452
FXUS62 KFFC 292359
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
759 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026


...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - A Heat Advisory is in effect for portions of east-central
   Georgia through 8 PM. Another Heat Advisory is in effect for
   western into central Georgia for Tuesday from 12 PM to 8 PM.

 - Heat builds through the week, with afternoon highs climbing
   into the 90s and heat index values over 100 into the weekend.

 - Chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected in
   east Georgia today. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are
   possible each afternoon through the week.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 140 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

A ridge continues to spread eastward, increasing temperatures
through Georgia. At the surface, high pressure remains the dominant
feature through Tuesday. The main concern with these increasing
heights is the temperatures and heat indices. Given the amount of
moisture return, dewpoints are elevated. This increases the heat
indices up to 109 and prompted the need for a Heat Advisory for the
majority of Georgia today. The Heat Advisory runs through 8 PM
tonight. As for Tuesday, the high pressure migrates eastward and
brings in more of a NE surface wind. Given how light the winds are
in the axis of the high pressure, not expecting as much relief in
dewpoints from the NE winds. Heat indices are expected to be
slightly lower than Monday with values in the 104-107. For this
reason, a Heat Advisory for western and into central Georgia
will be in effect from 12 PM through 8 PM.

Additionally, as the high shifts eastward, showers and thunderstorms
are possible on the eastern fringe for eastern Georgia locations.
Given the location of the surface high, the higher chances
(30-40%) are concentrated along the eastern Georgia counties.
Conditions in these locations has the better support for
instability and DCAPE. Due to the higher DCAPE, isolated
microbursts with strong to damaging winds are possible with any
thunderstorm that develops. Confidence isn`t high enough to
warrant mention for the Atlanta metro, but cannot rule out a stray
shower. For Tuesday, coverage of showers is a slight chance
(25-35%) for the metro with a few more showers and thunderstorms
possible (30-50%) for central and western Georgia.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday morning through next Sunday)
Issued at 140 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

The upper level high continues to shift northeast of our CWA for the
rest of the work week. Long range guidance suggest that the H250
high may become suppressed by the jet stream this Fourth of July
weekend and refocus over the southeast CONUS. By early next week,
models are still somewhat uncertain whether or not the ridge will
break down leading to height falls. High temperatures still look to
be above average next week as long as convective activity does not
dampen day time heating.

Wednesday through Friday, Heat indices look to be slightly lower
than the first couple of days this week due to subsidence intrusion
from the north lowering dewpoints across much of FA, mainly
throughout southern and central Georgia. Heat index values are
expected to range from upper 90s to lower 100s throughout the state
for these next few days. However, isolated locations may still reach
heat index values of 105 degrees. By the Fourth of July weekend,
temperatures are forecast to increase once again due to the high
pressure center likely shifting back over Georgia. Heat product
issuance seems probable heading towards that time frame, so heat
safety precautions will continue to be advised.

Thunderstorm chances for the rest of the workweek are focused over
our northern zones where mid-level moisture content is higher near
the southeast quadrant of the ridge axis. Once the ridge centers
back over Georgia this weekend, thunderstorm chance will also
increase for much of the CWA. Each day this week, general
thunderstorms are still expected with diurnal heating as the main
forcing mechanism. Gusty winds and lightning look to be the primary
hazards for the coming days. Timing for thunderstorms will be
confined to the afternoon and evening hours due to the nature of
their convection.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 737 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

A line of showers and thunderstorms moving SW across east central
GA. Expecting these storms to move across the MCN airfield in the
next 30 min or so. Once these storms move south of the area not
expecting any more storms until Tues afternoon. Ceilings will be
mainly VFR through the period except in and around any
convection. Winds are out of the NW but will turn to the NE to E
over night. Wind speeds will stay in the 3-10kt range through the
period.


//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          76  95  74  95 /  20  10  10  10
Atlanta         79  96  77  95 /  10  20  10  20
Blairsville     71  88  70  88 /  10  40  20  40
Cartersville    77  96  77  96 /   0  20  10  20
Columbus        78  96  75  94 /  10  40  10  10
Gainesville     75  94  74  94 /  10  20  20  10
Macon           77  95  74  94 /  20  20  10  10
Rome            76  96  77  96 /   0  10  10  10
Peachtree City  77  95  75  93 /  10  30  10  20
Vidalia         77  95  73  95 /  30  20  10   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for GAZ001>005-011-
012-019-020-025-030>037-041>050-052>061-066>074-078>086-089>098-
102>113.

Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ019>025-027-
030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-089>098-102>113.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Patterson
LONG TERM....Rangel
AVIATION...01