. Scattered moderate convection is noted 
from 03N to 12N, and E of 37W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak 1017 mb low near 25N85W extends a cold front to near 
19N97W. A stationary front is analyzed from the low to 23N82W. A 
reinforcing cold front extends from 30N85W to 25N96W. Scattered 
showers and isolated thunderstorms extend from the Florida 
Panhandle toward the central Gulf, owing to the influence of 
these fronts and an upper level trough over the region. Strong to
near-gale force NW to N winds are found north of the reinforcing
front and off of Veracruz according to the latest ASCAT. South of
the reinforcing front, N to NE moderate to fresh winds prevail. 
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds prevail. West of 90W, 4 to 6 
ft seas are noted, except for seat to 8 ft off of Tampico, 
Mexico. East of 90W, 1 to 4 ft seas prevail. 

For the forecast, the two fronts will gradually merge as they 
sink SE across the basin through Mon night before exiting or 
stalling just S of the area into Tue. High pressure will then 
follow the combined front. The pressure gradient is forecast to 
tighten across the SE Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, on 
Tue, supporting fresh to strong NE winds and moderate to locally 
rough seas. The high pressure will shift eastward, and winds will 
veer to the SE and S toward the end of the work-week. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Refer to the section above for details on a tropical wave over the
central Caribbean.

A surface trough extends from the south-central coast of Cuba to
near 16N84W. This trough is likely interacting with the eastern 
extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough which runs across the
SW Caribbean, resulting in numerous moderate to scattered strong 
convection S of 16N and W of 76W. Elsewhere, recent scatterometer
data indicates moderate to fresh trades across much of the 
central and E Caribbean, with strong to near-gale trades occurring
S of 15.5N between 69W and 75W. Moderate seas are across much of 
the central and E Caribbean. Gentle to moderate NE winds and 
slight to moderate seas prevail across the remaining basin. 

For the forecast, the aforementioned surface trough will shift 
westward through Mon while dissipating. Fresh to strong E to SE 
winds are in the wake of a tropical wave, currently moving across 
the central Caribbean, with axis near 76W. Fresh to strong trade 
winds and moderate to rough seas will dominate most of the central
Caribbean through Mon night. A cold front will to move across the
NW Caribbean by Mon night into early Tue while the above 
mentioned tropical wave is expected to merge with the frontal 
boundary. Fairly tranquil marine conditions should dominate the 
basin by the end of the week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from 31N46W to 30N65W to 22N79W. 
A cluster of moderate to scattered strong convection is occurring
ahead of the front, generally N of 22.5N and W of 70W. Scattered 
moderate convection is also found along and north of the front 
west of 61W. In the eastern Atlantic, an occluded 1015 mb low 
centered near 29N29W extends a dissipating stationary front from 
31N25W to 21N33W. Scattered showers are noted in the vicinity of 
this front. Latest ASCAT passes captured strong to near-gale force
SW winds S and SE of the low. Moderate to fresh N to NW winds to 
the N and W of the low. Rough seas are analyzed generally N of 22N
between 23W and 40W. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, the pressure 
gradient between high pressures N of the area and lower pressures 
in the deep tropics sustain moderate to fresh trades S of 26N 
between 45W and 73W, with gentle to moderate trades elsewhere. 
Moderate seas also prevail across much of the remaining Atlantic.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front that extends
from 31N46W to 30N65W to 22N79W will dissipate to a remnant 
trough then shift westward through Mon. A cold front is forecast 
to enter the region early Mon morning, slowly shifting SE and 
reaching from near Bermuda to the SE Bahamas by Tue morning. Fresh
to strong winds are expected on either side of the front through 
late Tue, while rough seas persist in its wake through midweek. 
The front will then weaken and wash out through midweek with 
improving marine conditions from W to E toward the end of the 
work-week, except N of 25N and E of 65W as a reinforcing set of NW
swell associated with a front clipping those waters moves through
Fri and Fri night. 

$$
KRV
  

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 2 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Central East Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest 
of the Baja California Peninsula is producing limited shower and 
thunderstorm activity. The system is moving westward into an 
unfavorable environment, and development is no longer expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.



Forecaster Gibbs
    

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030355
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Mon Nov 03 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: A reinforcing cold front is 
moving across the Gulf of America. In its wake a tight pressure 
gradient in southeastern Mexico has induced gale-force gap winds
in the Gulf of Tehuantepec region. Rough seas are with these 
winds. These seas are expected to reach very rough ranges through
Tue. The gale force winds are expected to prevail through Tue 
night, however strong to near gale force winds will gradually 
diminish through early on Thu. Seas of 8 to 10 ft in north to 
northeast swell are expected to spread south- southwestward to 
near 09N110W by Tue night.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough axis extends from central Colombia west-
northwestward to northern Costa Rica, and to 11N86W to 09N95W to 
12N107W to low pressure near 13N116W 1011 mb and to 10N124W, 
where it transitions to the ITCZ to beyond 11N140W. Numerous 
moderate to isolated strong convection is from 07N to 10N between
104W-113W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is 
within 120 nm south of the trough between 98W-101.5W. Scattered 
moderate convection is within 60 nm south of the trough between 
84W-87W, and within 30 nm of the trough between 113W-115W. 
  
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please see the Special Features section for details on a recently 
started Gulf of Tehuantepec gale-force gap wind event.

A set of long-period NW swell has entered the waters N of Punta 
Eugenia, with rough seas N of 25N. Elsewhere, a weak pressure 
gradient across the region is generally allowing for moderate or
lighter northwest to north winds and moderate seas, except for 
slight seas in the Gulf of California as noted in earlier 
altimeter satellite data passes.

For the forecast, the long-period NW swell will gradually 
subside through Tue. A second set of large NW swell is forecast 
to enter the waters N of Punta Eugenia late Thu, and spread 
through the remainder waters offshore of Baja California through 
Fri night.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are ongoing in the Gulf of 
Papagayo along with moderate seas. Gentle to moderate SW to W 
winds and moderate seas are elsewhere south of the monsoon across
the Central America offshore waters. Moderate S to SW winds are 
over the waters between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands. They 
become SE to S in direction west of 90W. Moderate seas are over 
these waters as indicated by earlier altimeter satellite data
passes.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh gap winds and moderate seas 
are expected to pulse across the Papagayo region through Thu. The
Tehuantepec gap wind event will result in moderate N to NE winds
and moderate to rough seas in the far western offshore waters of
Guatemala and El Salvador Mon through Tue night. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure is the main feature over the eastern Pacific 
subtropical waters. Long-period NW swell continues to spread 
across the waters north of about 18N and and west of 116W. The 
swell is leading to rough seas. The gradient in place is allowing 
for moderate or lighter winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft elsewhere
north and south of the ITCZ/monsoon trough west of 110W as seen 
in the most recent altimeter satellite data passes over these
waters.

For the forecast, high pressure will continue to be the main 
feature over the waters west of about 115W into early next week.
The NW swell will gradually subside through Tue. A cold front is
expected to approach 30N140W on Tue night, preceded by fresh to 
strong southwest winds and rough seas. Otherwise, a broad area of
low pressure located several hundred miles south- southwest of 
the Baja California Peninsula is producing disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms as described above in the ITCZ/Monsoon Trough
section. Only limited development is possible during the next 
day or so before the system moves into a more unfavorable 
environment while it continues westward.

$$
Aguirre
  

No Storms to Report