945
FXUS65 KLKN 291947
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1247 PM PDT Mon Jun 29 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Dry this afternoon with high temperatures in the 70s

* Showers and thunderstorms Wednesday in Elko county

* Temperatures trend warmer through the week

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Monday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Current conditions across the area are
sunny and calm, with satellite imagery showing only a few high
clouds across northern Nevada. Persistent ridging over the eastern
US will slow the retreat of the trough over the West but a slow
warming trend is still expected, with highs in the 70s today
increasing to the 80s by Friday. Conditions will mostly remain dry
during this time, although a weak low center riding the trough on
Wednesday could spark some isolated showers and thunderstorms in
northern Elko county. Winds will mostly be light, with the
exception of Thursday when breezy conditions develop in central
Nevada. The high to the east diminishes by the weekend, allowing
the upper air pattern to progress and ridging to begin to return
to the West. This will allow temperatures to spike for the holiday
weekend, with temperatures reaching the mid 90s and some early,
low confidence, excessive heat indicators developing. Heat is
expected to continue into next week, with highs in the mid 90s and
breezy conditions returning in central Nevada.


FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in increasing
temperatures through the weekend, however confidence in excessive
heat potential Saturday and Sunday is low. Low confidence in
shower and thunder potential on Wednesday, and moderate confidence
in quiet conditions for the rest of the forecast. No changes were
made to base NBM output.

&&


.AVIATION...VFR conditions and winds less than 10KT at all sites
today.

&&


.FIRE WEATHER...Low fire weather conditions are expected today and
tomorrow due to humidity around 20% in northern Nevada and light
winds across the area. Conditions dry out starting Wednesday, in
connection with a warming trend. Elevated conditions are expected
for Thursday due to wind gusts 20-25 mph, with about a 20% chance
of winds increasing to above critical thresholds. Winds die down
again Friday through Sunday as temperatures continue to warm.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
FIRE WEATHER...94